UFC · resolved market
Aldo vs. Zahabi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa115a91db0b2533c7dce44f5c9eab4a7e23e0def41c97a6c7a6bc9ee4f5dafa9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zahabiof Aldo, Zahabi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Zahabi | 39c | 24,509$9,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,033.99 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc814…dc7cbacked Aldo | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,099.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Zahabi | 40c | 7,500$2,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,524.99 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Aldo | 71c | 6,449$4,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,579.06 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7d…cd1cbacked Zahabi | 39c | 6,024$2,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,694.83 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Aldo | 59c | 5,308$3,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,112.57 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…8b98backed Zahabi | 43c | 4,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260.18 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Aldo | 62c | 3,769$2,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,351.79 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Aldo | 61c | 3,500$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.93 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Aldo | 60c | 3,196$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.94 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Aldo | 62c | 3,073$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.28 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Zahabi | 39c | 3,066$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.5 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Aldo | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Aldo | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.99 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Zahabi | 38c | 2,810$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.39 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Zahabi | 40c | 2,799$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.92 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Aldo | 60c | 2,582$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.29 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Aldo | 60c | 2,464$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.47 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Aldo | 60c | 2,314$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.5 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Aldo | 60c | 2,190$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.47 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Aldo | 62c | 2,101$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Aldo | 62c | 2,051$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…d67dbacked Zahabi | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x982b…983cbacked Aldo | 60c | 1,642$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.2 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Zahabi | 40c | 1,632$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.2 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Aldo | 62c | 1,626$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Zahabi | 24c | 1,555$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.44 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Aldo | 61c | 1,505$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.49 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Zahabi | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.98 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Zahabi | 41c | 1,475$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.93 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Aldo | 62c | 1,350$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.25 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Zahabi | 40c | 1,251$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.74 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Aldo | 63c | 1,214$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.67 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Zahabi | 26c | 1,193$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.96 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Aldo | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Aldo | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +272.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Aldo | 62c | 775$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.5 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb220…b07cbacked Zahabi | 29c | 745.6$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.88 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Zahabi | 38c | 665.98$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.91 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Aldo | 58c | 645.47$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.65 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf59…ff38backed Aldo | 61c | 634.43$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Zahabi | 38c | 589.69$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.19 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4d…caa6backed Aldo | 61c | 579.56$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.53 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 56cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Aldo | 62c | 564.52$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Aldo | 60c | 558$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.02 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Aldo | 61c | 553.99$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.16 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Zahabi | 35c | 521.63$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.06 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Aldo | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Zahabi | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f6…8812backed Zahabi | 57c | 489.77$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf6…cf40backed Aldo | 45c | 482.15$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.97 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Zahabi | 37c | 475$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Aldo | 65c | 467.46$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.85 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…f2f9backed Zahabi | 39c | 461.6$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.58 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0646backed Zahabi | 39c | 440.28$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.01 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…d744backed Aldo | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked Aldo | 22c | 399.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Zahabi | 48c | 392.95$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Aldo | 57c | 392.46$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.14 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Zahabi | 44c | 352.34$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.93 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb448…53acbacked Zahabi | 39c | 349.23$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Zahabi | 37c | 326.98$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e05…01cdbacked Aldo | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Aldo | 67c | 313.48$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.52 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68bb…812cbacked Aldo | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Zahabi | 35c | 301.68$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.09 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Zahabi | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…5c26backed Zahabi | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Zahabi | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Zahabi | 38c | 299.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Zahabi | 37c | 270$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Aldo | 62c | 265.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.08 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Zahabi | 37c | 250$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617d…fd9fbacked Zahabi | 39c | 250$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f0…e173backed Zahabi | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…45a2backed Zahabi | 39c | 214.63$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.19 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +49%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Aldo | 63c | 200.64$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Aldo | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Aldo | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Aldo | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Zahabi | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd16…0be8backed Zahabi | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef9…35cfbacked Aldo | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Aldo | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Aldo | 62c | 199.98$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.23 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Aldo | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0930…0d60backed Aldo | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…e7c2backed Aldo | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd7…7575backed Aldo | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Zahabi | 27c | 158$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.34 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b2…aa53backed Aldo | 62c | 156.45$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d0…de55backed Aldo | 62c | 154$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Zahabi | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Aldo | 52c | 144.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.55 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…37b6backed Aldo | 65c | 139.78$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Aldo | 63c | 139.49$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.88 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2467…c702backed Aldo | 63c | 133.41$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.11 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f7b3backed Aldo | 61c | 131.77$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…f1b8backed Aldo | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c3…611abacked Aldo | 64c | 130$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aldo vs. Zahabithis page
- Andrade vs. JasudaviciusJasudavicius won
- Barriault vs. SilvaBarriault won
- Bukauskas vs. CutelabaBukauskas won
- Grasso vs. SilvaSilva won
- Katona vs. Almakhan Almakhan won
- Malott vs. RadtkeMalott won
- Muhammad vs. Della MaddalenaMaddalena won
- Santos vs. LeeSantos won
- Shevchenko vs. FiorotShevchenko won
- Stirling vs. ErslanStirling won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.