TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0bf4…348d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
195
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 60 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT11653.4%62 W · 54 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 116 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.11
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+133.9%+$29.1
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.16
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+151.6%+$30.31
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$23.33
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.48
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$44.52
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Showing 25 of 116 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-39.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.27
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$13.02
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.19
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$5.99
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.18
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Spread: Pistons (-13.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.11
Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+117.4%+$16.2
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12.07
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.6
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.86
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$14.9
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.02
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Suns vs. Wizardsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+25.1%+$26.73
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+88.8%+$26.64
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 22 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick53cpaid+39.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Spread: Atlante FC (-1.5)backed Atlante FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$9.4
Will CF América win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$7.74
Club Tijuana vs. Atlético San Luis: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.2
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.1
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+76.7%+$11.13
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+84.6%+$42.63
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Josh Allen x Hailee Steinfeld baby: Boy or Girl?backed Boy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$18.29
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$7.92
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)backed Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+92.3%+$15.69
Spread: Lions (-5.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Eagles (-5.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.91
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.81
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.93
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20.88
FIFA Club World Cup: Chelsea vs. PSG – To Lift Trophy backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.7
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$4
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.42
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+255.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+255.3%+$29.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Inter Miami CF vs. Austin FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana and Ole Miss win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PBC Fight Night: David Benavidez vs. Gilberto ‘Zurdo’ Ramirezbacked Zurdo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Djokovic (+1.5)backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.