Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f9ca7dcd30c615e67b73544ef681379e0b842bd83f21b1984b089f22c7d9973
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $414,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $359,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $414,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 274 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 48c | 70,346$33,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,661.56 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 4c | 50,025$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.34 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfb…f1ffbacked Yes | 3c | 46,699$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.93 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes | 71c | 12,916$9,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,138.39 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 38c | 11,082$4,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,902.36 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71e1…45f0backed No | 26c | 7,479$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,568.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 68c | 5,928$4,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908.37 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…9989backed Yes | 73c | 5,475$4,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,007.88 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61e7…6e8bbacked No | 80c | 5,240$4,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.52 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbea…ea49backed Yes | 1c | 4,865$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 61c | 4,573$2,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,776.37 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf3…b1babacked No | 24c | 4,347$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,304.28 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b6…676fbacked Yes | 78c | 4,175$3,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,272.77 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 34c | 4,134$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,745.84 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 12c | 4,030$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,533.79 | 121 | 26.4%32 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…352abacked No | 77c | 3,818$2,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.62 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 36c | 3,313$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.46 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed Yes | 49c | 3,304$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.61 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…aa53backed No | 56c | 3,068$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.42 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.71 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed No | 52c | 2,671$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931a…52f9backed Yes | 12c | 2,643$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 3c | 2,121$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 91 | 1.1%1 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb15b…5215backed No | 57c | 2,101$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.61 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d82…a5e9backed No | 75c | 2,095$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.9 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x740c…d013backed No | 29c | 2,015$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.97 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…d6abbacked No | 26c | 2,000$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561a…6d5abacked Yes | 5c | 1,904$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…4394backed Yes | 46c | 1,758$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.45 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd4…cd4abacked Yes | 24c | 1,707$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.42 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed No | 48c | 1,590$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.45 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 29c | 1,549$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.99 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8713…2d97backed Yes | 1c | 1,435$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 1,431$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,429$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.97 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…37a7backed No | 14c | 1,340$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +619.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7334…81dabacked No | 53c | 1,333$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.6 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…2919backed Yes | 27c | 1,252$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.3 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed No | 51c | 1,224$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.6 | 1,286 | 24.2%311 W · 975 L | -58.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked No | 23c | 1,223$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.19 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf71f…043abacked No | 38c | 1,195$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.82 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc31…7e2bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,175$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.5 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…0fbbbacked No | 29c | 1,172$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.14 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed No | 34c | 1,121$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.13 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5082…049dbacked No | 26c | 1,119$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac3e…8150backed No | 56c | 1,100$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…008cbacked No | 44c | 1,080$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.02 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b0…000dbacked No | 25c | 1,072$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +62%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e28…c1fabacked No | 33c | 1,060$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.91 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc0…5087backed No | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc309…bf67backed Yes | 3c | 984.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 58c | 939.97$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.72 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…5ad9backed No | 11c | 914.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 30cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x014a…eaa7backed No | 30c | 912.09$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…220ebacked Yes | 5c | 888$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5d…54e1backed No | 74c | 864.56$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.79 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6db…edbebacked No | 80c | 860.68$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.93 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c2…8df5backed No | 15c | 825.38$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 23c | 764.6$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.42 | 95 | 6.3%6 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…3917backed Yes | 27c | 763.57$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.4 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 73c | 745.15$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.19 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 673.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a1…5e8fbacked No | 30c | 631.57$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4b…8125backed No | 18c | 617.29$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…88b8backed No | 61c | 600$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 20c | 584.87$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.33 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…17adbacked No | 7c | 555.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.48 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.5wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…f015backed Yes | 28c | 553.91$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.48 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +20.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1f…8482backed No | 11c | 548.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +188%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Yes | 12c | 524.76$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.97 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bf…9752backed Yes | 41c | 499.15$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed No | 29c | 485.38$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.62 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed No | 68c | 480.9$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.39 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd90f…b6dabacked No | 39c | 475.91$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes | 66c | 454$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.64 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed No | 7c | 443.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.09 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe395…efcbbacked No | 47c | 430.42$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.91 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 52c | 428.62$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.42 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked No | 30c | 423.01$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.53 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba7…f187backed No | 44c | 418.25$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.62 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9182…3368backed No | 68c | 417.18$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.59 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c89…6d01backed No | 67c | 401.42$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…58a3backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…e501backed No | 56c | 385.92$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a17…2560backed No | 77c | 383.67$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…b05bbacked No | 76c | 379.78$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…00bcbacked Yes | 6c | 374.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 42c | 374.3$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.42 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 79c | 373.13$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 39c | 359.1$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.96 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x569f…5561backed No | 73c | 351.37$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.87 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf81d…7706backed No | 27c | 348.74$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.58 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc8…7e16backed No | 64c | 342.71$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x941d…2baabacked No | 57c | 337.98$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…f2c6backed Yes | 71c | 335.14$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.56 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Yes | 29c | 332.87$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.25 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 8c | 330.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.12 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75be…99dbbacked No | 13c | 322.06$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x495b…7f90backed No | 64c | 321.79$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.