Premier League · resolved market
Will West Ham vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d4d5b2960c8b1008ad1a7ee9a99b956f7152a6725efbc3773d8715e05e9f6b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb1e…e67bbacked Yes | 29c | 9,995$2,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,898.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5112…fe58backed No | 71c | 9,995$7,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,898.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 30c | 1,581$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 70c | 1,055$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.46 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 12c | 1,036$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.3 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 71c | 955.31$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.04 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 7c | 912.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.79 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Yes | 30c | 876.67$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked No | 70c | 836.77$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.03 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 70c | 701.83$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.1 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 74c | 616.15$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.72 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d85…be2ebacked Yes | 3c | 574.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 30c | 560.49$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 30c | 408.53$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.56 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 72c | 347.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…dfaabacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 70c | 195.62$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Yes | 29c | 141.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 28c | 128.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 72c | 115$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Yes | 26c | 103.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 80c | 97.82$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Yes | 20c | 91.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 71c | 78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed No | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…ac2dbacked Yes | 30c | 43.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 70c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3499…4f27backed Yes | 29c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa733…cd61backed No | 71c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 80c | 42.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddf…1b96backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73b9…ecc4backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Yes | 27c | 38.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d42…787fbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 76cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will West Ham vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?this page
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-18?Yes won
- Will West Ham win on 2025-05-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.