Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ea2cd49c462b6eab31d586d5840f974b51909cfde202d6534949fab85342db5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $293,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $314,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $293,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 19c | 94,538$17,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,897.39 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 71c | 22,039$15,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,387.16 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…2128backed Yes | 1c | 10,997$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 8c | 8,959$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.11 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…2919backed Yes | 15c | 7,779$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.92 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 1c | 5,641$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed Yes | 26c | 3,547$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 61c | 3,461$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.49 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 2,985$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 54c | 2,373$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.92 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e7…6e8bbacked No | 79c | 2,229$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.04 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bf…9752backed Yes | 24c | 2,075$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes | 39c | 1,711$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.58 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…bd00backed No | 56c | 1,683$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.75 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…58a3backed Yes | 15c | 1,500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd4…cd4abacked Yes | 17c | 1,480$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.8 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 6c | 1,233$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 12c | 1,060$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.65 | 95 | 6.3%6 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36ef…2af4backed No | 56c | 1,053$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b2…2f08backed Yes | 3c | 1,011$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…4394backed Yes | 28c | 1,001$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.88 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 62c | 1,000$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.66 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5082…049dbacked No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd36b…3d32backed No | 79c | 998.78$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.8 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9849…2ee5backed Yes | 39c | 987.06$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.52 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…e19fbacked Yes | 16c | 932.8$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.25 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…aa53backed No | 71c | 927.28$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.66 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed No | 52c | 921.03$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.17 | 1,265 | 24.5%310 W · 955 L | -56.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…b28bbacked Yes | 2c | 857.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Yes | 34c | 800$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 3c | 800$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 198 | 7.1%14 W · 184 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2015…3fbfbacked Yes | 31c | 799.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba7…f187backed No | 62c | 782.48$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.25 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…3917backed Yes | 18c | 782$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.68 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 24c | 721.24$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.29 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 6c | 699.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 91 | 1.1%1 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…5ffdbacked No | 78c | 697.71$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7334…81dabacked No | 51c | 674.31$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.41 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…6770backed Yes | 55c | 661.61$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.89 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe395…efcbbacked No | 67c | 632.08$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.42 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 9c | 611.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.06 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb15b…5215backed No | 75c | 599.99$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c30…6759backed Yes | 3c | 595.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed No | 78c | 579.47$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.08 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…1af3backed No | 67c | 542.02$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 64 | 75%48 W · 16 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca88…efb2backed No | 66c | 494.09$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 14c | 440.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095b…8a05backed Yes | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…9e5dbacked No | 62c | 394.85$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.97 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…993bbacked No | 70c | 381.43$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.95 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x302e…88ccbacked Yes | 21c | 380$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb9…c1f3backed No | 79c | 360$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cd…c6b1backed No | 78c | 314.47$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…0fbbbacked No | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…88b8backed No | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…c539backed No | 71c | 297.47$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed No | 75c | 294$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b57…20b1backed No | 68c | 289.67$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.69 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a1…7c2bbacked No | 35c | 267.22$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3825…04e8backed No | 74c | 262.75$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ab…3a5abacked Yes | 20c | 261.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.28 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4de…eb31backed Yes | 51c | 258.92$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked No | 77c | 252.68$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf75…b885backed Yes | 26c | 252.38$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08bf…30b0backed No | 77c | 245.4$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd3…1a5abacked Yes | 20c | 226.46$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 24c | 215.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 66c | 214.33$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…304fbacked Yes | 6c | 201.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c1…7edabacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7025…229dbacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…07b2backed Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +12.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 36c | 199.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0290…e1bcbacked No | 78c | 194.26$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35e…0e64backed No | 50c | 193.46$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x613c…6806backed Yes | 15c | 188.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf81d…7706backed No | 60c | 183.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.48 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…f015backed No | 80c | 183.48$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +20.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x680b…1077backed No | 56c | 172.29$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.81 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb721…2f08backed Yes | 17c | 168$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e28…c1fabacked No | 57c | 163.21$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.73 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7d…6cc4backed No | 46c | 161.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.17 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 36c | 152.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.07 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…feb9backed Yes | 45c | 143.36$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.04 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bec…aad9backed Yes | 27c | 139.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…a495backed No | 66c | 136.37$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.37 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa973…9c96backed No | 75c | 130.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c18…a04cbacked Yes | 47c | 126.42$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 23c | 123.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 218 | 15.6%34 W · 184 L | -37.8wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Yes | 40c | 122.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd297…2919backed No | 67c | 118.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f98…8154backed No | 80c | 113.32$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987d…ed3fbacked No | 55c | 104.36$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…9989backed Yes | 57c | 102.86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…bf4dbacked No | 56c | 101.65$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.