Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeea500d8a9b71077942b985559493431cfea5863cf52c0140b52e3f0ef3305fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $171,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 78c | 99,839$77,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,316.76 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 23c | 68,755$15,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,813.65 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 21c | 23,810$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 78c | 6,083$4,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.91 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 20c | 4,894$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.8 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 67c | 4,339$2,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.27 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 23c | 3,550$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 78c | 3,513$2,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.81 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…c381backed Yes | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…81eabacked Yes | 16c | 2,959$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.77 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 23c | 2,609$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…560fbacked Yes | 22c | 2,505$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked Yes | 19c | 1,934$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.21 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…4a1abacked Yes | 22c | 1,818$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,717$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.44 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 78c | 1,608$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 34c | 1,570$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.8 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…8f7bbacked Yes | 33c | 1,476$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab46…eb4ebacked No | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 77c | 1,238$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.56 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…7892backed No | 78c | 1,184$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.68 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4196…f997backed Yes | 12c | 1,176$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5377…e6dabacked Yes | 22c | 1,093$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f24…f47bbacked Yes | 21c | 1,010$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…a4b2backed Yes | 13c | 793.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked No | 79c | 633.47$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.03 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82db…0086backed Yes | 22c | 630.09$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…ec66backed Yes | 19c | 618.38$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…69b2backed Yes | 21c | 617.34$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.64 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed No | 78c | 587.18$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.18 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a24…ea91backed Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…49aabacked Yes | 20c | 489.05$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…fe0fbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…a286backed Yes | 22c | 450.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fb…31d6backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40a3…6ed8backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…f8a6backed Yes | 23c | 428.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 79c | 353$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 39c | 340.98$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.43 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 23c | 331.43$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.23 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…4f82backed Yes | 23c | 315.7$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.61 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x563a…85dfbacked No | 71c | 280$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x965e…0062backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 78c | 258.86$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…d8cebacked Yes | 16c | 253.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 35cpaid | -84%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…d960backed Yes | 7c | 245.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a37…2c5fbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 19c | 182.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…0ac5backed Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 20c | 177$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…6939backed Yes | 21c | 164.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 77c | 162$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf634…3c9ebacked Yes | 10c | 155.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…9bc5backed No | 77c | 155$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc1…4485backed Yes | 23c | 155$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 77c | 152.67$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Yes | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…c378backed No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…72f7backed Yes | 22c | 146.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 79c | 139.48$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4774…da0cbacked Yes | 23c | 126.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes | 18c | 125.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf07…5129backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc89e…6a30backed Yes | 17c | 120.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…e147backed Yes | 23c | 120.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…db66backed Yes | 26c | 116.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 23c | 116.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 77c | 116$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 21c | 115$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9674…b8cbbacked Yes | 22c | 109.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Yes | 23c | 106.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 78c | 105.64$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…9cafbacked Yes | 22c | 104.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x996f…3748backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…a128backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Yes | 19c | 99.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc08…6bd3backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6194…6922backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdd…1969backed Yes | 23c | 91.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cb…27b3backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x528a…db44backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa124…4891backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32a…e927backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Yes | 22c | 88.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…ead6backed Yes | 18c | 87.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f51…af3bbacked Yes | 23c | 78.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…8affbacked Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6b…b2d5backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe86e…db71backed Yes | 21c | 71.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…ae66backed Yes | 22c | 69.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…81e6backed No | 77c | 64.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1472…e0cfbacked Yes | 24c | 58.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-04?this page
- Will Brentford vs. Manchester United end in a draw?No won
- Will Brentford win on 2025-05-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.