Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Djokovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d28289ec4b6c585f75f38638fa783d09f8a6920fff4d9fffd1b37299d461cec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Djokovicof Alcaraz, Djokovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Alcaraz | 67c | 15,733$10,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,483.45 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Djokovic | 33c | 12,401$4,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,313.64 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Alcaraz | 66c | 9,994$6,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,595.75 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Djokovic | 34c | 6,387$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,215.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Djokovic | 34c | 6,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,960 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Djokovic | 51c | 5,953$3,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,927.69 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked Djokovic | 34c | 5,538$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,654.81 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Alcaraz | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.95 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Alcaraz | 66c | 4,050$2,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,672.84 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Alcaraz | 67c | 3,118$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.7 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Djokovic | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Alcaraz | 67c | 2,999$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Alcaraz | 66c | 2,518$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.04 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Alcaraz | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Alcaraz | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Alcaraz | 23c | 1,614$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.36 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b7…00a0backed Alcaraz | 67c | 1,505$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.35 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Djokovic | 33c | 1,227$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.88 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Alcaraz | 37c | 1,220$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.88 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed Alcaraz | 34c | 1,129$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.76 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Alcaraz | 15c | 1,100$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Alcaraz | 25c | 1,067$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.04 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c3…4d61backed Alcaraz | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -77%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Djokovic | 42c | 832.62$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.92 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Djokovic | 35c | 673.85$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Djokovic | 59c | 673.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.57 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Djokovic | 34c | 600$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5804…dc41backed Alcaraz | 45c | 599.96$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.98 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89a7…742abacked Alcaraz | 67c | 574.63$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Alcaraz | 65c | 538.46$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Djokovic | 34c | 525.14$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.99 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Djokovic | 67c | 518.78$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.1 | 1,563 | 40%625 W · 938 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Alcaraz | 66c | 500.48$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.1 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Djokovic | 34c | 475.94$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.12 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Alcaraz | 14c | 418.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Djokovic | 33c | 408.13$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.73 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f95…b9dbbacked Alcaraz | 15c | 401.29$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Alcaraz | 64c | 399.98$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.99 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab47…2667backed Alcaraz | 32c | 385.38$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Alcaraz | 67c | 378.79$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.79 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8713…4007backed Alcaraz | 67c | 377.11$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Djokovic | 31c | 359.69$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.11 | 4,070 | 39.7%1,617 W · 2,453 L | +92.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5862…76abbacked Alcaraz | 69c | 352.35$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Djokovic | 34c | 320.63$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.07 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…6e14backed Alcaraz | 16c | 320$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…3d50backed Alcaraz | 67c | 317.57$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.77 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c5…643bbacked Alcaraz | 16c | 315.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Djokovic | 34c | 305.29$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.49 | 184 | 30.4%56 W · 128 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Djokovic | 33c | 303.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.02 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…e717backed Alcaraz | 47c | 300.45$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.21 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Djokovic | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 357 | 30.5%109 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…24d7backed Djokovic | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Djokovic | 34c | 291.18$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.18 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…fdb1backed Alcaraz | 36c | 279.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Alcaraz | 66c | 279$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.14 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Alcaraz | 22c | 275.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.27 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Djokovic | 52c | 267.01$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.34 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Alcaraz | 67c | 260.58$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.59 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Djokovic | 32c | 224.52$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.67 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…4d18backed Alcaraz | 67c | 207.69$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Alcaraz | 57c | 200.49$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Alcaraz | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…be32backed Alcaraz | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Alcaraz | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 202 | 57.4%116 W · 86 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Alcaraz | 25c | 192.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Djokovic | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.47 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6c…0b29backed Alcaraz | 20c | 175$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcf…47ddbacked Alcaraz | 68c | 172.63$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe93f…6769backed Djokovic | 34c | 150.18$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.12 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d8…e7d2backed Alcaraz | 68c | 148.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Djokovic | 34c | 147.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.67 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…52efbacked Djokovic | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…e660backed Djokovic | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…c07cbacked Alcaraz | 67c | 145.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…1595backed Alcaraz | 65c | 145.69$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe683…8a77backed Djokovic | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3744…3e65backed Alcaraz | 14c | 122.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Alcaraz | 21c | 118.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 1,377 | 16.3%224 W · 1,153 L | -109.7wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Djokovic | 33c | 113.93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.84 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea2…5b04backed Djokovic | 34c | 111.76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Djokovic | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Alcaraz | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Djokovic | 34c | 96.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.91 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacab…6eb8backed Alcaraz | 66c | 93.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…7df8backed Alcaraz | 65c | 92.68$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…57a3backed Alcaraz | 67c | 86.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…a9f2backed Djokovic | 37c | 78.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…466abacked Alcaraz | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53a9…8af9backed Alcaraz | 62c | 69.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b07…965ebacked Djokovic | 43c | 69.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…e966backed Djokovic | 36c | 63.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +75%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0018…78f9backed Alcaraz | 64c | 62.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd891…7341backed Alcaraz | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71f…4499backed Djokovic | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7109…a52fbacked Djokovic | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3643…8db3backed Djokovic | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…f43cbacked Djokovic | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…f704backed Djokovic | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Alcaraz | 58c | 53.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 176 | 62.5%110 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc13…83b8backed Alcaraz | 41c | 51.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Djokovicthis page
- Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak DjokovicAlcaraz won
- Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Djokovic (+1.5)Alcaraz won
- Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)Djokovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.