NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33d929a5f73eb93b3a31a0bb58b0b270202cd9519b8d8e686b435970c1799c6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Thunder, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $411,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $420,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $411,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Thunder | 46c | 120,853$55,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,242.34 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…13acbacked Bucks | 55c | 100,000$55,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,000 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 49c | 61,218$29,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,882.54 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Bucks | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,599.99 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Bucks | 51c | 33,933$17,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,627.4 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 47c | 33,855$15,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,935.52 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…4044backed Bucks | 51c | 27,093$13,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,275.5 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Thunder | 49c | 23,391$11,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,461.82 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Bucks | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,200 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Bucks | 54c | 15,025$8,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,911.5 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Bucks | 50c | 14,000$7,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,960 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Bucks | 51c | 11,777$6,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,770.92 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 49c | 11,658$5,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,668.71 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Thunder | 48c | 9,502$4,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,560.79 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Thunder | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Bucks | 53c | 7,913$4,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,719.21 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Bucks | 53c | 7,821$4,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,675.75 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…1449backed Thunder | 49c | 6,753$3,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,278.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6549…44f2backed Bucks | 52c | 6,177$3,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,964.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Bucks | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Thunder | 51c | 5,884$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bucks | 52c | 5,367$2,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576.31 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Thunder | 46c | 5,190$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.42 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Bucks | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Bucks | 51c | 5,000$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460.22 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Bucks | 51c | 4,700$2,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,304 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks | 52c | 3,578$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.39 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 45c | 3,467$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.41 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Bucks | 49c | 3,265$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.15 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3721…2d48backed Thunder | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Thunder | 47c | 2,837$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.3 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…d25fbacked Bucks | 57c | 2,810$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.13 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +6.2wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Bucks | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.77 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Thunder | 50c | 2,621$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.38 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62c…2c44backed Bucks | 51c | 2,549$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.02 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Thunder | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.96 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83f…3696backed Thunder | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 56c | 2,448$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.69 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Bucks | 50c | 2,265$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.84 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Bucks | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Bucks | 55c | 2,068$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…45ecbacked Thunder | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Thunder | 49c | 1,723$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5092…fccdbacked Thunder | 50c | 1,307$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.17 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…382cbacked Thunder | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bucks | 51c | 1,100$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.42 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Bucks | 51c | 1,022$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.57 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2f…936abacked Thunder | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Thunder | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Thunder | 41c | 999$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.59 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bucks | 52c | 996$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.08 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe01a…414fbacked Thunder | 52c | 950.73$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Bucks | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bucks | 48c | 862.49$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.5 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Bucks | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cca…6143backed Bucks | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 415 | 50.1%208 W · 207 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 45c | 741.13$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.51 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Thunder | 43c | 740.76$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.87 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Bucks | 53c | 699.28$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.66 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7935…1f9abacked Thunder | 48c | 676.91$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Thunder | 50c | 646$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Thunder | 26c | 623.19$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.35 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Bucks | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.31 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Bucks | 51c | 600$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.08 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Bucks | 51c | 600$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.92 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Bucks | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 274 | 35.4%97 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Bucks | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Bucks | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Bucks | 51c | 495.94$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.01 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Thunder | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Bucks | 52c | 403$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.44 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c0…427bbacked Bucks | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Thunder | 49c | 398.47$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.25 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Thunder | 49c | 393$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.57 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Bucks | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Bucks | 67c | 352.6$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.76 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Bucks | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Thunder | 49c | 294.5$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.3 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Thunder | 50c | 285.87$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…bd2dbacked Bucks | 52c | 284.15$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…6c61backed Bucks | 51c | 281.53$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.95 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Thunder | 50c | 251$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.5 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Bucks | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Bucks | 53c | 224.53$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.53 | 561 | 54.5%306 W · 255 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 47c | 224.53$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.53 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Thunder | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…1667backed Thunder | 51c | 206.38$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…e904backed Thunder | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Thunder | 49c | 201.06$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.52 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Bucks | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Thunder | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Bucks | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48c8…72a4backed Bucks | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Bucks | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Bucks | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bucks | 49c | 192.96$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.71 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Thunder | 50c | 177.01$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Bucks | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Bucks | 55c | 160$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Bucks | 53c | 157.43$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Bucks won
- AJ Green: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Bobby Portis: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Bucks vs. ThunderBucks won
- Bucks vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Bucks vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Under won
- Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Cason Wallace: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Jaylin Williams: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jericho Sims: Points O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.