Premier League · resolved market
Will West Ham win on 2025-05-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x641bc507d41c220bedebc7a8bcb48ff2bff1e3907ad5413d34a37e95c2c6b979
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $657,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $958,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $657,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed No | 69c | 301,657$207,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,440.65 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 32c | 48,675$15,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,539.38 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 31c | 37,958$11,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,766.98 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yes | 31c | 24,265$7,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,529.94 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…68eebacked Yes | 32c | 20,950$6,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,704 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 31c | 20,714$6,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,378.41 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 31c | 20,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 32c | 20,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 32c | 8,819$2,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,822.21 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 32c | 7,813$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 31c | 4,700$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.05 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 32c | 4,441$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.87 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 16c | 4,297$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.52 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked No | 69c | 3,998$2,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.38 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 32c | 3,054$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.13 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…567bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,500$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…4b19backed Yes | 32c | 2,489$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.62 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes | 32c | 2,298$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.36 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 32c | 1,800$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…e43fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,320$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 66c | 1,286$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57be…2bcbbacked Yes | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 32c | 727.26$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.19 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 69c | 721.6$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.6 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Yes | 10c | 703.2$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.32 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…69b2backed Yes | 10c | 628$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yes | 32c | 620.75$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.64 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d85…be2ebacked Yes | 2c | 560$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 32c | 500$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked No | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes | 37c | 421.73$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.04 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 33c | 409.63$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.18 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 33c | 372.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.98 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…dfaabacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2751…1678backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 33c | 306.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.42 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked No | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed No | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 35c | 299.58$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.14 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…95cbbacked No | 67c | 298$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.34 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked No | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5be…7286backed No | 66c | 201$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.49 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…0737backed Yes | 10c | 200.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 6c | 200.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…0bc4backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…3757backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…d8cebacked Yes | 26c | 152.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 35cpaid | -84%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5232backed No | 66c | 151$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x603a…fa61backed No | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 66c | 149.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 67c | 133.97$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2237…d673backed Yes | 34c | 107$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94e…0d41backed No | 67c | 107$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…8184backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -44%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Yes | 32c | 90$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 31c | 85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…0211backed Yes | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Yes | 35c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c1…c084backed No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 32c | 63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…06cbbacked No | 67c | 63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ee…8492backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c44…742bbacked Yes | 34c | 56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab7…cbc3backed Yes | 34c | 52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…7a1bbacked No | 67c | 52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f74ebacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c53…8052backed No | 67c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…80c0backed Yes | 32c | 43.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Yes | 32c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73b9…ecc4backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec40…f0abbacked Yes | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed No | 67c | 37.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf19b…1613backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1367…03b8backed No | 67c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd540…d692backed Yes | 34c | 30.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…9ddbbacked No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will West Ham win on 2025-05-18?this page
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-18?Yes won
- Will West Ham vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.