Tennis · resolved market
Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9da191d96009cc36fb013b202ca27ffb0872af80c23fe92599d57fda9e1dac94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Over 3.5of Over 3.5, Under 3.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Under 3.5 | 37c | 15,591$5,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,738.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under 3.5 | 36c | 7,950$2,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,858.09 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under 3.5 | 38c | 7,000$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…4d18backed Over 3.5 | 63c | 6,598$4,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under 3.5 | 36c | 5,404$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.89 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Under 3.5 | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 306 | 45.1%138 W · 168 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under 3.5 | 0c | 4,611$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Over 3.5 | 65c | 3,872$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.03 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under 3.5 | 38c | 3,531$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.28 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Over 3.5 | 64c | 3,440$2,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Over 3.5 | 65c | 3,374$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.6 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Over 3.5 | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Under 3.5 | 34c | 2,955$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.62 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Over 3.5 | 64c | 2,385$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.22 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under 3.5 | 37c | 2,381$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.58 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56f…3914backed Over 3.5 | 62c | 2,110$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Over 3.5 | 63c | 2,000$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under 3.5 | 36c | 1,940$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.49 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…6a55backed Over 3.5 | 65c | 1,854$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.15 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Over 3.5 | 66c | 1,852$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over 3.5 | 62c | 1,774$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.19 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under 3.5 | 36c | 1,749$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.59 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under 3.5 | 38c | 1,585$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.18 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…b00abacked Under 3.5 | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c4…f0a4backed Over 3.5 | 63c | 1,481$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under 3.5 | 35c | 1,372$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.95 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…d1fdbacked Over 3.5 | 63c | 1,331$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.85 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc3…c0eabacked Under 3.5 | 36c | 1,317$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6052…c0c3backed Over 3.5 | 63c | 1,302$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under 3.5 | 35c | 1,225$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.33 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 3.5 | 35c | 1,201$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.3 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Over 3.5 | 67c | 1,194$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.03 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…416abacked Over 3.5 | 63c | 1,108$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.02 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Under 3.5 | 35c | 1,010$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.52 | 284 | 24.3%69 W · 215 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…e0edbacked Over 3.5 | 64c | 782.12$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.12 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…ad49backed Over 3.5 | 65c | 780$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Under 3.5 | 17c | 760.23$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +154.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under 3.5 | 36c | 749.95$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.48 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Over 3.5 | 64c | 637.72$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.58 | 202 | 57.4%116 W · 86 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under 3.5 | 34c | 625.39$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.63 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over 3.5 | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 287 | 24.4%70 W · 217 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Under 3.5 | 15c | 614.79$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over 3.5 | 63c | 606.44$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.32 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Over 3.5 | 63c | 599.97$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.99 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Under 3.5 | 37c | 567.55$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under 3.5 | 35c | 533.84$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.32 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Under 3.5 | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…3014backed Over 3.5 | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4c…2c5ebacked Over 3.5 | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under 3.5 | 36c | 403.27$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.97 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2179…2fe8backed Over 3.5 | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Over 3.5 | 66c | 399.98$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146b…2e37backed Over 3.5 | 64c | 367.86$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Under 3.5 | 18c | 315.89$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256c…782cbacked Over 3.5 | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd691…0c27backed Over 3.5 | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under 3.5 | 36c | 277.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under 3.5 | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +5.4wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under 3.5 | 15c | 260.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Over 3.5 | 68c | 240.63$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.05 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e3…22d5backed Under 3.5 | 35c | 239.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…0b62backed Over 3.5 | 65c | 229.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.7 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec24…9544backed Over 3.5 | 64c | 220.52$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over 3.5 | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…3428backed Over 3.5 | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c4…d6a9backed Over 3.5 | 63c | 199.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0406…c5b3backed Over 3.5 | 62c | 193$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.34 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…9b8cbacked Over 3.5 | 64c | 185.94$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.94 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed Over 3.5 | 63c | 183.84$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee1…640fbacked Over 3.5 | 66c | 182.88$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Under 3.5 | 37c | 181.17$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.03 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad1…20d8backed Over 3.5 | 64c | 179.69$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba4f…7ecebacked Over 3.5 | 64c | 174.53$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…52efbacked Over 3.5 | 64c | 171.88$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…a06dbacked Over 3.5 | 63c | 165.08$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…0ddebacked Over 3.5 | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34df…18b0backed Over 3.5 | 63c | 157.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over 3.5 | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe683…8a77backed Over 3.5 | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcff8…bea7backed Over 3.5 | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…7078backed Over 3.5 | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3d…7a79backed Over 3.5 | 64c | 155.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.01 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8663…3fffbacked Over 3.5 | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…4d9ebacked Over 3.5 | 67c | 153.22$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…74dcbacked Over 3.5 | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Under 3.5 | 36c | 149.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under 3.5 | 37c | 148.87$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe14c…c2bbbacked Over 3.5 | 71c | 140.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x943c…1d17backed Over 3.5 | 64c | 139.2$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f51…3f2fbacked Over 3.5 | 66c | 132.88$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…2943backed Over 3.5 | 77c | 130.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…5e8ebacked Under 3.5 | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb67c…4532backed Over 3.5 | 64c | 118.75$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…19c1backed Over 3.5 | 78c | 116.19$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.45per pick | 41cpaid | +215.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over 3.5 | 64c | 110$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +47%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Under 3.5 | 26c | 108.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3b…c3e2backed Over 3.5 | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18dd…6bf2backed Over 3.5 | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under 3.5 | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba4…6a8cbacked Under 3.5 | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5this page
- Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak DjokovicAlcaraz won
- Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Djokovic (+1.5)Alcaraz won
- Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)Djokovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.