TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

Malott vs. Radtke

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Malottof Malott, Radtke
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$279,819
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$309,544

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,819 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7018…a7eabacked Malott67c56,574$37,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,669.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f89…0febbacked Radtke33c56,574$18,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,669.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Radtke36c36,536$13,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,057.5835253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c1b…b5fabacked Malott64c27,111$17,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,759.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e6…2039backed Radtke36c27,111$9,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,759.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7d…cd1cbacked Malott66c25,886$17,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,831.394742.6%20 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Radtke34c15,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.992147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Malott65c11,028$7,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,859.691070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Malott62c9,493$5,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,607.43161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Malott67c5,142$3,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,717.8214857.4%85 W · 63 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Malott65c4,956$3,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,750.194833.3%16 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Radtke33c3,500$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1553857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed Malott65c3,145$2,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.753961.5%24 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf586…f614backed Radtke34c2,721$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.991855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Radtke35c2,210$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.535826%93 W · 265 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Radtke32c1,852$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.6816247.5%77 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3cf…a5d4backed Malott68c1,765$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.715870.7%41 W · 17 L+6.8wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Radtke36c1,626$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.4718145.3%82 W · 99 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdecc…9d36backed Malott62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.916951.5%87 W · 82 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Malott69c1,304$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.9710447.1%49 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x476a…76bdbacked Radtke36c1,111$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006262.9%39 W · 23 L+8.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Radtke30c1,096$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.518453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Radtke34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34039959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e5…7bd5backed Radtke39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Malott67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33035539.4%140 W · 215 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Radtke37c980$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.853956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Radtke3c965.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9811540%46 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Malott66c909.09$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.0917158.5%100 W · 71 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x982b…983cbacked Malott64c898.15$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.642454.2%13 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed Radtke35c800$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2804040%16 W · 24 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Malott63c731.05$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.7714751%75 W · 72 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Radtke37c666$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.4225251.2%129 W · 123 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda44…2b09backed Radtke33c665.99$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.786943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bfc…51d8backed Radtke34c655.88$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-43.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Malott66c652.94$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22242042.6%179 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Malott66c606.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.0635664.6%230 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Radtke35c565.8$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.5723537%87 W · 148 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b13…39d3backed Malott64c555.99$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.163455.9%19 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c8e…0824backed Malott61c550$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Malott65c542$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.718560%111 W · 74 L+0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2467…c702backed Radtke36c500$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.1710045%45 W · 55 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dc0…b57bbacked Malott61c450$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb11b…c7debacked Malott61c450$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75aa…58f1backed Radtke34c419.08$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1432638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Malott63c409$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.3322259.5%132 W · 90 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Malott67c400$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13224862.5%155 W · 93 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c72…5c26backed Radtke36c389$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.0410452.9%55 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Radtke33c372.5$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.9321044.8%94 W · 116 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Malott68c352.46$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.0321554.4%117 W · 98 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed10…d2e5backed Malott64c350$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12622661.9%140 W · 86 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Radtke37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11151533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd94…0b01backed Radtke35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1056946.4%32 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x454b…8bacbacked Malott65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105875%6 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6203…d744backed Radtke34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002536%9 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e05…01cdbacked Malott69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.86560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Radtke36c275.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009124.2%22 W · 69 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-32.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x648c…09c6backed Radtke37c250$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed Malott65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Radtke36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7236745.8%168 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Radtke35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7013041.5%54 W · 76 L-9.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Radtke29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.552252.9%276 W · 246 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Radtke35c199.74$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9128743.9%126 W · 161 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x659c…8dfcbacked Malott65c187.68$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.692774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Malott63c157.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8214355.9%80 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xecf4…9979backed Radtke34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506560%39 W · 26 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd7cb…b857backed Malott65c140$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd14c…17bebacked Malott62c120$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.213160.3%79 W · 52 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Malott64c116.37$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.894665.2%30 W · 16 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xab43…f7b3backed Radtke35c115.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016058.8%94 W · 66 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0679…bebbbacked Malott67c111.94$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.947258.3%42 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Radtke34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3432545.2%147 W · 178 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12af…ff78backed Malott58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4210542.9%45 W · 60 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e17…e4d4backed Radtke34c91.18$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317960.8%48 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e6f…0142backed Malott67c89.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.551250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Malott68c88.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.249950.5%50 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd7…7575backed Radtke34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303324.2%8 W · 25 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-53.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Malott63c85$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4533253.3%177 W · 155 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Malott65c83$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.059062.2%56 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Malott65c80$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2856450.5%285 W · 279 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21af…673fbacked Malott64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.131668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ed0…92debacked Malott66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7612245.1%55 W · 67 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb49d…fdefbacked Malott68c75.6$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.192857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf725…136abacked Radtke33c74.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.63754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb408…f21bbacked Malott64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.57651.3%39 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0b8…0646backed Malott64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.54153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Malott66c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.74445.5%20 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd377…a0a5backed Malott65c57.46$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe555…782fbacked Radtke37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Malott65c53.85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.854763.8%30 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Radtke34c49.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7533948.1%163 W · 176 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a56…695bbacked Radtke30c49.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.751764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Radtke38c47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.865642.9%24 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fa2…772abacked Malott65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.151154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe110…453cbacked Malott68c33.88$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.841330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Malott67c33.55$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0716851.8%87 W · 81 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32dc…cac5backed Malott63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.752661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5644…56f3backed Radtke38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x715f…a096backed Malott69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.992161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Malott64c27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7610439.4%41 W · 63 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73a0…68dfbacked Malott65c23.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.081546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.