MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd130b5a42c8c259d4752fffffcdf50b5786156c68a002881dd579c70464084e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Cubs, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,159
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,159 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Cubs | 44c | 25,874$11,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,384.55 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…e7bbbacked Cubs | 41c | 9,997$4,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,098.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x644d…a26ebacked Astros | 59c | 9,997$5,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,098.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 61c | 9,209$5,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,564.82 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Astros | 57c | 6,676$3,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,884.44 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Astros | 63c | 6,556$4,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.5 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 57c | 5,117$2,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.39 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Cubs | 11c | 5,063$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.7 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Cubs | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Astros | 54c | 2,986$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.66 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Astros | 57c | 2,917$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.45 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Astros | 56c | 2,600$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Astros | 56c | 2,400$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cubs | 5c | 1,840$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Astros | 59c | 1,811$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.51 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…b3d7backed Astros | 59c | 1,676$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.93 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Cubs | 49c | 1,570$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Astros | 56c | 1,546$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.59 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Cubs | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Astros | 58c | 1,035$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.34 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Cubs | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Cubs | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…69aebacked Cubs | 42c | 999.98$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Cubs | 48c | 982.87$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.5 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfccf…3a10backed Astros | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Astros | 65c | 889$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.28 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Astros | 59c | 566.27$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.17 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cubs | 3c | 561$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cubs | 40c | 525.76$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.29 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Astros | 57c | 522.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.04 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cubs | 43c | 515.45$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.64 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Cubs | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Astros | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Astros | 56c | 466.06$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.37 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Astros | 57c | 461$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.87 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Astros | 73c | 433.85$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.36 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Astros | 57c | 411.77$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.06 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Cubs | 42c | 401.17$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.27 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Astros | 54c | 399.98$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.99 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Astros | 56c | 389.29$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.29 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044c…a476backed Astros | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Cubs | 42c | 374.01$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.57 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Astros | 56c | 353.68$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.62 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Cubs | 40c | 351$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cubs | 40c | 350.18$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.24 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Astros | 67c | 314.92$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.76 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cubs | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Cubs | 32c | 299.71$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…21d0backed Astros | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Cubs | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs | 20c | 237.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Cubs | 42c | 236.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Cubs | 44c | 228$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Cubs | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cubs | 44c | 207.42$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.27 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cubs | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Astros | 52c | 174.08$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.93 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Astros | 56c | 155.8$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.55 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Astros | 58c | 151$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.42 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4c…0d5fbacked Cubs | 41c | 127.76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Cubs | 42c | 119$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614e…d8e4backed Cubs | 42c | 118.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cubs | 41c | 113.34$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Astros | 63c | 106.38$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.86 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa116…6f3bbacked Cubs | 20c | 102$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Astros | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Cubs | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Astros | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…896fbacked Astros | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2d…e348backed Astros | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 181 | 59.1%107 W · 74 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Astros | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Astros | 61c | 94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Astros | 59c | 93.86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Astros | 60c | 91.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee8…ef4dbacked Astros | 60c | 88.93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4a…3461backed Astros | 60c | 84.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Astros | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Astros | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0b…0791backed Astros | 60c | 78.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…178cbacked Astros | 54c | 65.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Cubs | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Astros | 76c | 63.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cubs | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x618f…3f9ebacked Astros | 58c | 58.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfe…d12abacked Cubs | 42c | 56.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Astros | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Astros | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…489dbacked Astros | 60c | 48.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb989…2f2abacked Cubs | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…c14fbacked Cubs | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Cubs | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a42…b555backed Cubs | 42c | 45.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…f004backed Cubs | 41c | 43.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Astros | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…a24cbacked Astros | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb728…fc92backed Cubs | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97da…d63bbacked Cubs | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…6968backed Astros | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…c9c8backed Cubs | 41c | 39.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c1…1098backed Astros | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.