South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23d061458ebbd6cbb61fb5d6e241635072b08842cbb6ea4b3a11be26667c3a1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 46c | 10,000$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,559.99 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 59c | 6,815$3,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,818.28 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 4,875$2,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.71 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 44c | 3,875$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.16 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 3,691$2,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.28 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 55c | 1,600$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 29c | 1,119$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.59 | 92 | 29.3%27 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 57c | 565.84$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.58 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0c…41c3backed Yes | 16c | 526.85$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 45c | 471.95$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.38 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…6977backed Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 61c | 411.16$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.16 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc904…1e9abacked Yes | 35c | 305$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 43c | 290.67$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Yes | 40c | 229.87$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.4 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 46c | 217.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 46c | 171.63$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.95 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 68c | 158.32$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 63c | 152.8$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 41c | 119.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed No | 55c | 119$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 54c | 116$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.11 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed No | 56c | 113$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 43c | 112.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 26c | 107.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 36c | 105.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 46c | 99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 23c | 94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Yes | 30c | 81.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 56c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 55c | 76.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Yes | 30c | 71.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 17c | 71.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked No | 56c | 71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92e2…7df5backed Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 76c | 59.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 63c | 56.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…ba8ebacked Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…07f5backed Yes | 64c | 55.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed No | 56c | 51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Yes | 44c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed No | 55c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed No | 56c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed No | 56c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 55c | 32.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 65c | 32.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked No | 56c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked No | 55c | 31.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…dc55backed Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 59cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Yes | 45c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf402…d761backed Yes | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked No | 64c | 26.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked Yes | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 54c | 22.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b9…215cbacked No | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf4…348dbacked No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed No | 56c | 19.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…2465backed No | 62c | 19.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e9…aeefbacked No | 57c | 18.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 80c | 17.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-01-17?No won
- Will Tigres de la UANL vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.