Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb239fc1e9c6824ff066a409ff3c414581477e398494acb7a95270c7f800033f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,163,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,416,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,163,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 7c | 98,261$6,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,878.76 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…e798backed Yes | 4c | 39,412$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.85 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…6893backed Yes | 0c | 35,812$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.44 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 4c | 31,260$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.05 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 4c | 26,794$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.61 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 4c | 25,413$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.91 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…5a0fbacked Yes | 5c | 24,441$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.42 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c23…6e68backed Yes | 4c | 23,425$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…e39dbacked Yes | 5c | 19,716$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 2c | 17,742$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.8 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7473…87babacked Yes | 2c | 17,671$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…11a5backed Yes | 8c | 16,816$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…5793backed Yes | 1c | 16,787$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.97 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…9324backed Yes | 10c | 16,247$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 1c | 15,400$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.48 | 95 | 6.3%6 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ba…96abbacked Yes | 4c | 14,118$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.73 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…5b3fbacked Yes | 6c | 13,663$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.41 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fef…3c7ebacked Yes | 4c | 12,782$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9277…fd29backed Yes | 7c | 12,032$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.34 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…c0ddbacked Yes | 4c | 11,858$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b6…676fbacked Yes | 9c | 11,715$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.17 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 4c | 11,417$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.54 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 2c | 10,989$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.85 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Yes | 5c | 10,907$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.68 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 10,416$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.9 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…35c9backed Yes | 3c | 10,210$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 5c | 9,894$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.98 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 6c | 9,861$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.01 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf7…5c2dbacked Yes | 11c | 9,543$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…8708backed Yes | 4c | 9,491$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e8…10c6backed Yes | 3c | 9,192$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…1fa8backed Yes | 4c | 9,150$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.51 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1630…e3fdbacked Yes | 5c | 8,881$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…9a8abacked Yes | 2c | 8,710$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.16 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24c…dafabacked Yes | 4c | 7,817$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac5c…7b5bbacked Yes | 5c | 7,563$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.28 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef22…8c02backed Yes | 4c | 7,489$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.02 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…e9ebbacked Yes | 3c | 7,305$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.12 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…f29ebacked Yes | 1c | 6,982$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d7…008dbacked Yes | 12c | 6,644$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.84 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…605fbacked Yes | 1c | 6,499$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.99 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x336e…a73ebacked Yes | 3c | 6,109$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 7c | 6,014$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.27 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d7…c2bfbacked Yes | 1c | 5,982$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 6c | 5,964$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.72 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7f…dc59backed Yes | 2c | 5,857$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.74 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9bb…8dd3backed Yes | 6c | 5,710$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed Yes | 11c | 5,512$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.89 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28fb…cf9bbacked Yes | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…0ae7backed Yes | 6c | 4,871$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.37 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +243.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc2…1e51backed Yes | 1c | 4,792$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.24 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…e868backed Yes | 2c | 4,753$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 5c | 4,736$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.37 | 121 | 2.5%3 W · 118 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8361…8e6dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,612$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.94 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576f…819abacked Yes | 3c | 4,341$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.13 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d15…a137backed Yes | 14c | 4,192$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…58a3backed Yes | 3c | 4,159$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.05 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…7ed7backed Yes | 11c | 4,106$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa241…45f7backed Yes | 10c | 4,091$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.03 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e44…9863backed Yes | 10c | 4,068$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa4…5f8cbacked Yes | 5c | 3,930$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e68…d03fbacked Yes | 10c | 3,831$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…0988backed Yes | 3c | 3,725$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.24 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Yes | 10c | 3,571$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.78 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 2c | 3,554$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 210 | 11.9%25 W · 185 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…7c45backed Yes | 10c | 3,446$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc46…899abacked Yes | 1c | 3,312$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 5c | 3,212$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.01 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 9c | 3,142$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc270…1379backed Yes | 9c | 3,020$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.21 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…9411backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 4c | 2,971$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.91 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb444…c7f2backed Yes | 2c | 2,850$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…0c95backed Yes | 6c | 2,828$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.83 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 4c | 2,821$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.13 | 210 | 15.7%33 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718e…3ef9backed Yes | 1c | 2,739$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe876…dea5backed Yes | 14c | 2,664$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.49 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…b549backed Yes | 4c | 2,564$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.29 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8404…b69fbacked Yes | 8c | 2,554$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.8 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0815…49fcbacked Yes | 6c | 2,543$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 5c | 2,478$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.45 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e11…cbcdbacked Yes | 2c | 2,356$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7235…2faabacked Yes | 4c | 2,256$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.02 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a1…9da4backed Yes | 11c | 2,210$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 3c | 2,206$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 84 | 0%0 W · 84 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…e2c0backed Yes | 5c | 2,186$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 59 | 15.3%9 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Yes | 5c | 2,044$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.36 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…0158backed Yes | 9c | 2,026$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.46 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…d84ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,016$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef08…1d55backed Yes | 4c | 2,010$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.43 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…1a14backed Yes | 1c | 1,989$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe87f…7822backed Yes | 4c | 1,938$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.67 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x274a…2246backed Yes | 5c | 1,921$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 5c | 1,820$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17c…004ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,800$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f9…f0a6backed Yes | 10c | 1,799$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.65 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aef…f331backed Yes | 10c | 1,796$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf61e…e701backed Yes | 5c | 1,783$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9725…46d0backed Yes | 3c | 1,773$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6a…46d1backed Yes | 1c | 1,725$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.