Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86e11d511362bf0078f248de6929c832cf60c5de630f06c224a498f6198a30d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $967,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $955,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $967,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 11c | 115,614$12,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,594.41 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 3c | 74,769$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.26 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 6c | 31,206$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.45 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 7c | 17,122$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.28 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…dbb9backed Yes | 12c | 16,592$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.36 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe340…ce0dbacked Yes | 6c | 12,982$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.66 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 13c | 12,167$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.68 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43d…8a2abacked Yes | 2c | 8,174$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.86 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedba…9506backed Yes | 6c | 7,499$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 8c | 7,459$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.92 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf215…f719backed Yes | 6c | 7,434$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.78 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…9a8abacked Yes | 6c | 7,345$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.52 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefd…4f2abacked Yes | 5c | 6,424$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.14 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x740c…d013backed Yes | 20c | 5,931$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.71 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 10c | 5,929$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.5 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7334…81dabacked Yes | 2c | 5,833$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.66 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…4c8dbacked Yes | 9c | 5,439$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc46…899abacked Yes | 6c | 5,296$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.16 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 2c | 5,271$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.58 | 210 | 11.9%25 W · 185 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb3…02bfbacked Yes | 20c | 5,233$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.63 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf45d…8fd0backed Yes | 4c | 5,108$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.58 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…0988backed Yes | 9c | 5,072$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.35 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…b1c5backed Yes | 8c | 4,986$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…9840backed Yes | 15c | 4,937$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.16 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…6893backed Yes | 1c | 4,824$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 8c | 4,626$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.53 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 5c | 4,246$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.26 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 5c | 4,000$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 5c | 3,997$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.94 | 97 | 9.3%9 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc270…1379backed Yes | 24c | 3,872$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.6 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…e9ebbacked Yes | 24c | 3,625$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.97 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49b3…6486backed Yes | 29c | 3,500$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…f29ebacked Yes | 5c | 3,491$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 4c | 3,406$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.02 | 95 | 6.3%6 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd4…cd4abacked Yes | 13c | 3,210$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.69 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3f…ac90backed Yes | 7c | 3,147$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.13 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…544dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,023$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed Yes | 15c | 2,995$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576f…819abacked Yes | 5c | 2,859$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.8 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,835$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.18 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ae…a5c8backed Yes | 5c | 2,810$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.29 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…5af7backed Yes | 16c | 2,698$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 14c | 2,670$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.86 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce0c…2945backed Yes | 27c | 2,665$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.04 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 5c | 2,466$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.06 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac3e…8150backed No | 78c | 2,453$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.43 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b9…c9c8backed Yes | 21c | 2,378$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e6…eebabacked Yes | 20c | 2,373$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ba…96abbacked Yes | 13c | 2,300$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…fc8ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,276$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…363fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,242$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 6c | 2,204$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.38 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 20c | 2,202$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.98 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629f…6babbacked Yes | 7c | 2,133$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.78 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…1402backed Yes | 15c | 2,120$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.6 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…c6aabacked Yes | 4c | 2,092$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.35 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…1444backed Yes | 3c | 2,028$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed No | 78c | 2,000$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 5c | 1,897$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.62 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…20febacked Yes | 2c | 1,883$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Yes | 15c | 1,796$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.43 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked No | 78c | 1,736$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.83 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -7.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…b2bebacked Yes | 5c | 1,681$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.44 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2d…6040backed Yes | 2c | 1,641$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 16c | 1,600$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2720…7c5cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,507$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.98 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,499$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.93 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 32c | 1,384$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.69 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 9c | 1,381$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.36 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3272…d738backed Yes | 1c | 1,358$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…22bfbacked Yes | 29c | 1,309$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e7…6e8bbacked No | 75c | 1,213$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.52 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…2a1fbacked Yes | 21c | 1,175$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.26 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -8.7wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x978e…80bcbacked Yes | 2c | 1,160$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc31…7e2bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,096$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 1,090$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,045$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.65 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8404…b69fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,030$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.72 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 3c | 1,004$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 84 | 0%0 W · 84 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Yes | 6c | 998.87$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…3917backed Yes | 6c | 985$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.07 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x680b…1077backed No | 80c | 965.3$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.04 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked No | 66c | 954.91$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.67 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…fccbbacked Yes | 3c | 849.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 5c | 841.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…5f67backed Yes | 6c | 825.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4628…7010backed Yes | 4c | 816$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…15a3backed Yes | 1c | 767.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…3e15backed Yes | 8c | 719.83$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes | 6c | 703.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d4…b745backed Yes | 8c | 699.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc9…ec4bbacked Yes | 4c | 692.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9a…8a36backed Yes | 14c | 688.46$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 79c | 649.99$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…8030backed Yes | 16c | 632.07$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…c680backed No | 64c | 602.91$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43a7…0b46backed Yes | 2c | 592.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe17d…1c73backed Yes | 8c | 582.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Yes | 6c | 558.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Yes | 31c | 554.99$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.05 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.