TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Commodities · resolved market

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,163,029
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,416,773

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,163,029 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes7c98,261$6,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,878.7610930.3%33 W · 76 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-33.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d16…e798backed Yes4c39,412$1,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,640.85140%0 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb68b…6893backed Yes0c35,812$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4480%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed Yes4c31,260$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.053122.6%7 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff7c…b233backed Yes4c26,794$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.6132023.4%75 W · 245 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes4c25,413$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.91948.5%8 W · 86 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-70.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ccc…5a0fbacked Yes5c24,441$1,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.42140%0 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c23…6e68backed Yes4c23,425$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.71333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid-31.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a26…e39dbacked Yes5c19,716$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes2c17,742$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.82420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-49.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7473…87babacked Yes2c17,671$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5dd…11a5backed Yes8c16,816$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,390.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a7…5793backed Yes1c16,787$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.9790%0 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f9e…9324backed Yes10c16,247$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes1c15,400$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.48956.3%6 W · 89 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick10cpaid+21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ba…96abbacked Yes4c14,118$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.731816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-61.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e45…5b3fbacked Yes6c13,663$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.41120%0 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fef…3c7ebacked Yes4c12,782$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.870%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9277…fd29backed Yes7c12,032$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.34119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-86.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8c8…c0ddbacked Yes4c11,858$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.6530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45b6…676fbacked Yes9c11,715$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.171513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-75.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed Yes4c11,417$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.541884.3%8 W · 180 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-41.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes2c10,989$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.853619.4%7 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-66%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x63f1…6272backed Yes5c10,907$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.6811628.4%33 W · 83 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes5c10,416$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.92324.3%10 W · 222 L-0.7wins0.00per pick5cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x212b…35c9backed Yes3c10,210$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.5130%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes5c9,894$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.987011.4%8 W · 62 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-61.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e5c…3036backed Yes6c9,861$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.012010%2 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-51.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf7…5c2dbacked Yes11c9,543$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c96…8708backed Yes4c9,491$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.6740%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6e8…10c6backed Yes3c9,192$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7655…1fa8backed Yes4c9,150$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.512920.7%6 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1630…e3fdbacked Yes5c8,881$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.4714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-81.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b6b…9a8abacked Yes2c8,710$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.16170%0 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc24c…dafabacked Yes4c7,817$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.8550%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac5c…7b5bbacked Yes5c7,563$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.2880%0 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef22…8c02backed Yes4c7,489$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.02140%0 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a7b…e9ebbacked Yes3c7,305$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.121637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+111.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a40…f29ebacked Yes1c6,982$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.89728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55d7…008dbacked Yes12c6,644$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.841612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-73.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…605fbacked Yes1c6,499$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.991625%4 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-62.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x336e…a73ebacked Yes3c6,109$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes7c6,014$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.2721228.8%61 W · 151 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25d7…c2bfbacked Yes1c5,982$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.79160%0 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes6c5,964$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.726710.4%7 W · 60 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-58.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfa7f…dc59backed Yes2c5,857$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.741612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-69.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9bb…8dd3backed Yes6c5,710$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.98616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c06…62e3backed Yes11c5,512$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.893135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28fb…cf9bbacked Yes7c5,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253b…0ae7backed Yes6c4,871$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.37316.5%2 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+243.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc2…1e51backed Yes1c4,792$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.24120%0 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x155d…e868backed Yes2c4,753$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1680%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Yes5c4,736$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.371212.5%3 W · 118 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-63.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8361…8e6dbacked Yes1c4,612$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.94580%0 W · 58 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x576f…819abacked Yes3c4,341$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.13454.4%2 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick14cpaid-81.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d15…a137backed Yes14c4,192$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.59616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick47cpaid-78.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3096…58a3backed Yes3c4,159$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.056526.2%17 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x202b…7ed7backed Yes11c4,106$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa241…45f7backed Yes10c4,091$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.033135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-39.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e44…9863backed Yes10c4,068$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.6340%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa4…5f8cbacked Yes5c3,930$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-80.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e68…d03fbacked Yes10c3,831$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.3830%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf75f…0988backed Yes3c3,725$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.24326.3%2 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-81.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4266…0e08backed Yes10c3,571$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.781526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-41.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes2c3,554$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3521011.9%25 W · 185 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-59.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c88…7c45backed Yes10c3,446$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc46…899abacked Yes1c3,312$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6210%0 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes5c3,212$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.016233.9%21 W · 41 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-40%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes9c3,142$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.2560%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc270…1379backed Yes9c3,020$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.211020%2 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…9411backed Yes3c3,000$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes4c2,971$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.91224.5%1 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick13cpaid-89.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb444…c7f2backed Yes2c2,850$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84c6…0c95backed Yes6c2,828$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.832227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed Yes4c2,821$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1321015.7%33 W · 177 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x718e…3ef9backed Yes1c2,739$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.871127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick17cpaid-42.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe876…dea5backed Yes14c2,664$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.4960%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe129…b549backed Yes4c2,564$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2990%0 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8404…b69fbacked Yes8c2,554$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.8100%0 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0815…49fcbacked Yes6c2,543$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.0230%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x993c…6787backed Yes5c2,478$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.4511921%25 W · 94 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e11…cbcdbacked Yes2c2,356$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.69742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-39.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7235…2faabacked Yes4c2,256$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.021030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a1…9da4backed Yes11c2,210$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes3c2,206$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.63840%0 W · 84 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x625f…e2c0backed Yes5c2,186$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.35915.3%9 W · 50 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-49.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes5c2,044$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.36100%0 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f2…0158backed Yes9c2,026$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.46190%0 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa388…d84ebacked Yes2c2,016$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.24911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-66.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef08…1d55backed Yes4c2,010$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4380%0 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1fa…1a14backed Yes1c1,989$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.87180%0 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe87f…7822backed Yes4c1,938$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.67100%0 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x274a…2246backed Yes5c1,921$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.991020%2 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-63.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c29…d822backed Yes5c1,820$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.33327.3%9 W · 24 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd17c…004ebacked Yes5c1,800$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-78.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86f9…f0a6backed Yes10c1,799$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.651540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3aef…f331backed Yes10c1,796$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.27837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-47.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf61e…e701backed Yes5c1,783$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.740%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9725…46d0backed Yes3c1,773$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.11631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick23cpaid-34.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d6a…46d1backed Yes1c1,725$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.