TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

Santos vs. Lee

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Santosof Santos, Lee
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$135,382
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,967

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,382 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19af…298cbacked Lee54c36,015$19,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,448.120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc225…19d4backed Santos46c36,015$16,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,448.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Santos45c17,569$7,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,713.9535253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Lee55c9,357$5,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,146.457452.7%39 W · 35 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed Lee56c8,984$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0004946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Lee56c8,134$4,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,523.9410447.1%49 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7d…cd1cbacked Santos41c4,691$1,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,784.474742.6%20 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Lee59c3,072$1,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,808.5914857.4%85 W · 63 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Santos42c2,050$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,18935826%93 W · 265 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Santos43c1,974$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.9411540%46 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbedb…8687backed Lee58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+31.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Santos42c1,574$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.3418453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf586…f614backed Santos44c1,519$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.811855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Lee55c1,324$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.4614751%75 W · 72 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x476a…76bdbacked Santos47c1,279$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6796262.9%39 W · 23 L+8.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3a37…869bbacked Lee55c1,129$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.031947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Santos48c1,125$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.7353956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Santos44c1,085$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.4112134.7%42 W · 79 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Santos46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5403943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Lee60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60035539.4%140 W · 215 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0336…d655backed Lee56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb220…b07cbacked Lee13c998.16$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.81735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75aa…58f1backed Lee60c956.67$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5742638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Lee58c767.07$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.929848.7%145 W · 153 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae8…b41abacked Santos44c715$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+78.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Lee60c669.88$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40035664.6%230 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Lee55c666$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.325251.2%129 W · 123 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb408…f21bbacked Lee53c584.11$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.67651.3%39 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Lee55c565$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7524356.8%138 W · 105 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Lee55c555$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.2521044.8%94 W · 116 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed Santos44c499.99$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2804040%16 W · 24 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Lee51c493.67$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.775858.6%34 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Lee3c461$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9319418.6%36 W · 158 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c50…7403backed Lee54c447.6$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.061838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…3600backed Lee60c353.33$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2121770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+39.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b13…39d3backed Santos41c339$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.013455.9%19 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lee55c306.54$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.5933253.3%177 W · 155 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Lee57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17124862.5%155 W · 93 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Santos44c279.59$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.164833.3%16 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c79…eb42backed Santos46c250$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca6f…fc19backed Santos44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c72…5c26backed Santos45c222$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.110452.9%55 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Lee59c220$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.839959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed Santos45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Lee54c200$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10728743.9%126 W · 161 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Lee54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10836745.8%168 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Lee40c194.98$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1421031.9%67 W · 143 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x468f…c2a7backed Lee60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014045.7%64 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x239a…a0c6backed Santos45c150$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.54540%18 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Lee67c147.39$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7518145.3%82 W · 99 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Lee55c142.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9810439.4%41 W · 63 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x975b…2d5fbacked Santos48c140$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.814129.8%42 W · 99 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7a…13abbacked Lee60c116.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702050%10 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Santos48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5211844.1%52 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x211a…9613backed Lee53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538939.3%35 W · 54 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c37…92a4backed Lee55c99.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.28per pick44cpaid-67.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Lee52c94.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.333948.1%163 W · 176 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc814…dc7cbacked Santos41c93.22$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Lee59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Santos44c79.98$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7956450.5%285 W · 279 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Lee27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209950.5%50 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Santos39c73.17$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6322334.1%76 W · 147 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe110…453cbacked Lee60c72.8$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.681330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Lee57c70$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.952252.9%276 W · 246 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Santos45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6710148.5%49 W · 52 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ac7…3a34backed Lee39c64.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.821338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83b1…ac15backed Santos47c63.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.54450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Lee45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2715839.2%62 W · 96 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e17…e4d4backed Lee58c59.41$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.467960.8%48 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Lee58c57.41$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.342042.6%179 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Lee55c56$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.89062.2%56 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked Lee36c51.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.626354%34 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Santos45c49.96$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4816851.8%87 W · 81 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6579…23ddbacked Lee57c45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.82161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fa2…772abacked Lee56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b87…2e2fbacked Santos45c44.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.62837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Lee60c43.97$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.381861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Lee56c41.41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2614355.9%80 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0b8…0646backed Lee58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc31a…174ebacked Lee60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209744.3%43 W · 54 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed Santos41c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.61457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77d6…4fd2backed Santos42c24.69$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.325648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed Lee66c19.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.146731.3%21 W · 46 L-9.8wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-37.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.