UFC · resolved market
Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd395c5afa81f9c07b8e0807fb615f8792065fba29030638ebc97a7cb395e47a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maddalenaof Muhammad, Maddalena
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $673,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $692,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $673,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 398 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Maddalena | 35c | 279,238$98,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181,013.75 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7d…cd1cbacked Muhammad | 65c | 69,217$44,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,886.69 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Muhammad | 64c | 66,618$42,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,351.56 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Maddalena | 36c | 38,794$14,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,639.25 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Muhammad | 64c | 27,860$17,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,812.33 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb193…de97backed Muhammad | 66c | 26,250$17,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,324.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Muhammad | 64c | 24,168$15,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,407.83 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Muhammad | 65c | 21,612$14,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,147.24 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Muhammad | 65c | 18,381$11,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,910.7 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Maddalena | 37c | 17,359$6,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,981.36 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Maddalena | 38c | 17,253$6,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,615.77 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Muhammad | 66c | 16,835$11,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,111.37 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e44…e83fbacked Muhammad | 64c | 16,233$10,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,389.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…c0dfbacked Muhammad | 66c | 15,486$10,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,169.31 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…8b98backed Maddalena | 35c | 12,500$4,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,125 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Muhammad | 63c | 11,215$7,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,105.76 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Muhammad | 64c | 10,000$6,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,363.37 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Maddalena | 36c | 9,632$3,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,138.18 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xace4…bd19backed Muhammad | 63c | 8,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x149e…d0aabacked Muhammad | 63c | 7,974$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed Muhammad | 65c | 6,177$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.43 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x801a…c927backed Muhammad | 66c | 6,021$3,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,996.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Maddalena | 36c | 5,533$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,555.39 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffa5…f9febacked Muhammad | 65c | 4,721$3,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,068.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…254fbacked Muhammad | 64c | 4,688$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…f2f9backed Maddalena | 37c | 4,595$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,894.68 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Maddalena | 36c | 4,562$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,904.01 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Maddalena | 35c | 4,483$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,913.86 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Maddalena | 34c | 4,400$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,916 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Maddalena | 44c | 4,225$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,364.88 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Maddalena | 36c | 4,134$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,634.4 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Maddalena | 36c | 4,100$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,634.5 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Maddalena | 37c | 4,041$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,531.46 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Muhammad | 57c | 4,000$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,285.9 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Maddalena | 35c | 3,810$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,495.36 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Muhammad | 65c | 3,600$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Muhammad | 48c | 3,569$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.18 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…d67dbacked Muhammad | 65c | 3,333$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…c2b7backed Muhammad | 65c | 3,073$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Muhammad | 66c | 3,014$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Maddalena | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Maddalena | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Muhammad | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…ab4dbacked Maddalena | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maddalena | 36c | 2,878$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.16 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Maddalena | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.7 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d2…45eebacked Maddalena | 75c | 2,606$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.55 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Muhammad | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Maddalena | 58c | 2,484$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.04 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Maddalena | 37c | 2,373$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.36 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Maddalena | 33c | 2,177$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.14 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Maddalena | 36c | 2,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.67 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d622backed Muhammad | 63c | 1,995$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Maddalena | 37c | 1,892$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.89 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Muhammad | 65c | 1,700$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Muhammad | 39c | 1,688$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.74 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Maddalena | 68c | 1,681$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.32 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…e8f8backed Muhammad | 66c | 1,670$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Maddalena | 35c | 1,651$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.28 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x578c…9661backed Muhammad | 65c | 1,628$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.47 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Muhammad | 66c | 1,600$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Muhammad | 63c | 1,588$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.42 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Muhammad | 64c | 1,400$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.78 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Maddalena | 57c | 1,375$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.39 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Muhammad | 48c | 1,332$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.69 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Maddalena | 35c | 1,327$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.15 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Maddalena | 37c | 1,325$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.92 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +50%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Muhammad | 61c | 1,300$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb220…b07cbacked Maddalena | 48c | 1,291$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.12 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5e…9d99backed Maddalena | 47c | 1,290$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.89 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Maddalena | 35c | 1,248$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.35 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Maddalena | 35c | 1,176$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.73 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Muhammad | 53c | 1,175$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Muhammad | 65c | 1,154$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…ad20backed Muhammad | 64c | 1,133$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Maddalena | 35c | 1,120$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Muhammad | 65c | 1,077$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Muhammad | 51c | 1,055$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.13 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Maddalena | 36c | 1,028$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.79 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Maddalena | 64c | 1,013$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.8 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…78f5backed Muhammad | 64c | 1,011$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 65cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…896abacked Muhammad | 64c | 1,011$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.74 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…ac91backed Muhammad | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Maddalena | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…613cbacked Muhammad | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…6d3bbacked Maddalena | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.99 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb24…a17bbacked Muhammad | 62c | 995.79$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Maddalena | 35c | 950$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc5…261ebacked Maddalena | 72c | 943$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Muhammad | 64c | 938.99$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.96 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Muhammad | 64c | 890.63$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Maddalena | 35c | 852.02$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.81 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Maddalena | 34c | 827.21$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.96 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Maddalena | 36c | 804$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.56 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Muhammad | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Muhammad | 11c | 753.24$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.86 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Muhammad | 64c | 749.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…7507backed Muhammad | 49c | 734.52$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Maddalena | 37c | 708.11$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd08e…2f7cbacked Muhammad | 64c | 703.13$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Muhammad vs. Della Maddalenathis page
- Aldo vs. ZahabiZahabi won
- Andrade vs. JasudaviciusJasudavicius won
- Barriault vs. SilvaBarriault won
- Bukauskas vs. CutelabaBukauskas won
- Grasso vs. SilvaSilva won
- Katona vs. Almakhan Almakhan won
- Malott vs. RadtkeMalott won
- Santos vs. LeeSantos won
- Shevchenko vs. FiorotShevchenko won
- Stirling vs. ErslanStirling won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.