UFC · resolved market
Andrade vs. Jasudavicius
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x447b9e6285a092122b4115749d30202d02196804aeb69d2dfd6dae6779deea3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jasudaviciusof Andrade, Jasudavicius
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Andrade | 27c | 24,781$6,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,628.12 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Jasudavicius | 73c | 15,550$11,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,225.15 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Jasudavicius | 73c | 11,005$8,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,971.43 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7d…cd1cbacked Jasudavicius | 72c | 8,440$6,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.15 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Andrade | 27c | 8,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Andrade | 28c | 4,946$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Andrade | 27c | 4,914$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.48 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…4433backed Jasudavicius | 74c | 4,062$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.77 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 75cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Andrade | 27c | 4,024$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Jasudavicius | 74c | 3,627$2,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.94 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Jasudavicius | 73c | 3,013$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Jasudavicius | 73c | 2,741$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Jasudavicius | 74c | 2,262$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.36 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Andrade | 28c | 2,143$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Andrade | 28c | 2,000$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…c0dfbacked Andrade | 29c | 1,710$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Jasudavicius | 72c | 1,572$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.88 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Andrade | 27c | 1,502$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.1 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Jasudavicius | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Andrade | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Andrade | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Jasudavicius | 72c | 944.44$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.44 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Andrade | 29c | 880.28$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.28 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Jasudavicius | 73c | 788$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.76 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Andrade | 26c | 728.23$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.34 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Jasudavicius | 72c | 697.11$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.19 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Andrade | 22c | 666$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.52 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb220…b07cbacked Jasudavicius | 78c | 645.63$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.04 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Jasudavicius | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbe…e998backed Andrade | 28c | 485.71$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Jasudavicius | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Jasudavicius | 74c | 407.03$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.03 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Jasudavicius | 74c | 400$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Andrade | 28c | 392.83$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Andrade | 27c | 349.85$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd16…0be8backed Andrade | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…8bacbacked Jasudavicius | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Andrade | 26c | 299.04$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…c62abacked Jasudavicius | 74c | 256.66$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.73 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Jasudavicius | 71c | 215.67$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Andrade | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Jasudavicius | 72c | 199.98$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Jasudavicius | 71c | 195$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Jasudavicius | 72c | 189.95$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.95 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Andrade | 28c | 171.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Jasudavicius | 73c | 166.92$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Andrade | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…ba07backed Andrade | 27c | 133.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc847…96aebacked Andrade | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Andrade | 27c | 115$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Andrade | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5177…93c9backed Andrade | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f0…e173backed Andrade | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Jasudavicius | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f7b3backed Andrade | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5508…4380backed Andrade | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd7…7575backed Andrade | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37ba…a7b6backed Jasudavicius | 74c | 63.58$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa2…772abacked Jasudavicius | 73c | 61.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f5…d152backed Andrade | 28c | 56.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c8…4c9fbacked Andrade | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Jasudavicius | 74c | 53.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e48…357bbacked Andrade | 27c | 51.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b7…33cbbacked Andrade | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…174ebacked Andrade | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Jasudavicius | 74c | 43.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19de…f81bbacked Jasudavicius | 73c | 41.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +70%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21af…673fbacked Jasudavicius | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Jasudavicius | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…ef11backed Jasudavicius | 73c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc814…dc7cbacked Jasudavicius | 71c | 28.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0646backed Jasudavicius | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…b5cbbacked Jasudavicius | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32dc…cac5backed Jasudavicius | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c4…7a6abacked Jasudavicius | 73c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Jasudavicius | 78c | 20.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafb7…75f4backed Jasudavicius | 74c | 20.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…dc1abacked Jasudavicius | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…f2f9backed Jasudavicius | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Jasudavicius | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Andrade vs. Jasudaviciusthis page
- Aldo vs. ZahabiZahabi won
- Barriault vs. SilvaBarriault won
- Bukauskas vs. CutelabaBukauskas won
- Grasso vs. SilvaSilva won
- Katona vs. Almakhan Almakhan won
- Malott vs. RadtkeMalott won
- Muhammad vs. Della MaddalenaMaddalena won
- Santos vs. LeeSantos won
- Shevchenko vs. FiorotShevchenko won
- Stirling vs. ErslanStirling won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.