Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35d8c42a467d4e485ffba50c5d2d984ed0793f4935319ca923b494798051c8ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,223,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,356,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,223,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94a4…6356backed Yes | 80c | 378,377$302,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,710.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.48per pick | 65cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…b94bbacked No | 20c | 348,997$71,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,274.19 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 27c | 267,353$72,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195,208.05 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 29c | 82,964$23,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,825.68 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…129abacked No | 79c | 62,250$49,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,042.19 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 61c | 49,389$30,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,158.58 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 78c | 48,690$37,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,907.92 | 930 | 40.3%375 W · 555 L | -67.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…c7c3backed Yes | 66c | 40,069$26,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,482.73 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 0c | 37,700$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.4 | 91 | 1.1%1 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca7…8195backed Yes | 40c | 34,680$13,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,852.18 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 74c | 33,391$24,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,811.93 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +192%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 20c | 32,559$6,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,078.24 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…4a37backed No | 76c | 25,296$19,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,258.07 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 21c | 25,000$5,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,726.83 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45e…605fbacked No | 79c | 24,011$19,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,009.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f05…8b8bbacked Yes | 67c | 23,780$15,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,933.88 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1a…9732backed No | 57c | 19,928$11,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,303.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefb3…02bfbacked Yes | 46c | 19,563$8,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,610.83 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x997d…decfbacked No | 14c | 19,343$2,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad26…589cbacked Yes | 14c | 18,867$2,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,314.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +435.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 22c | 18,413$3,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,447.6 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…eddabacked Yes | 20c | 18,260$3,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,526.46 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 25c | 18,079$4,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,470.5 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Yes | 23c | 16,380$3,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,608.78 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 66c | 15,103$10,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,039.92 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…4b43backed No | 31c | 14,614$4,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,585.7 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…1e69backed Yes | 72c | 13,507$9,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,727.81 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…d6abbacked Yes | 18c | 12,204$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,050.02 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b6…676fbacked No | 49c | 12,186$5,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,980.81 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked No | 80c | 11,949$9,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,535.48 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…dbb9backed Yes | 45c | 10,575$4,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,803.31 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 42c | 9,652$4,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,553.19 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeff…59dabacked Yes | 20c | 9,500$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,612 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac3e…8150backed No | 70c | 9,267$6,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,522.84 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…9989backed No | 78c | 9,235$7,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,166.2 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 39c | 9,005$3,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,536.58 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4028…5f4abacked Yes | 22c | 8,402$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,525.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +124%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0780…01bcbacked Yes | 16c | 8,012$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,745.02 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833a…adecbacked Yes | 24c | 7,821$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,942.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 21c | 7,720$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,131.34 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…2598backed Yes | 20c | 7,572$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,051.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb6…2992backed Yes | 17c | 7,441$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,180.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +193.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ef…812cbacked Yes | 37c | 7,151$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,528.96 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes | 45c | 7,076$3,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,869.85 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 22c | 7,008$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,490.53 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15b…5215backed No | 79c | 6,630$5,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,220.61 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…9099backed Yes | 19c | 6,526$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,286.36 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…65e5backed Yes | 42c | 6,110$2,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,518.74 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x455b…59f2backed No | 76c | 6,000$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,559.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…9b2ebacked No | 80c | 5,928$4,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,731.93 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Yes | 19c | 5,619$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,551.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…bef0backed No | 40c | 5,602$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235.48 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…dc8dbacked No | 32c | 5,530$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.23 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca88…efb2backed Yes | 20c | 5,514$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,411.37 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 23c | 5,498$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,240.12 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked No | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,850 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa656…2c73backed No | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63b0…4cf2backed Yes | 25c | 4,983$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,761.54 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…a563backed No | 32c | 4,972$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…d84ebacked Yes | 34c | 4,921$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,270.42 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac5…590ebacked No | 79c | 4,766$3,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,762.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 19c | 4,760$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,865.51 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…e19fbacked Yes | 18c | 4,704$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,843.38 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f9…1d08backed Yes | 24c | 4,696$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,568.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe620…03acbacked Yes | 19c | 4,688$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,783.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5039…946dbacked No | 46c | 4,649$2,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.42 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 21c | 4,402$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,460.43 | 95 | 6.3%6 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 25c | 4,279$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,212.6 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c92…ebd9backed Yes | 72c | 4,255$3,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 21c | 4,113$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266.68 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf5…b17fbacked Yes | 36c | 4,081$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,596 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf71f…043abacked Yes | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e7…6e8bbacked Yes | 63c | 3,980$2,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.24 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Yes | 15c | 3,972$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,382.9 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…252dbacked No | 76c | 3,957$3,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,007.22 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c8…6109backed Yes | 24c | 3,861$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,923.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…aa53backed No | 80c | 3,795$3,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,021.72 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 26c | 3,713$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730.37 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e9…3dcfbacked No | 76c | 3,600$2,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,741.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x301e…b192backed No | 79c | 3,524$2,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,797.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed No | 53c | 3,495$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes | 17c | 3,378$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,795.95 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed No | 64c | 3,344$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146.8 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0f…6e2ebacked Yes | 79c | 3,257$2,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576f…819abacked Yes | 15c | 3,179$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,702.84 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…9840backed Yes | 20c | 3,173$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.7 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3f…9ed2backed Yes | 51c | 3,166$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.96 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ad…bd19backed Yes | 9c | 3,130$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,857.5 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e3…78f3backed No | 72c | 3,050$2,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 56c | 3,035$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.72 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 45c | 3,027$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.13 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd885…e58fbacked Yes | 21c | 3,009$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,372.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 9c | 2,886$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,626.41 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.25per pick | 34cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked Yes | 20c | 2,885$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.5 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe661…b679backed Yes | 10c | 2,857$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.33 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…357cbacked Yes | 53c | 2,830$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.68 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf215…f719backed Yes | 16c | 2,775$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,337.78 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 69c | 2,738$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.01 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfb…f1ffbacked Yes | 75c | 2,691$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.4 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…f61ebacked Yes | 23c | 2,656$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.3 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.