UFC · resolved market
Malott vs. Radtke
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94c9fed914eff85b750d7014772c8ba1544f2227beb8a17aac57a49fd6b2e744
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Malottof Malott, Radtke
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $279,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $309,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7018…a7eabacked Malott | 67c | 56,574$37,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,669.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f89…0febbacked Radtke | 33c | 56,574$18,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,669.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Radtke | 36c | 36,536$13,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,057.58 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1b…b5fabacked Malott | 64c | 27,111$17,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,759.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…2039backed Radtke | 36c | 27,111$9,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,759.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7d…cd1cbacked Malott | 66c | 25,886$17,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,831.39 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Radtke | 34c | 15,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.99 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Malott | 65c | 11,028$7,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,859.69 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Malott | 62c | 9,493$5,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,607.4 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Malott | 67c | 5,142$3,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.82 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Malott | 65c | 4,956$3,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.19 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Radtke | 33c | 3,500$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Malott | 65c | 3,145$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.75 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Radtke | 34c | 2,721$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.99 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Radtke | 35c | 2,210$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.5 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Radtke | 32c | 1,852$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.68 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Malott | 68c | 1,765$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.71 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Radtke | 36c | 1,626$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.47 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Malott | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Malott | 69c | 1,304$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.97 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Radtke | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Radtke | 30c | 1,096$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.5 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Radtke | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e5…7bd5backed Radtke | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Malott | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Radtke | 37c | 980$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.8 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Radtke | 3c | 965.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Malott | 66c | 909.09$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.09 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982b…983cbacked Malott | 64c | 898.15$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.64 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Radtke | 35c | 800$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Malott | 63c | 731.05$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.77 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Radtke | 37c | 666$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.42 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Radtke | 33c | 665.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.78 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfc…51d8backed Radtke | 34c | 655.88$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Malott | 66c | 652.94$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Malott | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Radtke | 35c | 565.8$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.57 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b13…39d3backed Malott | 64c | 555.99$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.16 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8e…0824backed Malott | 61c | 550$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Malott | 65c | 542$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.7 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2467…c702backed Radtke | 36c | 500$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.17 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc0…b57bbacked Malott | 61c | 450$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb11b…c7debacked Malott | 61c | 450$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Radtke | 34c | 419.08$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Malott | 63c | 409$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.33 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Malott | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…5c26backed Radtke | 36c | 389$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.04 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Radtke | 33c | 372.5$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.93 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Malott | 68c | 352.46$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.03 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Malott | 64c | 350$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Radtke | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Radtke | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…8bacbacked Malott | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…d744backed Radtke | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e05…01cdbacked Malott | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Radtke | 36c | 275.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…09c6backed Radtke | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Malott | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Radtke | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Radtke | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Radtke | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Radtke | 35c | 199.74$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.91 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Malott | 65c | 187.68$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.69 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Malott | 63c | 157.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Radtke | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Malott | 65c | 140$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Malott | 62c | 120$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Malott | 64c | 116.37$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f7b3backed Radtke | 35c | 115.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…bebbbacked Malott | 67c | 111.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Radtke | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Malott | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Radtke | 34c | 91.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Malott | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Malott | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd7…7575backed Radtke | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Malott | 63c | 85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Malott | 65c | 83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Malott | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21af…673fbacked Malott | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…92debacked Malott | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb49d…fdefbacked Malott | 68c | 75.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…136abacked Radtke | 33c | 74.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…f21bbacked Malott | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0646backed Malott | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Malott | 66c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Malott | 65c | 57.46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe555…782fbacked Radtke | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Malott | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Radtke | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a56…695bbacked Radtke | 30c | 49.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Radtke | 38c | 47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa2…772abacked Malott | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe110…453cbacked Malott | 68c | 33.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Malott | 67c | 33.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32dc…cac5backed Malott | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…56f3backed Radtke | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x715f…a096backed Malott | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Malott | 64c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a0…68dfbacked Malott | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Malott vs. Radtkethis page
- Aldo vs. ZahabiZahabi won
- Andrade vs. JasudaviciusJasudavicius won
- Barriault vs. SilvaBarriault won
- Bukauskas vs. CutelabaBukauskas won
- Grasso vs. SilvaSilva won
- Katona vs. Almakhan Almakhan won
- Muhammad vs. Della MaddalenaMaddalena won
- Santos vs. LeeSantos won
- Shevchenko vs. FiorotShevchenko won
- Stirling vs. ErslanStirling won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.