NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x703dccd6dabb9d895f7bfb65411eda374c5418fb9210f0f540ebb203b254ee92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $298,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $301,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 51c | 75,788$38,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,652.1 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Over | 50c | 45,000$22,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,500 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Under | 49c | 34,850$17,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,624.11 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 50c | 30,650$15,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,325 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Over | 50c | 29,763$14,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,881.58 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 26,168$13,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,147.12 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 23,770$11,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,068.22 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…ef56backed Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 19,688$9,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,040.68 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…396fbacked Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 50c | 9,085$4,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,542.38 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 52c | 9,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Under | 50c | 8,780$4,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,390 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 51c | 8,000$4,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,063.45 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 7,026$3,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,549.71 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Over | 48c | 6,589$3,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,162.94 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 53c | 5,987$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a53…498abacked Over | 53c | 5,936$3,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,145.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 49c | 5,910$2,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,995.63 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 5,032$2,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,593.03 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 50c | 4,927$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,476.53 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Under | 50c | 4,886$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,435.51 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Over | 54c | 4,666$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.64 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 4,419$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254.93 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Under | 50c | 4,192$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,092.26 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2219…e243backed Over | 50c | 3,699$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.63 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…6b51backed Under | 47c | 3,200$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 50c | 2,880$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 50c | 2,584$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 50c | 2,442$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.03 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 2,314$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.16 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578b…2c05backed Under | 47c | 2,300$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.99 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.46 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 48c | 1,958$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.33 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 53c | 1,882$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.88 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 1,863$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.71 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e73…b728backed Over | 49c | 1,837$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 46c | 1,762$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.32 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 52c | 1,555$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.7 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 51c | 1,531$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.37 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 1,488$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.63 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 52c | 1,300$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 48c | 1,252$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.9 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 48c | 1,119$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.24 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Over | 51c | 1,098$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 44c | 1,015$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.23 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 48c | 758.22$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.61 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 50c | 704$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 51c | 687.57$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.25 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 49c | 649.92$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.46 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1084…21f2backed Over | 51c | 610.78$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…e2f4backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Over | 50c | 524$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…69bbbacked Under | 47c | 435.83$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 49c | 426.82$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.14 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…f6e0backed Under | 55c | 417.53$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.06 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 44.6%116 W · 144 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 405$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.65 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 50c | 398.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.24 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4338…9cccbacked Over | 52c | 311.29$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 50c | 281.08$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 8c | 221.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.14 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb59c…e944backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 191$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.82 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Under | 53c | 169.81$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Under | 53c | 160$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 145.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.09 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 51c | 114.84$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under | 52c | 105$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c1…9511backed Under | 55c | 101.84$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Over | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | +21.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…2c69backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 96.45$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Bucks won
- AJ Green: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Bobby Portis: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Bucks vs. ThunderBucks won
- Bucks vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Bucks vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Under won
- Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Cason Wallace: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Jaylin Williams: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jericho Sims: Points O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.