TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Commodities · resolved market

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,262,592
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,605,160

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,262,592 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 266 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56ba…96abbacked Yes2c37,731$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.071816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-61.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e45…5b3fbacked Yes5c32,405$1,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.55120%0 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff7c…b233backed Yes3c31,740$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.5632023.4%75 W · 245 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes2c29,460$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.792420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-49.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25d7…c2bfbacked Yes1c28,104$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.05160%0 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes8c27,163$2,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,117.6910930.3%33 W · 76 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-33.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes3c26,607$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.17948.5%8 W · 86 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-70.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef08…1d55backed Yes2c25,801$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.4780%0 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x826b…2669backed Yes7c25,586$1,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,729.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ccc…5a0fbacked Yes3c24,252$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.5140%0 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8361…8e6dbacked Yes1c23,717$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.98580%0 W · 58 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1630…e3fdbacked Yes3c23,143$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.87714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-81.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0034…cdfdbacked Yes4c21,939$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.8333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-50.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a7b…e9ebbacked Yes1c19,563$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.51637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+111.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x48ae…a5c8backed Yes3c15,881$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.63120%0 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes5c14,778$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.032133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+42.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b6b…9a8abacked Yes2c14,515$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.82170%0 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb68b…6893backed Yes0c14,402$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9480%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e5c…3036backed Yes4c14,400$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.82010%2 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-51.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed Yes2c12,265$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.843122.6%7 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e42…0098backed Yes6c11,963$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.1540%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed Yes3c11,607$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.191884.3%8 W · 180 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-41.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55d7…008dbacked Yes7c11,345$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.631612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-73.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0954…1672backed Yes1c11,057$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.4590%0 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53b6…0721backed Yes2c10,438$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253b…0ae7backed Yes6c10,303$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.56316.5%2 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+243.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80c7…2c9fbacked Yes2c10,210$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.01120%0 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdbc…f38bbacked Yes1c10,033$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.890%0 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x576f…819abacked Yes1c9,558$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.21454.4%2 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick14cpaid-81.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x155d…e868backed Yes2c9,398$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.980%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes4c9,393$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.012324.3%10 W · 222 L-0.7wins0.00per pick5cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5770…43b8backed Yes2c9,280$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.9570%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5dd…11a5backed Yes7c9,242$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fef…3c7ebacked Yes2c8,758$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.3770%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe876…dea5backed Yes10c8,749$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.8960%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd16…649cbacked Yes5c8,469$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.03110%0 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x772e…885fbacked Yes3c8,311$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf474…feb7backed Yes4c7,516$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.5340%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc485…c2a2backed Yes6c7,363$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.511233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-47.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9277…fd29backed Yes3c7,212$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.3119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-86.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b0f…840ebacked Yes2c6,906$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.4890%0 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x624d…e7f3backed Yes3c6,869$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.0830%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes4c6,719$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.09100%0 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes2c6,500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.53956.3%6 W · 89 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick10cpaid+21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes2c6,173$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3512126.4%32 W · 89 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes5c6,160$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.276710.4%7 W · 60 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-58.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes5c6,119$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.582334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-42.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a7…5793backed Yes1c6,016$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8590%0 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ebd…7ffebacked Yes3c6,000$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-74.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x978e…80bcbacked Yes0c6,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124325.6%11 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes1c5,935$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5221011.9%25 W · 185 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-59.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6b3…6285backed Yes2c5,704$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.330%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90d1…f62abacked Yes2c5,609$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.25310%0 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbd6…3824backed Yes1c5,543$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8440%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4266…0e08backed Yes7c5,380$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.591526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-41.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Yes3c5,260$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.511212.5%3 W · 118 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-63.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes5c5,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2703619.4%7 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-66%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc270…1379backed Yes5c4,982$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.071020%2 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x444c…9d2ebacked Yes3c4,756$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.635841.4%24 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3096…58a3backed Yes3c4,710$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.216526.2%17 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c96…8708backed Yes2c4,416$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3240%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes3c4,314$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.367011.4%8 W · 62 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-61.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c06…62e3backed Yes7c4,281$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.133135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa388…d84ebacked Yes1c4,186$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.04911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-66.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c8…c0ddbacked Yes6c4,083$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.1330%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2e…41f7backed Yes3c3,904$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.632010%2 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick6cpaid-46.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe87f…7822backed Yes3c3,842$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.29100%0 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7854…8289backed Yes6c3,800$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x460a…a5b0backed Yes2c3,792$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.011010%1 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick32cpaid-85.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cb9…cd6fbacked Yes5c3,658$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.3230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2335…4ebdbacked Yes4c3,520$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc0f…5fe7backed Yes3c3,415$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x496d…345ebacked Yes3c3,353$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.84520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-74.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Yes3c3,351$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.37238.7%2 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc2…1e51backed Yes1c3,318$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.71120%0 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7655…1fa8backed Yes3c3,228$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.442920.7%6 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e44…9863backed Yes8c3,143$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.4740%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd94f…0cf5backed Yes6c3,104$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x625f…e2c0backed Yes4c2,989$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.715915.3%9 W · 50 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-49.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac5c…7b5bbacked Yes10c2,885$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.880%0 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb626…2138backed Yes3c2,828$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.021010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-84.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9725…46d0backed Yes2c2,710$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.071631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick23cpaid-34.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6026…d7cebacked Yes3c2,635$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc58…d65cbacked Yes6c2,438$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x208e…3250backed Yes2c2,430$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0830%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a4d…2a21backed Yes5c2,374$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63f1…6272backed Yes4c2,280$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6811628.4%33 W · 83 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed Yes3c2,273$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7621015.7%33 W · 177 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd426…87cbbacked Yes6c2,152$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.4130%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes4c2,149$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5411615.5%18 W · 98 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+38.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf75f…0988backed Yes1c2,138$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.96326.3%2 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-81.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73d7…11b2backed Yes4c2,123$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.173517.1%6 W · 29 L-6.5wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-73.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x802f…bfbfbacked Yes1c2,072$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe129…b549backed Yes2c2,070$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0990%0 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36da…8218backed Yes7c2,000$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1483112.9%4 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick23cpaid+111.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c02…afd5backed Yes1c1,974$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6380%0 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf61e…e701backed Yes3c1,936$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0340%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5b6…a878backed Yes10c1,934$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc390…2a1fbacked Yes2c1,922$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.994318.6%8 W · 35 L-8.7wins-0.20per pick39cpaid-65.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xeb4b…5166backed Yes2c1,918$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.891428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.