Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5b1eaace4228a08c44dd5e738a8fff4face87e1c46675d275b6f9cbee9d367a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $402,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $405,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $402,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x801b…cb50backed No | 0c | 172,344$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…e1f8backed No | 0c | 23,002$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 69c | 22,193$15,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,826.19 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed No | 32c | 13,028$4,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,126.05 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe15b…bb64backed No | 0c | 11,508$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked No | 48c | 8,031$3,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,834.2 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes | 75c | 5,828$4,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.69 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 61c | 5,672$3,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,231.68 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 8c | 5,557$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.93 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7334…81dabacked No | 18c | 5,049$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.05 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x740c…d013backed No | 35c | 4,188$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.29 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed No | 16c | 3,512$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.83 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…bcb1backed No | 1c | 2,259$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…cdcbbacked No | 41c | 2,146$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.51 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…e845backed Yes | 55c | 2,092$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed No | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 70c | 1,952$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.98 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +12.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…f015backed Yes | 60c | 1,813$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.41 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +20.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 39c | 1,544$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.48 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc19a…66bbbacked Yes | 63c | 1,542$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +257.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed No | 26c | 1,238$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.82 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec7…9a5cbacked No | 41c | 1,106$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd187…c76cbacked Yes | 68c | 1,098$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.67 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa9…9072backed No | 43c | 1,006$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…8880backed No | 44c | 997.83$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 63c | 881.94$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.65 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 33c | 806.63$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.03 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa15e…b53bbacked Yes | 35c | 800$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 36c | 777$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.72 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa789…7000backed Yes | 59c | 745.11$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked No | 38c | 641.37$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.91 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed No | 4c | 600$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…4d47backed Yes | 63c | 581.63$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 37c | 548.93$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.73 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf3…b1babacked No | 43c | 527.53$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.69 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98a…0550backed Yes | 59c | 502.63$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 28c | 499.57$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.08 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…17babacked No | 39c | 487.79$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.24 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 39c | 440.21$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.26 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 4c | 425$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30e8…38b0backed No | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26a9…3cc3backed Yes | 66c | 399.99$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 22c | 382.78$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.57 | 198 | 7.1%14 W · 184 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78a0…72d9backed Yes | 66c | 367.63$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa426…dd85backed No | 34c | 367.05$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…d52dbacked Yes | 66c | 360.42$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…2e44backed No | 40c | 360.34$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…ef60backed Yes | 56c | 359.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.26 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 16c | 351.31$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 390 | 34.4%134 W · 256 L | -33.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x880a…308ebacked No | 13c | 347.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb2…a30cbacked No | 15c | 328.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed No | 16c | 326.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 56c | 292.56$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.91 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…1c37backed Yes | 69c | 292.48$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.64 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…993bbacked No | 23c | 273.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.21 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 74c | 260.33$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 24c | 255.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -10.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…0937backed No | 41c | 238.19$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…d030backed No | 42c | 227.08$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.36 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Yes | 71c | 223.29$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.75 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…80c0backed Yes | 59c | 210.51$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…78d1backed Yes | 63c | 208.33$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc31…7e2bbacked No | 21c | 206.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…615bbacked No | 47c | 203.74$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.76 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x457a…cffcbacked No | 42c | 201.37$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…2112backed No | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed No | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…c680backed No | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +277.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…67e3backed No | 33c | 199.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ef…812cbacked Yes | 79c | 190.74$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…81c0backed Yes | 64c | 174.56$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5d…adc4backed Yes | 62c | 174.42$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.47 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…da3fbacked No | 42c | 173.15$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.49 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac0…071ebacked No | 39c | 168.46$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…8bd6backed Yes | 59c | 163.93$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…c646backed Yes | 59c | 163.93$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +141.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 60c | 161.55$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc126…26c6backed No | 33c | 158.05$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae46…a663backed Yes | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa56c…a440backed Yes | 57c | 149.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 77c | 149$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52c7…1c61backed No | 40c | 148.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42fa…a9abbacked No | 31c | 144.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…5460backed No | 36c | 118.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc48c…8dd6backed No | 31c | 111.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc5…df27backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…6190backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed No | 31c | 97.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd18a…943abacked Yes | 66c | 97.27$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…ecd0backed Yes | 74c | 92.18$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed2…7d79backed Yes | 69c | 90.13$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca52…0cdfbacked No | 47c | 85.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7748…58d7backed No | 41c | 85.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbec…b6a5backed No | 37c | 83.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…1919backed Yes | 72c | 81.56$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d53…3fdfbacked No | 39c | 76.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…feb9backed No | 26c | 72.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d42…bd12backed Yes | 75c | 69.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf496…02a1backed Yes | 74c | 66.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.