UFC · resolved market
Fight to Go the Distance?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa32b6b141fd964826338ca7c8d8625b05c0f3e866caf0c78bdc7a04bc4f561a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 55c | 3,900$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d43…743bbacked Yes | 63c | 3,193$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 38c | 2,959$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.76 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 45c | 2,949$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.89 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Yes | 62c | 2,035$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.2 | 57 | 75.4%43 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.98 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed No | 45c | 1,439$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.58 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed Yes | 3c | 1,400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 38c | 1,059$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.37 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 40c | 1,056$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.52 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked No | 36c | 953.53$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b3…abccbacked Yes | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 65c | 753.53$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.79 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca1a…89e5backed Yes | 57c | 668.47$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked No | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.4 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 40c | 580.96$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.86 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed No | 41c | 499.98$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.99 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Yes | 58c | 482$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.56 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 56c | 450$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed No | 40c | 364.95$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.27 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1d…4fe9backed No | 43c | 360$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.73 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 41c | 337.78$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.29 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 38c | 332.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.46 | 64 | 75%48 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…d86bbacked Yes | 61c | 330.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed No | 40c | 275.4$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 40c | 274.73$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.85 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +6.8wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e4…22cbbacked Yes | 58c | 257.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed Yes | 59c | 236.27$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Yes | 59c | 225.23$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.89 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb59c…e944backed Yes | 55c | 219.78$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.88 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Yes | 62c | 211.28$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.05 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcffd…7f24backed No | 41c | 207.32$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.32 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed No | 66c | 205.01$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.91 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed No | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed No | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed No | 43c | 195.21$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Yes | 57c | 179$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.03 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x725d…e49abacked Yes | 60c | 166.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b49…1f54backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09bf…b9d6backed Yes | 59c | 166.66$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6561…e3c2backed Yes | 61c | 164.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Yes | 57c | 149.12$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 46c | 130.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed No | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…462ebacked Yes | 60c | 115.87$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…af5dbacked No | 45c | 110.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8f…d351backed Yes | 61c | 107.97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2422backed No | 49c | 102.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00c…9e9fbacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…6303backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Yes | 52c | 99.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Yes | 55c | 86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fae…e8b2backed Yes | 59c | 77.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +192.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 41c | 73.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 132 | 21.2%28 W · 104 L | -11.7wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed No | 45c | 73.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dff…d34cbacked Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f9…2a58backed Yes | 62c | 60.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 40c | 58.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…647cbacked Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +157.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0267backed No | 40c | 48.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked No | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 40c | 40.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 194 | 18.6%36 W · 158 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed No | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 248 | 47.2%117 W · 131 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…a730backed Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…78f5backed No | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.45per pick | 44cpaid | +138%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…be98backed Yes | 56c | 33.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab47…2667backed No | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6985…afdfbacked Yes | 61c | 32.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3512…e71dbacked Yes | 59c | 32.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…f204backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb067…4374backed Yes | 59c | 32.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed No | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef7…81b8backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed No | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…86fdbacked Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 251 | 60.2%151 W · 100 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Yes | 57c | 24.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1598…6a36backed Yes | 59c | 24.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf1…647dbacked Yes | 58c | 21.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -4.2wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 51c | 20.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…a408backed Yes | 59c | 20.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf4…348dbacked Yes | 59c | 19.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fight to Go the Distance?this page
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 4.5 RoundsUnder won
- UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)Strickland won
- Will Anthony Hernandez win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.