TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,698
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$143,793

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,698 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x571c…c16abacked Yes41c12,195$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,195.1210848.1%52 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked No61c10,038$6,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,093.9913857.2%79 W · 59 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No59c9,332$5,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,473.9279639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Yes80c8,176$6,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,670.0338645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Yes77c6,413$4,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455.893256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc470…1eecbacked No12c4,600$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.81127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No65c4,018$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600.4232158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed No60c3,431$2,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,067.1321445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No59c3,400$2,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,017.9921353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes39c3,041$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,840.1627024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf195…a7c1backed Yes39c2,564$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.13100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+104.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes40c2,250$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35018433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed Yes38c2,168$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.384843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No33c2,089$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.7232037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes39c1,828$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.2111548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes77c1,542$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.8869772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes39c1,420$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.21,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes79c1,058$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.1830666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No60c1,002$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.979650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64017837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No18c969.48$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.9740046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No61c913.86$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.4540640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes67c830.46$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.057835.9%28 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ef2…d0dabacked Yes71c827.17$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.941844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes38c805.35$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.3117958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No60c790.15$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.0990751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes37c699.98$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.995442.6%23 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes41c685.51$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.4544939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa329…26a2backed Yes39c641.03$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.032236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x701c…4615backed Yes37c540.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.54944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+135.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Yes39c513.21$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.955238.5%20 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes39c509.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.544833.3%16 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked No61c500.22$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.42850%14 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3def…08b4backed Yes40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes39c409.92$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.058742.5%37 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe10…95cbbacked No62c403$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.861154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No5c382.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7728355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b7b…f74ebacked Yes42c350$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2034456.8%25 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No61c340.98$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.6842048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No60c313.25$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.9218752.9%99 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes73c297.34$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2812037.5%45 W · 75 L-15.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Yes68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.12977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+37%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Yes41c268.66$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.515740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfceb…37dabacked Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.411850%9 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4111252.7%59 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8773…302fbacked Yes41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.93256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbec3…f088backed Yes41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick43cpaid-69.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No62c238.73$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.0116863.1%106 W · 62 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x54f2…d0e3backed Yes45c238$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.043450%17 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4345…77fabacked Yes69c218.75$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.813228.1%9 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e84…7040backed Yes40c212.08$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.25977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.32per pick46cpaid+77.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No62c210.63$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.2952060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No33c205$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6541437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes37c176.43$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.9268942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes71c176.06$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0639561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b3d…25b7backed Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1417234.9%60 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked No9c134.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.854035%14 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d4c…0d5fbacked Yes38c130.87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.142100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+122.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x784b…489dbacked Yes38c128.97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.963100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+124.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb20e…022bbacked Yes40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda8…bf64backed Yes38c124.42$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.143100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+103.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f36…4e9cbacked Yes41c120.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.95825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No62c120$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8883459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Yes74c109.46$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.461353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes39c103$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8314945%67 W · 82 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73b9…ecc4backed Yes38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Yes39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No61c96$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1481559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4630…a058backed No65c92.31$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6db…7587backed Yes70c84.3$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.298100%8 W · 0 L+4.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+135.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7ddc…cd14backed No63c83.4$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x576a…50b0backed No63c80.33$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.61560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes38c78.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9532737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35b3…3dccbacked No63c78.37$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bef…1617backed No63c77.76$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3768…6fd7backed No63c75.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5503…4f5fbacked No63c75.46$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes39c72.07$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9656453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed No62c62.87$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.986051.7%31 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10f4…3b7ebacked Yes40c62.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+50%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81f8…ead6backed Yes38c57.92$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.91248.3%2 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.18per pick26cpaid-83.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa4b2…fcd6backed Yes46c56.57$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.554032.5%13 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked No62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314165.9%27 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.515037.3%56 W · 94 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a85…a1bdbacked Yes39c48.72$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.726346%29 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a93…adb8backed Yes43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e70…718dbacked Yes77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-56.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…db98backed Yes41c38.49$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.712556%14 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Yes40c36.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.051947.4%9 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.23per pick25cpaid+94.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes38c34.74$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5436845.7%168 W · 200 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes39c34.62$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1229238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed No61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010154.5%55 W · 46 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4828…2228backed Yes39c30.49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+91.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1824044.2%106 W · 134 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1821839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.579357%53 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1394…7b3fbacked Yes38c28.42$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.623100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+86.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06ea…a4b6backed Yes72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.782744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.