TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Commodities · resolved market

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$967,530
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$955,507

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $967,530 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes11c115,614$12,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,594.4110930.3%33 W · 76 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-33.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7447…a16dbacked Yes3c74,769$2,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,453.266521.5%14 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-46.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25db…28debacked Yes6c31,206$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,801.459317.2%16 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes7c17,122$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.282420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-49.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c55…dbb9backed Yes12c16,592$1,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,971.363053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe340…ce0dbacked Yes6c12,982$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.6660%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd980…5be0backed Yes13c12,167$1,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,581.6890%0 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd43d…8a2abacked Yes2c8,174$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.86812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick7cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedba…9506backed Yes6c7,499$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.91333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff7c…b233backed Yes8c7,459$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.9232023.4%75 W · 245 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf215…f719backed Yes6c7,434$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.782025%5 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b6b…9a8abacked Yes6c7,345$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.52170%0 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbefd…4f2abacked Yes5c6,424$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.141323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-66.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x740c…d013backed Yes20c5,931$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.714122%9 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-52.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x993c…6787backed Yes10c5,929$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.511921%25 W · 94 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7334…81dabacked Yes2c5,833$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.663135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9797…4c8dbacked Yes9c5,439$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc46…899abacked Yes6c5,296$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.16210%0 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes2c5,271$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5821011.9%25 W · 185 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-59.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefb3…02bfbacked Yes20c5,233$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.631464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+48.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf45d…8fd0backed Yes4c5,108$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.581010%1 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-73.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf75f…0988backed Yes9c5,072$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.35326.3%2 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-81.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e02…b1c5backed Yes8c4,986$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.75520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-44.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2800…9840backed Yes15c4,937$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.162910.3%3 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-71.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb68b…6893backed Yes1c4,824$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7080%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes8c4,626$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.53948.5%8 W · 86 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-70.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed Yes5c4,246$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.261884.3%8 W · 180 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-41.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes5c4,000$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1966325.4%16 W · 47 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed Yes5c3,997$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.94979.3%9 W · 88 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc270…1379backed Yes24c3,872$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.61020%2 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a7b…e9ebbacked Yes24c3,625$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.971637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+111.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x49b3…6486backed Yes29c3,500$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a40…f29ebacked Yes5c3,491$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.85728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes4c3,406$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.02956.3%6 W · 89 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick10cpaid+21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdd4…cd4abacked Yes13c3,210$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.697538.7%29 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3f…ac90backed Yes7c3,147$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.131915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-64.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bb6…544dbacked Yes3c3,023$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc2e…2358backed Yes15c2,995$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.191050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x576f…819abacked Yes5c2,859$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.8454.4%2 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick14cpaid-81.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes3c2,835$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.18932.2%2 W · 91 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-86%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48ae…a5c8backed Yes5c2,810$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.29120%0 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6796…5af7backed Yes16c2,698$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-56%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes14c2,670$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.8615446.8%72 W · 82 L+17.9wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+69.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xce0c…2945backed Yes27c2,665$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.043528.6%10 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-57.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes5c2,466$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.06707.1%5 W · 65 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-77.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac3e…8150backed No78c2,453$1,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.434447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98b9…c9c8backed Yes21c2,378$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.3250%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6e6…eebabacked Yes20c2,373$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.8930%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ba…96abbacked Yes13c2,300$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2991816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-61.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a35…fc8ebacked Yes1c2,276$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.32616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e16…363fbacked Yes3c2,242$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed Yes6c2,204$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.388637.2%32 W · 54 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa540…0b43backed Yes20c2,202$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.981,27724.3%310 W · 967 L-58.2wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629f…6babbacked Yes7c2,133$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.7850%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6986…1402backed Yes15c2,120$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.61717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-67.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0753…c6aabacked Yes4c2,092$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.352334.8%8 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick24cpaid+61.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe99…1444backed Yes3c2,028$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed No78c2,000$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4458051.3%41 W · 39 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x36da…8218backed Yes5c1,897$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.623112.9%4 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick23cpaid+111.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0b6…20febacked Yes2c1,883$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4160%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Yes15c1,796$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.43238.7%2 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5f…634dbacked No78c1,736$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.833842.1%16 W · 22 L-7.3wins-0.19per pick61cpaid-37.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3e59…b2bebacked Yes5c1,681$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.441414.3%2 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid-59.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc2d…6040backed Yes2c1,641$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e5c…3036backed Yes16c1,600$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2622010%2 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-51.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2720…7c5cbacked Yes6c1,507$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.98140%0 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes7c1,499$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.936440.6%26 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Yes32c1,384$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.693619.4%7 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-65.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes9c1,381$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.366710.4%7 W · 60 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-58.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3272…d738backed Yes1c1,358$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-40.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22fb…22bfbacked Yes29c1,309$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.2240%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x61e7…6e8bbacked No75c1,213$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.523762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc390…2a1fbacked Yes21c1,175$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.264318.6%8 W · 35 L-8.7wins-0.20per pick39cpaid-65.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x978e…80bcbacked Yes2c1,160$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204325.6%11 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc31…7e2bbacked Yes6c1,096$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.71345.9%2 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick16cpaid-77.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes1c1,090$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.56230%0 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes15c1,045$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.657011.4%8 W · 62 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-61.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8404…b69fbacked Yes9c1,030$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.72100%0 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes3c1,004$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.11840%0 W · 84 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7253…89edbacked Yes6c998.87$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.941233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc18b…3917backed Yes6c985$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0710126.7%27 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x680b…1077backed No80c965.3$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.043265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked No66c954.91$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.677244.4%32 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x859d…fccbbacked Yes3c849.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1825%2 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes5c841.51$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.94664.5%3 W · 63 L-0.2wins0.00per pick5cpaid-60.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d57…5f67backed Yes6c825.92$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.22540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4628…7010backed Yes4c816$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4930%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x101c…15a3backed Yes1c767.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.041827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-44%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ced…3e15backed Yes8c719.83$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8860%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes6c703.12$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.953050%15 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59d4…b745backed Yes8c699.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.852737%10 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fc9…ec4bbacked Yes4c692.45$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.71921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b9a…8a36backed Yes14c688.46$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0740%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d73…216bbacked No79c649.99$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.514849.3%73 W · 75 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9b7…8030backed Yes16c632.07$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.19757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd4…c680backed No64c602.91$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.292744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43a7…0b46backed Yes2c592.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.075628.6%16 W · 40 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe17d…1c73backed Yes8c582.81$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.84166.3%1 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-55.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Yes6c558.59$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.962222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Yes31c554.99$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.05825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-59.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.