TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Commodities · resolved market

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$615,659
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$559,743

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $615,659 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99d0…052dbacked No0c102,129$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1340%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked No1c43,876$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.52650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+26.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe172…248abacked No0c33,548$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.212520%5 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-59.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ca7…8195backed No1c24,406$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.93033.3%10 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-27%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed No11c23,452$2,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,542.696651.5%34 W · 32 L+6.8wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb62a…6e29backed No0c21,341$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6430…fb2fbacked No1c16,700$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.4333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick22cpaid-25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d6…966bbacked No0c13,332$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.662910.3%3 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5fd…e782backed No8c12,577$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.4930%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x730a…51a0backed No1c12,000$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737711.7%9 W · 68 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-53.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f12…e573backed No0c9,672$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8085…ea17backed No0c9,570$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.14425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-50%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed No2c9,255$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.782221.4%3 W · 219 L-0.4wins0.00per pick2cpaid+28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa80e…b94bbacked No1c9,180$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.82653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0bc…d428backed No1c8,911$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.647334.2%25 W · 48 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39c3…0c7ebacked No2c8,197$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x622e…feb9backed No0c8,136$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.494413.6%6 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-64.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e0b…d2edbacked No0c7,361$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6179…6341backed No2c6,774$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.38119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-87.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No1c5,805$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2911615.5%18 W · 98 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+38.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0753…c6aabacked No6c4,395$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.652334.8%8 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick24cpaid+61.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed No3c4,268$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.991884.3%8 W · 180 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-41.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b0…58bebacked No8c3,133$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.02520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe94b…5abebacked No7c3,061$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.615020.7%31 W · 119 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-36.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a6…644bbacked No3c2,834$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.375635.7%20 W · 36 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick25cpaid-10.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No11c2,795$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.233315.2%5 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-60.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ff…893cbacked No4c2,782$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x777f…a1bbbacked No7c2,593$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.3730238.1%115 W · 187 L+11.1wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff7c…b233backed No4c2,446$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8932023.4%75 W · 245 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked No8c2,348$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.7944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick28cpaid-1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ef…812cbacked No3c2,336$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.745143.1%22 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed No5c2,203$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.462324.3%10 W · 222 L-0.7wins0.00per pick5cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed No7c2,162$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.65425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4631…3ff9backed No1c2,129$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.72931%9 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56f0…1c37backed No1c1,841$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.734639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No2c1,718$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.266710.4%7 W · 60 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-58.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked No3c1,692$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.51912.2%2 W · 89 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-72.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x099c…3685backed No3c1,665$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0260%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1af…43d7backed No12c1,517$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.06922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-53.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9360…b9c7backed No13c1,509$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.941010%1 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick8cpaid+96.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6b…c9b6backed No13c1,504$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fdf…3b6cbacked No3c1,397$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.131241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+37.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x993c…6787backed No5c1,363$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1411921%25 W · 94 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No3c1,328$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.861987.1%14 W · 184 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-69.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd74…a4cfbacked No8c1,295$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.43450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+49.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ffe…26f4backed No3c1,266$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6413538.5%52 W · 83 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+33.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed No4c1,146$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.521212.5%3 W · 118 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-63.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbb9…1258backed No2c1,123$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.43580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+33%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2feb…b324backed No6c1,053$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.341711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-43.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6c5…6f9cbacked No2c1,020$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.432846.4%13 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+113%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf94…5757backed No2c925.76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-43.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e82…c878backed No13c807.01$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b91…c408backed No4c794.56$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.09616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-68.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed No7c779.02$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.865040%20 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4aa…51dfbacked No5c721.41$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.391747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed Yes80c618.29$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.732564%16 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe626…6771backed No2c590.72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.811050%5 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bf2…403bbacked No2c573.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.04333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd507…a6ddbacked No8c549.74$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca52…0cdfbacked Yes76c540.36$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.963033.3%10 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-43.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2eec…c999backed Yes65c535.17$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.842142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdc2…d78fbacked No3c506.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.68540%2 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick18cpaid+39.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1615…8f2bbacked Yes66c500$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1684447.7%21 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6c…f663backed No10c494.91$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+51.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34ae…0cd1backed No7c492.07$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2250%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4116…819cbacked No4c432.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No4c411.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8524126.1%63 W · 178 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No10c386.58$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1326413.3%35 W · 229 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3564…fa48backed No6c364.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.23520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb459…2a4abacked No6c361.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x444c…9d2ebacked Yes79c327.65$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.145841.4%24 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda55…49f8backed No8c293.39$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4750%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea0…2e62backed No5c236.72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc157…728cbacked Yes76c153.81$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.972133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x22f1…6415backed No7c150$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011838.1%45 W · 73 L-10.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb0fc…ce0bbacked No20c139.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.421266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dd5…94aabacked No34c129.4$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa651…1fd0backed Yes79c124.9$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.234325.6%11 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-53.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe23d…93a4backed Yes77c103.83$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.841040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-38.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92bd…a35ebacked No22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224866.7%32 W · 16 L+6.0wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+42%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0bd3…cdb6backed Yes78c59.85$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.171353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7f4…6eadbacked Yes66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c63…0403backed No44c45.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.611250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdd4…cd4abacked Yes55c44.32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.957538.7%29 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c51…af7ebacked Yes51c41.2$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50c9…dec1backed No49c40.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.61533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-46.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe754…19f4backed Yes56c26.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.873923.1%9 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-57.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0ba0…64fabacked Yes80c14.81$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.961127.3%3 W · 8 L-4.0wins-0.36per pick63cpaid-61.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.