Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9ba87b215c428104ba0aba73be5dce7d62466f499186f15f2e75719a1c9f0e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $812,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $722,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $812,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6e0…b541backed No | 0c | 298,828$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.72 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…b94bbacked No | 34c | 54,504$18,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,400.4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb935…204bbacked No | 0c | 42,242$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca7…8195backed No | 0c | 38,218$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.73 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…0dc0backed No | 0c | 31,839$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 3c | 31,303$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.82 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf621…679cbacked No | 0c | 20,564$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes | 67c | 18,763$12,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,241.93 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked No | 26c | 14,478$3,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,761.5 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafc0…5087backed Yes | 68c | 10,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.99 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…7a2bbacked Yes | 66c | 9,962$6,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,373.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked Yes | 73c | 9,926$7,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,661.24 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…ca94backed No | 3c | 7,488$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 67c | 7,140$4,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.11 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…7457backed Yes | 72c | 4,776$3,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.21 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…f015backed No | 10c | 4,725$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.3 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +20.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed No | 0c | 4,601$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +7.5wins | +0.44per pick | 27cpaid | +155.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed No | 15c | 3,857$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.55 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…c492backed Yes | 70c | 3,685$2,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…d7cebacked Yes | 48c | 3,619$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…c0a4backed No | 27c | 3,545$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.13 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed No | 34c | 3,202$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.12 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed No | 49c | 3,025$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d97…d127backed No | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed No | 55c | 2,938$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.07 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…91adbacked Yes | 72c | 2,869$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed No | 24c | 2,689$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.96 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 55c | 2,500$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…a563backed No | 19c | 2,358$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe652…d114backed No | 28c | 2,302$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.65 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked No | 35c | 2,236$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.19 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 34c | 2,172$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.33 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed No | 29c | 2,021$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…fe61backed Yes | 61c | 1,990$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.06 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff99…5602backed Yes | 66c | 1,474$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.14 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…2afabacked Yes | 69c | 1,415$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 38cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce0c…2945backed Yes | 69c | 1,381$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.17 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4901…cc02backed Yes | 65c | 1,367$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.38 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed Yes | 68c | 1,336$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.74 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 45c | 1,292$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.67 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…4a62backed Yes | 67c | 1,243$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 49c | 1,234$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.64 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 64c | 1,222$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.02 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2784…e60abacked No | 32c | 1,168$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac3e…8150backed No | 46c | 1,155$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.67 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff3…8c08backed No | 33c | 1,114$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.06 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked Yes | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 30c | 1,026$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.34 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…0e97backed Yes | 68c | 1,002$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc320…7637backed No | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Yes | 69c | 980.82$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.51 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 55c | 965$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.85 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 68c | 961.53$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.58 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed No | 26c | 898.41$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.86 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 69c | 860.99$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.64 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…2d1abacked No | 14c | 800$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…2a1fbacked Yes | 57c | 779.63$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.46 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -8.7wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…705bbacked Yes | 76c | 761.37$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed No | 18c | 757.69$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.92 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed No | 3c | 651.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 71c | 650.89$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.41 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 74c | 650$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…fcbabacked No | 34c | 648.7$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.66 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e7…0c68backed Yes | 79c | 623.21$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e07…3545backed No | 20c | 617.64$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a86…f8e8backed No | 17c | 600$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes | 54c | 597.87$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.02 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…c312backed No | 11c | 579$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…008cbacked Yes | 74c | 577.1$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.44 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…04a5backed No | 17c | 565.06$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x740c…d013backed Yes | 60c | 551.34$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.91 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x793d…8720backed Yes | 72c | 539.9$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.79 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53aa…cf0bbacked No | 30c | 525.31$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 62c | 503.9$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.42 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +12.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…a4d6backed Yes | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7707…3873backed Yes | 77c | 499.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed No | 34c | 450$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf95…7e16backed Yes | 54c | 442.81$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 43c | 442.12$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.11 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…3d3bbacked Yes | 68c | 440$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.8 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880a…308ebacked No | 20c | 428$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.2 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 27c | 423$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.21 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…9d74backed Yes | 52c | 400$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53d3…ba87backed Yes | 69c | 395.86$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.98 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec53…e515backed Yes | 68c | 394.23$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 12c | 393.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 3c | 392.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Yes | 64c | 389.28$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf5…b17fbacked Yes | 58c | 377.2$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.65 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…b044backed Yes | 66c | 377.11$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +92%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes | 55c | 365.1$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.44 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…d83cbacked Yes | 55c | 350.55$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc0…9901backed Yes | 74c | 348.06$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce82…b52ebacked No | 27c | 347.77$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa9…9072backed Yes | 69c | 346.52$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.49 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x157c…7c73backed No | 25c | 344.48$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 54c | 336.67$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.73 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed No | 35c | 335$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.25 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8419…4d80backed No | 35c | 330.31$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.