Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e20eb670c21039f28f1f48bff47f091bb37f2231de80da0cc36b7d76bda361b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,506,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,522,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,506,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0bd…e598backed No | 0c | 1,519,964$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.47 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4d…f155backed No | 0c | 184,016$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 16c | 58,787$9,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,393.59 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 19c | 36,362$6,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,735.83 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 8c | 17,158$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.44 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b6…676fbacked No | 7c | 15,110$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.48 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 67c | 13,651$9,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,541.84 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…c5b6backed No | 22c | 13,401$2,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,944.59 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a86…f8e8backed No | 11c | 11,269$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.49 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 10c | 10,971$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.85 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed No | 18c | 10,819$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.52 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed No | 1c | 10,201$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 95 | 6.3%6 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 12c | 8,550$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.73 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 13c | 8,340$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.72 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x740c…d013backed No | 10c | 8,037$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.56 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe661…b679backed No | 13c | 7,218$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.58 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 29c | 7,000$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.7 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed No | 16c | 6,510$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.89 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…6190backed No | 2c | 5,804$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.55 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…c0a4backed No | 0c | 5,414$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…1b3ebacked No | 12c | 4,824$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2991…e214backed No | 6c | 4,687$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 16c | 4,511$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.13 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5b…a7cebacked No | 23c | 4,214$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x546e…2266backed No | 15c | 3,858$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf81c…4540backed No | 8c | 3,821$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.71 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…f015backed Yes | 74c | 3,800$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.5 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +20.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…3a57backed No | 5c | 3,365$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked No | 6c | 3,329$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.76 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed No | 44c | 3,020$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.6 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…32e6backed No | 40c | 2,957$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793d…8720backed No | 12c | 2,868$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.95 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…9106backed No | 37c | 2,854$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.95 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed No | 12c | 2,698$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.66 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -58%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac2…3606backed No | 16c | 2,530$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +124.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc841…196ebacked No | 6c | 2,471$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -61%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…ecf2backed No | 20c | 2,402$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed No | 13c | 2,329$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.35 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…a6f8backed Yes | 74c | 2,227$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.87 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked No | 9c | 2,175$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed No | 7c | 2,171$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.29 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b3…2baabacked No | 10c | 2,113$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd867…e1f3backed No | 20c | 2,045$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 8c | 2,017$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.39 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…fe61backed Yes | 72c | 1,910$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.14 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e87…9a3fbacked No | 10c | 1,898$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.31 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc31…7e2bbacked No | 14c | 1,874$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 10c | 1,809$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.08 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca7…8195backed Yes | 79c | 1,772$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.14 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x157c…7c73backed No | 11c | 1,763$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…5483backed No | 13c | 1,638$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…d52dbacked No | 18c | 1,600$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…9754backed No | 11c | 1,600$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd442…b4eebacked No | 20c | 1,548$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3f…9ed2backed No | 10c | 1,506$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.19 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed No | 17c | 1,492$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.87 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b4…8f9abacked No | 9c | 1,484$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…9a45backed No | 6c | 1,359$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.23 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 24c | 1,335$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.62 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -10.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 18c | 1,310$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.79 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x627d…7d68backed No | 5c | 1,182$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.09 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x811f…16e3backed No | 17c | 1,148$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…c6aabacked No | 15c | 1,118$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.57 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…1867backed No | 16c | 1,096$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.87 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04b0…000dbacked No | 13c | 1,002$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +62%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa232…d79bbacked No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2c…7aadbacked No | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed No | 11c | 994.08$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.67 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed No | 8c | 988.23$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.96 | 121 | 2.5%3 W · 118 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…9b75backed No | 8c | 986.3$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.87 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014a…eaa7backed No | 11c | 976.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3d…2ff5backed No | 8c | 950$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…de22backed No | 11c | 903.38$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.37 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f9…a986backed No | 16c | 886.26$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…6320backed No | 29c | 851.25$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.02 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -7.1wins | -0.22per pick | 46cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbc74…e32bbacked No | 22c | 840.95$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 8c | 819.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…58a3backed No | 13c | 807.95$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.95 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…4dd9backed No | 8c | 806.14$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked No | 20c | 778.58$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.83 | 48 | 8.3%4 W · 44 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…1c37backed No | 25c | 773.57$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.76 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba7…434cbacked No | 6c | 739.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a1…cea5backed No | 6c | 727.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…5676backed No | 14c | 713.41$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x845d…4714backed No | 13c | 701.71$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4351…4276backed No | 11c | 697.81$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a85…c04bbacked No | 2c | 690.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x680b…1077backed Yes | 73c | 651.47$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.9 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 15c | 602.25$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.52 | 121 | 26.4%32 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…16bdbacked No | 10c | 599.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked No | 10c | 599.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe740…f9e3backed No | 30c | 588.66$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…feddbacked No | 16c | 586.07$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.31 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ff…a454backed No | 25c | 582.05$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.68 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc042…77bcbacked No | 13c | 574.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829b…4892backed No | 13c | 555.66$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 13c | 555$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…0988backed No | 17c | 549.59$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.05 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…2d1abacked No | 19c | 523.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.