UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x706cb2f12c08d1f0ab58343000216f7bd70989a66945f1921415a921a49305d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stricklandof Strickland, Hernandez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,544,346
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,730,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,544,346 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,312 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Strickland | 30c | 1,120,440$334,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786,133.57 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Hernandez | 70c | 892,944$624,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624,822.86 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Strickland | 29c | 600,000$176,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423,238.44 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Hernandez | 71c | 460,482$326,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326,941.93 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Hernandez | 72c | 453,763$326,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326,709.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Strickland | 29c | 316,664$91,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225,292.41 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Hernandez | 70c | 284,000$200,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200,210 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Hernandez | 71c | 274,500$196,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196,265.33 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Hernandez | 71c | 237,658$167,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167,863.7 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Hernandez | 70c | 218,564$152,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152,016.34 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Strickland | 28c | 204,608$57,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147,317.45 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Hernandez | 70c | 166,000$116,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116,199.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Strickland | 31c | 122,118$37,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,174.47 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Strickland | 29c | 121,145$34,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,533.26 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Strickland | 30c | 85,352$25,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,454.73 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Strickland | 28c | 75,873$21,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,628.5 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Strickland | 29c | 70,350$20,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,948.5 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Hernandez | 70c | 65,524$45,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,783.16 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Hernandez | 70c | 57,386$40,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,170.45 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Strickland | 29c | 50,000$14,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,500 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Strickland | 28c | 44,350$12,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,865.07 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Strickland | 68c | 44,154$29,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,257.73 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221d…e800backed Hernandez | 73c | 43,561$31,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,778.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Hernandez | 72c | 41,959$30,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,060.51 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Strickland | 28c | 41,038$11,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,577.98 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Strickland | 29c | 39,950$11,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,363.28 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Hernandez | 70c | 37,000$25,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,899.98 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Hernandez | 69c | 33,491$23,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,108.65 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Strickland | 30c | 33,333$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,333.09 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1975…f07bbacked Hernandez | 70c | 28,500$19,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,950 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Hernandez | 69c | 28,000$19,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,384.66 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Strickland | 29c | 25,941$7,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,417.94 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Strickland | 29c | 25,500$7,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,114.81 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceec…4ad9backed Strickland | 30c | 23,847$7,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,692.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Strickland | 29c | 23,453$6,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,649.66 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Strickland | 28c | 23,383$6,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,835.75 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Strickland | 28c | 22,823$6,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,432.49 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Hernandez | 71c | 21,818$15,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,467 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…e99bbacked Strickland | 30c | 21,264$6,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,884.96 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…b04bbacked Hernandez | 72c | 19,956$14,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,306.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 65cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Strickland | 29c | 17,241$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,241.38 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Strickland | 29c | 17,241$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,241.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +163.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ce…02b2backed Strickland | 29c | 17,233$4,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,235.23 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Strickland | 29c | 17,121$4,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,162.59 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Strickland | 30c | 16,667$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,666.67 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d43…743bbacked Strickland | 31c | 16,452$5,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,422.58 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Strickland | 32c | 15,736$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,735.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +140.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e7…fa5fbacked Hernandez | 71c | 15,150$10,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,810.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Strickland | 29c | 15,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,699.98 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…0386backed Hernandez | 70c | 14,922$10,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,396.26 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…7630backed Strickland | 30c | 14,683$4,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,336.01 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Strickland | 28c | 13,848$3,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,969.07 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Hernandez | 71c | 13,483$9,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,572.58 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Strickland | 29c | 13,141$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,390.69 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Hernandez | 70c | 12,946$9,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,081.35 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Strickland | 29c | 12,794$3,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,083.6 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Strickland | 28c | 12,500$3,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,994.98 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Strickland | 30c | 12,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Strickland | 30c | 11,387$3,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,987.79 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…6f94backed Hernandez | 70c | 11,214$7,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,850 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Hernandez | 0c | 11,165$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Hernandez | 70c | 11,000$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,700 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Strickland | 29c | 10,400$3,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,384 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…568ebacked Strickland | 29c | 10,028$2,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,119.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Hernandez | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x063a…8382backed Hernandez | 70c | 10,000$6,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,979.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Hernandez | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.98 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Strickland | 31c | 9,486$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,585.9 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Strickland | 40c | 9,300$3,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,622.73 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Hernandez | 71c | 8,500$6,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,035 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Hernandez | 71c | 8,500$6,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,034.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f5…bbb9backed Strickland | 31c | 8,297$2,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,749.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…b6e3backed Strickland | 31c | 8,263$2,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,701.69 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Strickland | 40c | 7,934$3,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,748.24 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Strickland | 39c | 7,703$3,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,675.37 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Strickland | 28c | 6,950$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,004 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked Strickland | 28c | 6,950$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,004 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63cc…1649backed Strickland | 30c | 6,814$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,768.09 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb045…d4cebacked Strickland | 30c | 6,667$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,666.67 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Strickland | 30c | 6,653$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,657.33 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef8…ddf8backed Strickland | 31c | 6,384$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,404.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Strickland | 75c | 6,212$4,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.68 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Hernandez | 70c | 5,070$3,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,548.91 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb748…5b21backed Hernandez | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Hernandez | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Strickland | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Hernandez | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,449.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Hernandez | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,449.95 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Strickland | 29c | 5,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,539.77 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…5240backed Strickland | 31c | 4,839$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,338.71 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b3…abccbacked Strickland | 31c | 4,839$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,338.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…9d3ebacked Strickland | 30c | 4,713$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,290.29 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…1c3bbacked Strickland | 32c | 4,625$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,128.24 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Hernandez | 1c | 4,570$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Hernandez | 70c | 4,286$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b61…599cbacked Hernandez | 71c | 4,225$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Hernandez | 71c | 4,225$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Strickland | 63c | 4,186$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.1 | 378 | 54.8%207 W · 171 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Strickland | 29c | 4,167$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,958.35 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Hernandez | 70c | 4,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 4.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Anthony Hernandez win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.