Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed3aeaa5f1e0fcfb92b4067ffcd72aa1f1cabdbc012d9973fd8fd1aae7df7bca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $898,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $895,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $898,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 418 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a29…9b2ebacked No | 0c | 298,068$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.52 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…08c7backed No | 0c | 46,004$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff57…f53bbacked No | 0c | 46,004$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +178.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked No | 0c | 26,100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 26c | 20,367$5,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,387.33 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15b…5215backed No | 33c | 20,016$6,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,667.98 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 0c | 19,800$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 91 | 1.1%1 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…62e0backed No | 33c | 18,525$6,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,069.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…8bf7backed No | 24c | 16,335$3,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,850.86 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 2c | 14,250$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.83 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked No | 0c | 12,533$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 27c | 12,116$3,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,314.85 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…3185backed No | 26c | 8,905$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 34c | 8,681$2,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,982.47 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67ea…ae12backed Yes | 59c | 8,511$5,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,489.51 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 61cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cd…c187backed No | 17c | 7,573$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.21 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa78b…d26dbacked Yes | 66c | 7,376$4,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,512.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…c8febacked No | 0c | 6,958$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac4…0e8bbacked No | 28c | 6,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…65e5backed No | 16c | 5,942$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.56 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 72c | 5,889$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.83 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 5,751$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…ecf2backed No | 4c | 5,658$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3b…1f54backed No | 28c | 5,551$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 38cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 66c | 5,504$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.15 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed No | 27c | 4,875$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.75 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed No | 27c | 4,195$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.56 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…d782backed Yes | 70c | 4,193$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fb…db5cbacked Yes | 74c | 4,179$3,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.4 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed No | 30c | 3,683$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f5…efd2backed Yes | 78c | 3,266$2,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed No | 31c | 3,180$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.51 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53d3…ba87backed Yes | 64c | 3,152$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.26 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes | 76c | 3,034$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.02 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed No | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…4ce1backed No | 12c | 2,713$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.84 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 37cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x154e…7a37backed Yes | 63c | 2,648$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 19c | 2,640$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b88…86c4backed Yes | 63c | 2,550$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.03 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked No | 19c | 2,420$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.84 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2974…9c23backed Yes | 73c | 2,378$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.22 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -4.9wins | -0.27per pick | 72cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d97…d127backed No | 26c | 2,201$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.77 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa241…45f7backed Yes | 67c | 2,190$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.37 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…f015backed Yes | 69c | 2,104$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.44 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +20.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 15c | 2,101$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.56 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 23c | 2,065$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.61 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…8c8ebacked No | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 32c | 2,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.98 | 930 | 40.3%375 W · 555 L | -67.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff3…8c04backed No | 1c | 1,999$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed No | 35c | 1,995$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.44 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5534…1064backed Yes | 68c | 1,961$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9182…3368backed Yes | 65c | 1,857$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.33 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…6781backed Yes | 72c | 1,807$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba2…eb93backed Yes | 76c | 1,724$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.87 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fd…e782backed No | 35c | 1,636$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d4…9053backed Yes | 66c | 1,537$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadd…d3f1backed No | 21c | 1,519$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.92 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.46per pick | 43cpaid | +141.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 60c | 1,499$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.77 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe652…d114backed No | 32c | 1,475$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.32 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 66c | 1,448$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.75 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x129f…7b9ebacked Yes | 68c | 1,326$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bb…bd91backed Yes | 71c | 1,322$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7d…6cc4backed Yes | 69c | 1,319$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.05 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc18…d048backed Yes | 76c | 1,296$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.44 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed No | 37c | 1,291$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf74a…a91cbacked Yes | 76c | 1,286$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed Yes | 63c | 1,258$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.59 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…a495backed No | 36c | 1,210$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.66 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 4c | 1,192$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed No | 6c | 1,109$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.76 | 94 | 22.3%21 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…7a2dbacked Yes | 66c | 1,050$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0260…0261backed Yes | 79c | 1,029$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.51 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 64cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fa…78b8backed Yes | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb5…f420backed Yes | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…435fbacked Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…7d32backed Yes | 63c | 999.99$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x454e…62b9backed Yes | 65c | 999.97$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…605fbacked Yes | 65c | 995.41$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.1 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 69c | 992.06$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.18 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Yes | 68c | 990.92$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.45 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed No | 35c | 990.77$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.96 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…dbb9backed Yes | 75c | 969.51$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.07 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a8…9df1backed Yes | 76c | 946.44$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed No | 10c | 937.31$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.72 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +197.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd4…cd4abacked No | 24c | 934.38$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.75 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d00…cc60backed Yes | 73c | 891$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 32c | 889.04$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.42 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c22…d8ccbacked Yes | 65c | 873.89$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.73 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x492d…2f04backed Yes | 71c | 871.61$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -3.2wins | -0.54per pick | 70cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaed1…84e5backed No | 35c | 808.01$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 36cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c88…22ddbacked No | 3c | 792.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…3b6cbacked No | 35c | 789.59$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b64…ebdebacked No | 16c | 746.24$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc320…7637backed No | 22c | 733.73$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.07 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…6320backed Yes | 62c | 725.61$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.98 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -7.1wins | -0.22per pick | 46cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5714backed Yes | 63c | 700$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10c6…19b6backed No | 27c | 699.97$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.99 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…5fb0backed Yes | 72c | 680$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.2 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ee…0ababacked Yes | 64c | 679.84$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…11c5backed Yes | 67c | 667.47$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.26 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.