Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7794386e4e2b6976c6c84ea4b8cf58cf2dc856d579ad8d0243a37e60dd4ff74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,262,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,605,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,262,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 266 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56ba…96abbacked Yes | 2c | 37,731$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.07 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…5b3fbacked Yes | 5c | 32,405$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.55 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 3c | 31,740$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.56 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 2c | 29,460$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.79 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d7…c2bfbacked Yes | 1c | 28,104$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.05 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 8c | 27,163$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.69 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 3c | 26,607$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.17 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef08…1d55backed Yes | 2c | 25,801$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.47 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x826b…2669backed Yes | 7c | 25,586$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…5a0fbacked Yes | 3c | 24,252$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.5 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8361…8e6dbacked Yes | 1c | 23,717$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.98 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1630…e3fdbacked Yes | 3c | 23,143$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.87 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0034…cdfdbacked Yes | 4c | 21,939$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…e9ebbacked Yes | 1c | 19,563$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48ae…a5c8backed Yes | 3c | 15,881$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.63 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 5c | 14,778$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.03 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…9a8abacked Yes | 2c | 14,515$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.82 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…6893backed Yes | 0c | 14,402$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 4c | 14,400$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.8 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 2c | 12,265$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.84 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e42…0098backed Yes | 6c | 11,963$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 3c | 11,607$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.19 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d7…008dbacked Yes | 7c | 11,345$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.63 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…1672backed Yes | 1c | 11,057$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.45 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b6…0721backed Yes | 2c | 10,438$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…0ae7backed Yes | 6c | 10,303$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.56 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +243.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c7…2c9fbacked Yes | 2c | 10,210$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.01 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…f38bbacked Yes | 1c | 10,033$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576f…819abacked Yes | 1c | 9,558$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.21 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…e868backed Yes | 2c | 9,398$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.9 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 9,393$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.01 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5770…43b8backed Yes | 2c | 9,280$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.95 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…11a5backed Yes | 7c | 9,242$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fef…3c7ebacked Yes | 2c | 8,758$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.37 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe876…dea5backed Yes | 10c | 8,749$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.89 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd16…649cbacked Yes | 5c | 8,469$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.03 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x772e…885fbacked Yes | 3c | 8,311$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…feb7backed Yes | 4c | 7,516$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc485…c2a2backed Yes | 6c | 7,363$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.51 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9277…fd29backed Yes | 3c | 7,212$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.3 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0f…840ebacked Yes | 2c | 6,906$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.48 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624d…e7f3backed Yes | 3c | 6,869$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Yes | 4c | 6,719$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.09 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 2c | 6,500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.53 | 95 | 6.3%6 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 2c | 6,173$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.35 | 121 | 26.4%32 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 5c | 6,160$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.27 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 5c | 6,119$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.58 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…5793backed Yes | 1c | 6,016$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebd…7ffebacked Yes | 3c | 6,000$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x978e…80bcbacked Yes | 0c | 6,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 1c | 5,935$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 210 | 11.9%25 W · 185 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b3…6285backed Yes | 2c | 5,704$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…f62abacked Yes | 2c | 5,609$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.25 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd6…3824backed Yes | 1c | 5,543$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Yes | 7c | 5,380$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.59 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 3c | 5,260$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.51 | 121 | 2.5%3 W · 118 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 5c | 5,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc270…1379backed Yes | 5c | 4,982$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.07 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x444c…9d2ebacked Yes | 3c | 4,756$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.63 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…58a3backed Yes | 3c | 4,710$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.21 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…8708backed Yes | 2c | 4,416$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 3c | 4,314$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.36 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed Yes | 7c | 4,281$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.13 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…d84ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,186$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…c0ddbacked Yes | 6c | 4,083$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2e…41f7backed Yes | 3c | 3,904$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.63 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87f…7822backed Yes | 3c | 3,842$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.29 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7854…8289backed Yes | 6c | 3,800$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…a5b0backed Yes | 2c | 3,792$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.01 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb9…cd6fbacked Yes | 5c | 3,658$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2335…4ebdbacked Yes | 4c | 3,520$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0f…5fe7backed Yes | 3c | 3,415$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496d…345ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,353$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Yes | 3c | 3,351$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.37 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc2…1e51backed Yes | 1c | 3,318$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…1fa8backed Yes | 3c | 3,228$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.44 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e44…9863backed Yes | 8c | 3,143$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd94f…0cf5backed Yes | 6c | 3,104$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…e2c0backed Yes | 4c | 2,989$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.71 | 59 | 15.3%9 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac5c…7b5bbacked Yes | 10c | 2,885$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.8 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb626…2138backed Yes | 3c | 2,828$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.02 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9725…46d0backed Yes | 2c | 2,710$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6026…d7cebacked Yes | 3c | 2,635$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc58…d65cbacked Yes | 6c | 2,438$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x208e…3250backed Yes | 2c | 2,430$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4d…2a21backed Yes | 5c | 2,374$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Yes | 4c | 2,280$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 3c | 2,273$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.76 | 210 | 15.7%33 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…87cbbacked Yes | 6c | 2,152$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,149$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.54 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…0988backed Yes | 1c | 2,138$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d7…11b2backed Yes | 4c | 2,123$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.17 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…bfbfbacked Yes | 1c | 2,072$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…b549backed Yes | 2c | 2,070$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c02…afd5backed Yes | 1c | 1,974$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf61e…e701backed Yes | 3c | 1,936$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b6…a878backed Yes | 10c | 1,934$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…2a1fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,922$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -8.7wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…5166backed Yes | 2c | 1,918$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.