UFC · resolved market
UFC 317: Talbott vs. Lima
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2da5c18a6f444091ee76b97c81ba8e986edacd3538140f6ec64b3f6aba30f61b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Talbottof Talbott, Lima
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $420,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $438,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $420,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Talbott | 42c | 252,588$105,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147,133.93 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Lima | 58c | 100,000$58,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,000 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Lima | 58c | 70,560$40,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,622.77 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Lima | 60c | 27,410$16,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,448.13 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Lima | 58c | 17,030$9,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,898.19 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Lima | 61c | 15,000$9,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,150 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Lima | 42c | 11,860$5,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,015.6 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Talbott | 39c | 11,730$4,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,163.22 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Lima | 10c | 11,586$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.39 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Talbott | 39c | 11,533$4,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,034.83 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Talbott | 40c | 11,250$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lima | 58c | 9,000$5,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,220 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Lima | 19c | 6,736$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.9 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Lima | 61c | 4,918$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…c0dfbacked Lima | 63c | 4,842$3,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,037.69 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…35d5backed Talbott | 60c | 4,744$2,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892.42 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Talbott | 39c | 4,433$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,704.12 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lima | 58c | 4,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.97 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Lima | 68c | 3,800$2,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,582.76 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Lima | 27c | 3,452$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.63 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf22e…f52cbacked Lima | 61c | 3,276$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.18 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Talbott | 69c | 2,879$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.79 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lima | 41c | 2,776$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.86 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Talbott | 63c | 2,516$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.23 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Lima | 61c | 2,500$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Lima | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Talbott | 40c | 2,481$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.51 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Lima | 22c | 2,455$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.45 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lima | 60c | 2,000$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Talbott | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.99 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Lima | 58c | 1,975$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.68 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Lima | 37c | 1,872$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.63 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Talbott | 41c | 1,829$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.27 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Talbott | 36c | 1,828$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.96 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Talbott | 42c | 1,816$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.31 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Talbott | 35c | 1,750$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.5 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Talbott | 41c | 1,707$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.32 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Lima | 52c | 1,670$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.53 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa9…b9bbbacked Lima | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Lima | 19c | 1,488$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.26 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Lima | 60c | 1,401$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.74 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Talbott | 77c | 1,376$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.55 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Lima | 61c | 1,145$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Lima | 61c | 1,118$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.98 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…d67dbacked Lima | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Lima | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Talbott | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Lima | 61c | 999.98$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.99 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Lima | 60c | 817.27$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.36 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Lima | 59c | 800$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +47%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Talbott | 59c | 775.82$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.66 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Talbott | 24c | 721.03$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.98 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Lima | 12c | 682.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.59 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed Lima | 8c | 620.74$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c77…a901backed Lima | 60c | 600$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.68 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Lima | 62c | 575$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Lima | 63c | 561.24$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.32 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d6…d716backed Talbott | 40c | 502.86$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.16 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Lima | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb4…ce44backed Lima | 47c | 500$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…bb74backed Lima | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Lima | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Lima | 63c | 494.84$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.88 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae8…b7d8backed Talbott | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Lima | 60c | 484.97$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.4 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Lima | 42c | 482.66$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.47 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lima | 58c | 479$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.82 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Talbott | 40c | 477.51$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.28 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d88…8d8ebacked Lima | 65c | 458.83$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Lima | 62c | 425$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.75 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Talbott | 39c | 412.23$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.59 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Talbott | 39c | 406.14$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.14 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Lima | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Talbott | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Talbott | 33c | 400$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d8…012abacked Talbott | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.62 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…15d4backed Talbott | 40c | 382.5$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Lima | 51c | 335.29$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Talbott | 45c | 334.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.28 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Lima | 61c | 334.43$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe15…fd78backed Lima | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…96d6backed Talbott | 42c | 319.05$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.05 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Lima | 60c | 304.33$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.6 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81ee…caa4backed Talbott | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70fd…736abacked Lima | 60c | 286$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Lima | 59c | 279.66$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…5240backed Talbott | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…19e8backed Talbott | 38c | 263.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff2…2602backed Talbott | 39c | 260$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ff…5ec3backed Lima | 60c | 256.8$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.08 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Talbott | 33c | 251.04$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Lima | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…c9b3backed Talbott | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…239fbacked Talbott | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…af1dbacked Lima | 61c | 249.94$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Talbott | 42c | 238.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…3d69backed Lima | 59c | 238.82$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97be…416dbacked Lima | 60c | 225.08$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.05 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lima | 62c | 219.75$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.25 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…6598backed Lima | 47c | 218$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.8 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 317: Talbott vs. Limathis page
- UFC 317: Amil vs. DelgadoDelgado won
- UFC 317: Araujo vs. CortezCortez won
- UFC 317: Dariush vs. MoicanoDariush won
- UFC 317: Diniz vs. Hines Diniz won
- UFC 317: Hermansson vs. RodriguesRodrigues won
- UFC 317: McKinney vs. BorshchevMcKinney won
- UFC 317: Pantoja vs. Kara-FrancePantoja won
- UFC 317: Price vs. Smith Smith won
- UFC 317: Royval vs. VanVan won
- UFC 317: Topuria vs. OliveiraTopuria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.