Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e7a94602cf33bcb422adfc082c3a23141a0624493908efe90200acaa49d8111
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Yes | 77c | 7,196$5,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.37 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.99 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 4,283$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.49 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 3,547$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.45 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 29c | 2,699$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.55 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 26c | 2,607$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.01 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 48c | 1,537$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.44 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 60c | 1,259$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.79 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 31c | 1,257$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.44 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 50c | 1,128$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.53 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 17c | 929.6$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.39 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 79c | 731$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.51 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 75c | 639.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.57 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 26c | 558$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 26c | 429.97$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.79 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No | 31c | 263.62$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.79 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 29c | 258.87$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.21 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 21c | 225.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 64c | 210$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 15c | 205$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee4…4b3ebacked No | 21c | 190.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e91…3e2abacked Yes | 72c | 153.72$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 79c | 143.3$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…c3c9backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 73c | 139.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 28c | 136.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 74c | 136$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 74c | 135.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 62c | 131.67$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Yes | 69c | 124.17$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.79 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed No | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0141…c2dabacked Yes | 55c | 117$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbc…5e8fbacked Yes | 71c | 108.39$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 29c | 105.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 35c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 36c | 84.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…5f54backed Yes | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Yes | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Yes | 57c | 65.76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…9fd4backed No | 27c | 48.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yes | 56c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1758…5d73backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0223…34d1backed Yes | 74c | 34.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed No | 43c | 33.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf4…348dbacked Yes | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…b0a5backed Yes | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 58c | 29.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked No | 40c | 28.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…e44dbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…398fbacked Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f5…1770backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…a568backed Yes | 47c | 22.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 72c | 20.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…1627backed Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 59 | 76.3%45 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…37dabacked Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Yes | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf864…c210backed Yes | 71c | 15.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfab1…4e6cbacked Yes | 75c | 14.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-01-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.