TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0260…0261

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 53 out of 100; worst Commodities at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$398.66
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.1
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.3
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.9
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+143%+$423.33
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$23.63
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$129.96
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-3.4wins-0.34per pick64cpaid-58.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$537.25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$595Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$149.78
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.84
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$540.29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$62.55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$815Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$214.51
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.77
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick66cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$53.28
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+29%+$38.36
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$6.37
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. California Golden Bearsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuelabacked Venezuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$6.11
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$18.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.98
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+53.9%+$15.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+36.5%+$47.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Caty McNally vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$7.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PBC Fight Night: David Benavidez vs. Gilberto ‘Zurdo’ Ramirezbacked Benavidez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$38.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.