Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67a8543bf23f52dfe5c908f512ea04e749c9044a6ff1a9fcf32a60b936b79472
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,444,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,595,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,444,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 407 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 10c | 536,149$52,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,474.45 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…333bbacked Yes | 11c | 119,623$13,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,063.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55d7…008dbacked Yes | 9c | 51,382$4,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,376.71 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33fa…169dbacked Yes | 9c | 30,880$2,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640.82 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b6…676fbacked Yes | 7c | 26,837$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.57 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Yes | 8c | 25,390$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.24 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 12c | 23,879$2,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,768.98 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb08…ee59backed Yes | 13c | 22,625$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 12c | 19,619$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419.56 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 10c | 19,332$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.66 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…e798backed Yes | 13c | 18,569$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.16 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…0ae7backed Yes | 6c | 17,767$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.38 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +243.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa1a…bf63backed Yes | 11c | 16,060$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.12 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 12c | 12,930$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.84 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…3068backed Yes | 11c | 10,881$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.96 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 79c | 9,924$7,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.04 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9849…2ee5backed Yes | 12c | 9,169$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.05 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 10c | 8,293$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.49 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Yes | 9c | 8,153$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.89 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 8c | 7,402$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.21 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed Yes | 14c | 6,714$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.98 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked Yes | 14c | 6,409$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.99 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked Yes | 11c | 6,375$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa789…7000backed Yes | 17c | 6,326$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 8c | 6,270$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.65 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5074…fcddbacked Yes | 15c | 5,942$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…c451backed Yes | 9c | 5,702$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 9c | 5,556$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 78c | 5,486$4,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…f015backed Yes | 7c | 5,390$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.17 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +20.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Yes | 13c | 5,374$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 22cpaid | +184.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed11…10bebacked Yes | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 13c | 5,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 77c | 4,983$3,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa81e…03dcbacked No | 75c | 4,951$3,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.09 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d97…d127backed Yes | 12c | 4,886$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.54 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…7640backed Yes | 14c | 4,577$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.02 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf392…a25cbacked Yes | 41c | 4,569$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.08 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 12c | 4,501$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.83 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 4,323$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.56 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d3…3dd5backed Yes | 11c | 4,222$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 27cpaid | +67%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes | 12c | 4,164$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.64 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d7…bf5fbacked Yes | 16c | 4,083$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a0…76ddbacked Yes | 11c | 3,922$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…feb9backed Yes | 18c | 3,891$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.92 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 8c | 3,850$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.97 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…2919backed Yes | 5c | 3,799$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.96 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes | 16c | 3,730$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.64 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Yes | 12c | 3,685$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.48 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 11c | 3,500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…b5efbacked Yes | 7c | 3,496$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 3,350$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 8c | 3,325$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.01 | 121 | 2.5%3 W · 118 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 4c | 3,200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 8c | 3,200$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Yes | 17c | 3,112$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.99 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf37…2454backed No | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…45f2backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c9…224cbacked Yes | 17c | 2,816$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b3…0b0fbacked Yes | 14c | 2,809$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 11c | 2,786$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.5 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412c…2d87backed Yes | 26c | 2,786$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.62 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…feb7backed Yes | 20c | 2,765$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Yes | 14c | 2,737$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Yes | 12c | 2,605$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.41 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50af…8b52backed Yes | 12c | 2,487$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3577…31e6backed Yes | 8c | 2,469$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b2…2f08backed Yes | 11c | 2,423$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa465…6b06backed Yes | 13c | 2,318$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…5488backed Yes | 18c | 2,178$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 8c | 2,150$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.75 | 210 | 15.7%33 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 15c | 2,126$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.8 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…5086backed Yes | 10c | 2,124$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 17c | 2,100$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.93 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…625ebacked Yes | 13c | 2,087$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed No | 80c | 2,020$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.6 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…6be7backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 25cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4191…9538backed No | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…ff71backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed68…236cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,995$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22dc…a7e8backed Yes | 12c | 1,983$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.06 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbea…ea49backed Yes | 12c | 1,941$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.33 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb5…f420backed Yes | 13c | 1,933$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…edbdbacked Yes | 16c | 1,929$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…0776backed Yes | 5c | 1,906$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576f…819abacked Yes | 12c | 1,802$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.83 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…2a0dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,800$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.97 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76e0…f20cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,782$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.89 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3df…6f87backed Yes | 9c | 1,780$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0773…0ed7backed No | 79c | 1,744$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…b598backed No | 67c | 1,657$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…2096backed Yes | 11c | 1,637$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Yes | 10c | 1,597$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.76 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52c7…1c61backed Yes | 12c | 1,578$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.38 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed Yes | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972e…dea6backed Yes | 7c | 1,466$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b34…5ebdbacked No | 78c | 1,444$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Yes | 10c | 1,438$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.26 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 6c | 1,400$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 95 | 6.3%6 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.