Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Djokovic (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d8881d35304ba2a310d10509553178f34a44e51f532e22fc33c8284829c0c8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alcarazof Alcaraz, Djokovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb7c…fac2backed Alcaraz | 63c | 10,051$6,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,718.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562f…e46fbacked Djokovic | 56c | 10,000$5,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,585.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Djokovic | 40c | 5,508$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180.48 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Djokovic | 37c | 5,313$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.81 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Alcaraz | 61c | 4,230$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.52 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Djokovic | 20c | 3,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.99 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Djokovic | 37c | 3,004$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.47 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Djokovic | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Djokovic | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 168 | 25%42 W · 126 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Alcaraz | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Djokovic | 7c | 2,753$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.43 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +248.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Alcaraz | 62c | 2,512$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.17 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Alcaraz | 73c | 1,936$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.19 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Alcaraz | 60c | 1,655$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.84 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Alcaraz | 46c | 1,583$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.7 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77a…ce3cbacked Alcaraz | 80c | 1,536$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Djokovic | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Djokovic | 37c | 1,400$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Djokovic | 40c | 1,198$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.09 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Djokovic | 59c | 1,194$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…966bbacked Djokovic | 61c | 1,169$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Djokovic | 5c | 1,142$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Alcaraz | 60c | 1,054$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.6 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Djokovic | 34c | 1,044$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.15 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c30…7673backed Alcaraz | 80c | 1,030$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Alcaraz | 52c | 904.84$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.15 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Alcaraz | 63c | 793.42$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.42 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…416abacked Alcaraz | 74c | 787.09$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.08 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Djokovic | 35c | 701.8$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.63 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…d91cbacked Alcaraz | 24c | 700$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 28cpaid | +189.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda2e…8904backed Djokovic | 37c | 643.24$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Djokovic | 38c | 635.98$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.67 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Djokovic | 38c | 606.23$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.3 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Alcaraz | 43c | 566.87$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.12 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Alcaraz | 62c | 564.52$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.52 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed Alcaraz | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Djokovic | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Djokovic | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Djokovic | 39c | 487.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Alcaraz | 62c | 484.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.47 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Djokovic | 38c | 446.65$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.07 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Djokovic | 37c | 435.45$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.11 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ec…f7b4backed Djokovic | 37c | 418.7$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Djokovic | 41c | 414.06$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.53 | 357 | 30.5%109 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Djokovic | 36c | 413.63$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.91 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4709…bda7backed Djokovic | 37c | 404.19$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Alcaraz | 62c | 401.87$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.87 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Djokovic | 38c | 399.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.99 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…e966backed Alcaraz | 57c | 397.79$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.79 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +75%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29ec…4874backed Djokovic | 37c | 390.22$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ac…6ac9backed Alcaraz | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Djokovic | 37c | 383.9$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.04 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed Alcaraz | 55c | 379.4$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.89 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Alcaraz | 60c | 331.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Alcaraz | 62c | 328.95$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Djokovic | 31c | 320.62$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.99 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…e775backed Alcaraz | 63c | 317.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Alcaraz | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 134 | 35.1%47 W · 87 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Djokovic | 41c | 313.81$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Alcaraz | 74c | 307$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.04 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Alcaraz | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…2e5abacked Djokovic | 37c | 281.16$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6a…72e3backed Alcaraz | 62c | 258.26$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…ea31backed Djokovic | 44c | 256.62$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.86 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Djokovic | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec24…9544backed Djokovic | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3d…7a79backed Djokovic | 30c | 232.82$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed Alcaraz | 77c | 226.46$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 181 | 58.6%106 W · 75 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Alcaraz | 58c | 225.67$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.78 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Djokovic | 32c | 215.72$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.04 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ef…239ebacked Djokovic | 37c | 202.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +76%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Djokovic | 65c | 192$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -5.8wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…4084backed Djokovic | 37c | 189.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Alcaraz | 78c | 178.73$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.32 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Alcaraz | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd4…35b5backed Alcaraz | 7c | 170$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,293.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b73…431ebacked Alcaraz | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Alcaraz | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Alcaraz | 61c | 158.3$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c71…fe82backed Alcaraz | 62c | 156$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…213abacked Alcaraz | 60c | 153.5$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Djokovic | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 287 | 24.4%70 W · 217 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…e23dbacked Alcaraz | 59c | 149.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb44…ba15backed Alcaraz | 61c | 144.46$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Djokovic | 35c | 143.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Djokovic | 40c | 131.16$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e65…fe79backed Djokovic | 39c | 127.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Alcaraz | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…6c61backed Djokovic | 41c | 126.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Alcaraz | 69c | 123.45$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Djokovic | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 346 | 37.9%131 W · 215 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Alcaraz | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Djokovic | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed Alcaraz | 61c | 117.95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Alcaraz | 33c | 108.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…cfe5backed Alcaraz | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc8…5e69backed Alcaraz | 73c | 98.61$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07a…9154backed Alcaraz | 62c | 97.32$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Alcaraz | 61c | 97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Djokovic | 39c | 96.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Djokovic (+1.5)this page
- Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak DjokovicAlcaraz won
- Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)Djokovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.