UFC · resolved market
Stirling vs. Erslan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce76362ec12f0b69ce42e50dc01f7450efccba3807c318b5604e22130e861e87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stirlingof Stirling, Erslan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Erslan | 0c | 4,211$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 194 | 18.6%36 W · 158 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Erslan | 23c | 4,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.99 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Erslan | 26c | 3,435$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.48 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb220…b07cbacked Erslan | 10c | 3,100$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.51 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Erslan | 28c | 3,050$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc814…dc7cbacked Stirling | 72c | 2,923$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Erslan | 22c | 1,900$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.92 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Erslan | 34c | 1,834$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.56 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Stirling | 78c | 1,591$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.13 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Erslan | 28c | 1,413$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.57 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Stirling | 76c | 1,319$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.28 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Stirling | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Stirling | 75c | 1,234$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.12 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f99…8b05backed Stirling | 75c | 1,083$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Stirling | 75c | 1,080$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.97 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Stirling | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…531cbacked Erslan | 26c | 980$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Erslan | 24c | 935.52$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.52 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Stirling | 74c | 863.74$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.57 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Stirling | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Stirling | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51a7…530ebacked Stirling | 78c | 709$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e00…c7dcbacked Stirling | 74c | 660$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Stirling | 72c | 599.88$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.88 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Stirling | 73c | 580.98$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.74 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…f2f9backed Erslan | 26c | 490$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Erslan | 31c | 463.64$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.73 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Erslan | 24c | 407.89$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.89 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Stirling | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e48…357bbacked Erslan | 25c | 365.43$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Erslan | 25c | 335$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.75 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Erslan | 25c | 320$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…8bacbacked Stirling | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Erslan | 24c | 279.75$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Stirling | 66c | 240.36$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.09 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Erslan | 23c | 222.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Erslan | 28c | 210$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Erslan | 22c | 205$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe110…453cbacked Erslan | 25c | 202.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…5c26backed Stirling | 74c | 202$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc3…de78backed Stirling | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…890bbacked Erslan | 27c | 177.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Stirling | 75c | 170$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Erslan | 18c | 165$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f7b3backed Stirling | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Stirling | 72c | 149$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe0…511dbacked Stirling | 74c | 140$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…3b42backed Erslan | 27c | 138.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb4…9653backed Stirling | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Stirling | 72c | 132.48$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b2…aa53backed Stirling | 75c | 129.33$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172b…e2cdbacked Stirling | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Stirling | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Erslan | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 79 | 21.5%17 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Erslan | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Erslan | 23c | 79.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…4b43backed Stirling | 74c | 73.78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…4c55backed Stirling | 74c | 72.54$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…c0b2backed Stirling | 74c | 70.16$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb291…b953backed Stirling | 74c | 67.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116d…18acbacked Erslan | 28c | 67.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf56…2bc4backed Erslan | 29c | 64.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec71…2a98backed Erslan | 28c | 62.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c45…47f1backed Stirling | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 190 | 65.3%124 W · 66 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf8…a011backed Erslan | 28c | 53.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa2…772abacked Stirling | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Erslan | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ba…a7b6backed Stirling | 76c | 47.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…7151backed Erslan | 27c | 45.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Stirling | 73c | 45.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Stirling | 75c | 42.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd390…5d63backed Stirling | 74c | 40.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Erslan | 28c | 39.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Stirling | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Erslan | 31c | 36.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b17…6cb3backed Stirling | 75c | 34.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Stirling | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66d…9863backed Stirling | 74c | 32.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Stirling | 78c | 32.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Stirling | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0646backed Stirling | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…3c48backed Stirling | 74c | 26.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c0…f052backed Stirling | 74c | 26.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5b84backed Stirling | 74c | 25.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…2f3bbacked Stirling | 74c | 24.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb7…75f4backed Stirling | 74c | 24.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5c…a393backed Stirling | 74c | 23.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c31…7813backed Stirling | 74c | 22.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af6…34b5backed Stirling | 75c | 22.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510d…a729backed Stirling | 74c | 21.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…cb23backed Stirling | 74c | 21.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f8…fbbdbacked Stirling | 74c | 21.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Stirling | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c63…0af8backed Stirling | 74c | 18.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4482…dce5backed Stirling | 74c | 17.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb823…4f5cbacked Stirling | 74c | 15.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Stirling | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Stirling | 79c | 14.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.95 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stirling vs. Erslanthis page
- Aldo vs. ZahabiZahabi won
- Andrade vs. JasudaviciusJasudavicius won
- Barriault vs. SilvaBarriault won
- Bukauskas vs. CutelabaBukauskas won
- Grasso vs. SilvaSilva won
- Katona vs. Almakhan Almakhan won
- Malott vs. RadtkeMalott won
- Muhammad vs. Della MaddalenaMaddalena won
- Santos vs. LeeSantos won
- Shevchenko vs. FiorotShevchenko won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.