NBA · resolved market

Spread: Thunder (-11.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf19c643a5101276f96f86a5688c7317089739725dfbf9d8e16e86a808236a8c2

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Bucksof Thunder, Bucks
Resolved: Feb 13, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $259,724
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $260,524

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,724 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder	52c	118,359$60,991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60,991.49	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5aa…1449backed Bucks	49c	67,400$32,952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,447.97	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Bucks	44c	28,070$12,351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,718.93	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Bucks	45c	25,000$11,333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,666.65	382	51%195 W · 187 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Bucks	48c	24,506$11,653 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,853.02	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Bucks	49c	20,000$9,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,200	173	56.1%97 W · 76 L	+8.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks	48c	17,283$8,296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,987.02	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Bucks	49c	14,768$7,196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,571.91	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Thunder	55c	12,104$6,657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,656.96	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Thunder	56c	10,201$5,713 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,712.68	375	57.6%216 W · 159 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Thunder	51c	10,000$5,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,100	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder	52c	9,146$4,751 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,750.93	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Bucks	49c	9,000$4,410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,590	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Thunder	55c	8,408$4,661 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,661.42	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Thunder	52c	7,392$3,844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,844	99	44.4%44 W · 55 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7479…d35fbacked Thunder	52c	7,000$3,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,640	38	63.2%24 W · 14 L	+5.6wins	+0.15per pick	48cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks	48c	6,980$3,319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,661.65	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Thunder	56c	5,546$3,105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,105.42	296	50.3%149 W · 147 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Bucks	48c	5,000$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,600	297	48.1%143 W · 154 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Thunder	52c	4,846$2,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,520	208	49.5%103 W · 105 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Thunder	51c	4,555$2,323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,323.2	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Thunder	53c	4,095$2,169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,168.94	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Thunder	53c	4,000$2,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,120	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc857…9e70backed Bucks	51c	3,941$2,007 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,933.81	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+3.3wins	+0.25per pick	44cpaid	+61.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Bucks	67c	2,969$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$968.89	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Thunder	53c	2,830$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Thunder	39c	2,780$1,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,085.41	259	45.6%118 W · 141 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Thunder	40c	2,724$1,082 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,081.97	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8375…ba1dbacked Thunder	55c	2,499$1,367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,366.57	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Thunder	54c	2,315$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Bucks	48c	2,079$999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,080.38	324	50.6%164 W · 160 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Thunder	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	480	54.2%260 W · 220 L	+14.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks	46c	1,878$867 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,011.33	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Bucks	47c	1,702$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$902.05	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Bucks	49c	1,633$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$832.65	284	48.2%137 W · 147 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Bucks	46c	1,090$497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$592.97	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Bucks	56c	1,076$607 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$469.09	402	43.8%176 W · 226 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5200backed Thunder	52c	1,042$542 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$541.67	60	55%33 W · 27 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Thunder	51c	999.98$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.99	291	49.5%144 W · 147 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Thunder	56c	657.07$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365.32	226	46.9%106 W · 120 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Bucks	59c	629.17$372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.76	238	45.4%108 W · 130 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Bucks	47c	594$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.82	542	46.7%253 W · 289 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb9d…c3eebacked Thunder	33c	573.88$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.48	106	57.5%61 W · 45 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Bucks	44c	568.18$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.18	139	35.3%49 W · 90 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Thunder	53c	530.66$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.25	102	51%52 W · 50 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder	55c	512$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.6	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Thunder	52c	468$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.36	265	53.2%141 W · 124 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Bucks	55c	433.2$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.85	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Thunder	58c	372.07$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.1	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed Thunder	54c	370.37$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Thunder	56c	357.14$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bucks	60c	330.99$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.31	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Thunder	52c	299.99$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.27	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Thunder	36c	269.22$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.92	403	44.4%179 W · 224 L	-23.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c0a…7affbacked Thunder	54c	222.22$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-5.6wins	-0.24per pick	51cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3f18…2080backed Bucks	58c	215.56$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.31	248	50%124 W · 124 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8de5…e8bbbacked Bucks	63c	205$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.75	131	54.2%71 W · 60 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Bucks	49c	200$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	58	50%29 W · 29 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Bucks	47c	199.99$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106	228	45.2%103 W · 125 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79a…7df7backed Thunder	58c	195.28$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.26	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Thunder	56c	187.4$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	493	58.6%289 W · 204 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Thunder	57c	186.3$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.19	384	53.4%205 W · 179 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Thunder	53c	182.66$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.81	75	46.7%35 W · 40 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked Thunder	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	124	37.9%47 W · 77 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Thunder	57c	175.44$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	126	52.4%66 W · 60 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Thunder	52c	175.02$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.18	628	44.9%282 W · 346 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Thunder	47c	167.91$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.92	481	37.2%179 W · 302 L	-15.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Thunder	54c	126$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.66	155	34.2%53 W · 102 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Thunder	57c	122.81$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	619	57.5%356 W · 263 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Thunder	52c	119.38$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.44	927	50.6%469 W · 458 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked Thunder	53c	109.05$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.31	182	50%91 W · 91 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Thunder	52c	107$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.11	539	45.3%244 W · 295 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Thunder	53c	105.6$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.5	488	52%254 W · 234 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Thunder	45c	105.46$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.94	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b15…f827backed Bucks	48c	104.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.17	69	44.9%31 W · 38 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Thunder	54c	103.99$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.82	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dfe…1a87backed Thunder	53c	100.8$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.96	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-3.3wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x0af7…ea7ebacked Thunder	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	67	23.9%16 W · 51 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc74d…8acabacked Thunder	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	143	44.1%63 W · 80 L	+9.8wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Thunder	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	493	51.7%255 W · 238 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Thunder	40c	97.25$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.9	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Thunder	53c	95.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.19	219	48.9%107 W · 112 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x835c…8e3bbacked Thunder	57c	87.72$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	60	40%24 W · 36 L	-6.7wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Thunder	41c	77.52$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.09	189	57.1%108 W · 81 L	+12.7wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x516c…4009backed Bucks	49c	71.37$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.4	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Thunder	52c	63.46$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	456	51.1%233 W · 223 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Thunder	35c	63.12$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.83	1,283	23.4%300 W · 983 L	-178.2wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Thunder	53c	61.42$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.53	1,003	51%512 W · 491 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6417…e608backed Thunder	25c	60$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	64	54.7%35 W · 29 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a55…fe8bbacked Thunder	53c	58.76$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.08	165	52.1%86 W · 79 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Thunder	52c	57.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	516	51.2%264 W · 252 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa30…c7abbacked Bucks	47c	53.19$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.19	114	48.2%55 W · 59 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Thunder	53c	51.34$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.21	329	52.9%174 W · 155 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…e4abbacked Thunder	50c	51.24$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.49	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Bucks	77c	50$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.5	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Thunder	53c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	452	51.1%231 W · 221 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Thunder	57c	50$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	319	47.6%152 W · 167 L	-18.8wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Bucks	79c	48.24$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.32	1,170	50.3%588 W · 582 L	+46.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xede1…8ad7backed Bucks	44c	47$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.32	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-4.6wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Bucks	44c	45$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.2	538	39.4%212 W · 326 L	-26.8wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Thunder (-11.5)this page
1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Bucks won
AJ Green: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 17.5No won
Bobby Portis: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Bucks vs. ThunderBucks won
Bucks vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineBucks won
Bucks vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Under won
Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5Under won
Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Under won
Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Under won
Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Cason Wallace: Points O/U 12.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 18.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
Jaylin Williams: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Jericho Sims: Points O/U 5.5Yes won
Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Myles Turner: Points O/U 12.5No won
Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Bucks won
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Bucks won
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Bucks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Thunder (-11.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event