Boxing · resolved market
PBC Fight Night: David Benavidez vs. Gilberto ‘Zurdo’ Ramirez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa599c99bd7692884bee874f0bad5728432e7dd55b8cf96c8c7c558ade9a09dbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Benavidezof Benavidez, Zurdo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Zurdo | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b52…76e0backed Zurdo | 20c | 3,561$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Zurdo | 15c | 3,022$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.58 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Benavidez | 79c | 1,376$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Zurdo | 19c | 1,277$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71e0…f806backed Benavidez | 79c | 1,231$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d51…370dbacked Zurdo | 23c | 900$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c7…8e16backed Zurdo | 21c | 897.11$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e8…614bbacked Zurdo | 18c | 698.35$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1e…328cbacked Zurdo | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab16…0698backed Zurdo | 26c | 344.59$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ec…2a53backed Zurdo | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9e…970abacked Benavidez | 80c | 260$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Zurdo | 19c | 248.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…4ca9backed Benavidez | 80c | 240$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…13b9backed Benavidez | 80c | 221.25$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb053…bcdebacked Zurdo | 25c | 203$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Zurdo | 16c | 199.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2de…f151backed Zurdo | 26c | 193.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8a…9a7ebacked Zurdo | 16c | 187.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa159…ac8ebacked Zurdo | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…15e9backed Zurdo | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7b…5b8ebacked Zurdo | 15c | 129.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad2…f38dbacked Zurdo | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd4…8473backed Benavidez | 79c | 110$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Zurdo | 19c | 108.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…7ab4backed Zurdo | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…333fbacked Zurdo | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9245…3bbfbacked Zurdo | 18c | 92.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…0416backed Zurdo | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf4…348dbacked Zurdo | 22c | 76.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea9…896abacked Zurdo | 20c | 73.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8412…0db6backed Zurdo | 26c | 72.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fc…da6abacked Benavidez | 79c | 47.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac0…3a6cbacked Zurdo | 27c | 40.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9369…c867backed Benavidez | 78c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0260…0261backed Benavidez | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f7…f267backed Benavidez | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.