UFC · resolved market
Shevchenko vs. Fiorot
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd4ccaa2bc9e932de8e5c7fbc25626308054e9b145df9fca60d933fa5b6ca8a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shevchenkoof Shevchenko, Fiorot
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $537,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $588,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $537,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Shevchenko | 45c | 62,000$27,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,089.99 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Fiorot | 54c | 46,026$25,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,046.91 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7d…cd1cbacked Fiorot | 55c | 45,622$25,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,134.86 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19af…298cbacked Fiorot | 53c | 36,756$19,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,480.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…d242backed Shevchenko | 47c | 36,755$17,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,480.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1b…b5fabacked Fiorot | 53c | 32,767$17,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,366.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x517f…a36dbacked Shevchenko | 47c | 32,767$15,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,366.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f84…3ed6backed Fiorot | 52c | 32,508$16,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,904.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7340…7388backed Shevchenko | 48c | 32,508$15,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,904.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Fiorot | 57c | 24,417$13,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,870.5 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Fiorot | 53c | 11,564$6,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,173.18 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xace4…bd19backed Shevchenko | 46c | 11,000$5,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,940 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc814…dc7cbacked Fiorot | 54c | 10,000$5,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,377.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Shevchenko | 46c | 9,694$4,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,214.35 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Shevchenko | 50c | 8,616$4,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,312.52 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Shevchenko | 44c | 8,535$3,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,749.8 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Shevchenko | 47c | 8,506$3,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,518.72 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Shevchenko | 42c | 8,295$3,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,791.76 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…c0dfbacked Shevchenko | 48c | 8,252$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,251.83 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb220…b07cbacked Fiorot | 11c | 7,672$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.42 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…8b98backed Fiorot | 47c | 7,000$3,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,269.98 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Shevchenko | 45c | 6,946$3,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,808.78 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Shevchenko | 47c | 6,250$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed Shevchenko | 45c | 5,986$2,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,293.34 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Shevchenko | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.99 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Fiorot | 51c | 4,976$2,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,542.01 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Shevchenko | 79c | 4,768$3,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.7 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Shevchenko | 55c | 4,617$2,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.62 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Fiorot | 55c | 4,262$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.26 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Fiorot | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.66 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Fiorot | 54c | 3,997$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,161.58 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Fiorot | 55c | 3,811$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.68 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Fiorot | 57c | 3,491$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Shevchenko | 47c | 3,400$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.04 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Shevchenko | 46c | 3,278$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.37 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Fiorot | 34c | 3,153$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.73 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Shevchenko | 45c | 3,050$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.49 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Fiorot | 52c | 2,975$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.09 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e05…01cdbacked Shevchenko | 76c | 2,835$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5e…9d99backed Fiorot | 64c | 2,767$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8679…4659backed Fiorot | 53c | 2,644$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Shevchenko | 76c | 2,628$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.99 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Fiorot | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.99 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…d67dbacked Fiorot | 57c | 2,379$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Fiorot | 54c | 2,165$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.26 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…254fbacked Shevchenko | 48c | 2,084$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.66 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Shevchenko | 48c | 2,077$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.32 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Shevchenko | 44c | 2,030$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.53 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Fiorot | 43c | 2,012$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.18 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d2…45eebacked Shevchenko | 46c | 1,949$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.31 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Fiorot | 54c | 1,932$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.4 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Fiorot | 43c | 1,900$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.3 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +23.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Fiorot | 55c | 1,819$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Fiorot | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.84 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Fiorot | 54c | 1,665$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.91 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b24…2e06backed Fiorot | 53c | 1,637$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Fiorot | 55c | 1,580$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.38 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51a7…530ebacked Shevchenko | 45c | 1,530$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Shevchenko | 46c | 1,529$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…755dbacked Shevchenko | 76c | 1,488$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Shevchenko | 48c | 1,471$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.85 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…25b0backed Shevchenko | 45c | 1,447$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Shevchenko | 47c | 1,297$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.53 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Fiorot | 55c | 1,271$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.62 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef9…35cfbacked Shevchenko | 46c | 1,254$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Shevchenko | 44c | 1,249$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.44 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Shevchenko | 46c | 1,220$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.8 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Fiorot | 11c | 1,196$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.93 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +272.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Shevchenko | 52c | 1,194$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.48 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Fiorot | 54c | 1,163$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.01 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…900fbacked Shevchenko | 47c | 1,097$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.26 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Shevchenko | 47c | 1,093$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.06 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfe…3456backed Shevchenko | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Shevchenko | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee5…27d8backed Shevchenko | 46c | 1,060$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.41 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Shevchenko | 60c | 1,002$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25a0…7694backed Fiorot | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Shevchenko | 73c | 1,000$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Fiorot | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6333…e00bbacked Shevchenko | 47c | 923.45$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.45 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df1…e7a9backed Fiorot | 56c | 919.7$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.43 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Shevchenko | 46c | 889.13$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.13 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Shevchenko | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Fiorot | 12c | 832$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Fiorot | 55c | 810.2$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.2 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Shevchenko | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Shevchenko | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa23…ada8backed Shevchenko | 58c | 781.24$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Fiorot | 53c | 753.86$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.55 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Fiorot | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Shevchenko | 44c | 663.44$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.48 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…ac91backed Shevchenko | 60c | 656.65$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Fiorot | 47c | 649.16$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.39 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Shevchenko | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Shevchenko | 38c | 635.11$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.66 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc0…b57bbacked Fiorot | 53c | 630$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Fiorot | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Fiorot | 55c | 574.33$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.23 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…3257backed Shevchenko | 47c | 570$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Shevchenko | 44c | 530$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.8 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shevchenko vs. Fiorotthis page
- Aldo vs. ZahabiZahabi won
- Andrade vs. JasudaviciusJasudavicius won
- Barriault vs. SilvaBarriault won
- Bukauskas vs. CutelabaBukauskas won
- Grasso vs. SilvaSilva won
- Katona vs. Almakhan Almakhan won
- Malott vs. RadtkeMalott won
- Muhammad vs. Della MaddalenaMaddalena won
- Santos vs. LeeSantos won
- Stirling vs. ErslanStirling won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.