NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ba541b01d61a96db707f96484560155cba0ec1898c484c340cbaced6afa7d37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Thunder, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $188,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $190,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x722c…2108backed Bucks | 48c | 21,500$10,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,180 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c6…8044backed Thunder | 52c | 21,000$10,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,920 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 50c | 20,985$10,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,476 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Bucks | 49c | 15,000$7,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,725 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Bucks | 50c | 14,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Bucks | 47c | 11,122$5,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,907.87 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Thunder | 51c | 10,597$5,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,408.81 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Thunder | 50c | 10,397$5,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,198.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Thunder | 47c | 9,064$4,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,260.21 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Bucks | 53c | 9,000$4,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,230 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…d3ebbacked Thunder | 52c | 8,352$4,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,343.16 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Bucks | 51c | 7,215$3,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,532.98 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks | 49c | 5,035$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,563.05 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Thunder | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Thunder | 50c | 4,492$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244.13 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Bucks | 54c | 4,343$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.59 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbefc…169fbacked Thunder | 51c | 3,900$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8e…48bebacked Bucks | 48c | 3,900$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…e463backed Thunder | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Thunder | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.97 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Bucks | 48c | 2,775$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd997…53f2backed Bucks | 48c | 2,504$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.87 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 52c | 2,296$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.69 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9726…892ebacked Bucks | 48c | 2,098$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5083…9cbdbacked Bucks | 48c | 2,086$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.73 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Bucks | 50c | 2,072$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.91 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Thunder | 46c | 1,739$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.94 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…f99ebacked Bucks | 48c | 1,657$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.54 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Bucks | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Thunder | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Bucks | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…f6b7backed Bucks | 52c | 1,474$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.67 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Thunder | 54c | 1,374$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.81 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Bucks | 51c | 1,347$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.27 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks | 49c | 1,307$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.34 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Thunder | 52c | 1,259$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x663d…7d23backed Bucks | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Thunder | 52c | 1,211$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.25 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Thunder | 52c | 1,200$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.55 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Bucks | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Thunder | 53c | 1,174$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.85 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Thunder | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bucks | 50c | 1,045$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.4 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Thunder | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Bucks | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Thunder | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 50c | 937.39$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.64 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Bucks | 54c | 929.6$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.6 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Thunder | 37c | 700$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Thunder | 53c | 648.16$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.72 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…e0c2backed Thunder | 54c | 620$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Thunder | 48c | 562.5$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Thunder | 54c | 530.93$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.87 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Bucks | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdab…2516backed Thunder | 52c | 501.12$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Thunder | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks | 50c | 488.78$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.39 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Thunder | 48c | 458.33$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Bucks | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe01a…414fbacked Thunder | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Thunder | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bucks | 47c | 358.5$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.65 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Bucks | 49c | 326.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.53 | 184 | 56%103 W · 81 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Bucks | 47c | 282.09$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Bucks | 47c | 274$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.22 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9460…97d5backed Bucks | 48c | 260$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Bucks | 57c | 253.92$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.04 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Bucks | 47c | 230.19$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.69 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bucks | 47c | 225.27$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.76 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Bucks | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Bucks | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Bucks | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…9c28backed Bucks | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…1a78backed Bucks | 48c | 199.98$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.99 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Bucks | 49c | 196.07$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Thunder | 54c | 185.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…1a1abacked Bucks | 46c | 180$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bucks | 48c | 176.77$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.43 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4a…2c89backed Bucks | 45c | 170$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Thunder | 55c | 166.02$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…d504backed Bucks | 48c | 163$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.76 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Bucks | 47c | 158.75$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.75 | 337 | 30.3%102 W · 235 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Bucks | 48c | 156$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 52c | 132.6$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.1 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Thunder | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Thunder | 55c | 120.87$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4387…2b3dbacked Bucks | 57c | 119.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bucks | 47c | 117.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.36 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed Bucks | 65c | 112.97$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Thunder | 52c | 109.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd2…a7aebacked Thunder | 55c | 108.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Bucks | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Thunder | 49c | 103.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Bucks | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Thunder | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…fd21backed Bucks | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 140 | 36.4%51 W · 89 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Thunder | 50c | 96.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…4fa6backed Bucks | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Thunder | 54c | 92.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 326 | 54.3%177 W · 149 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Thunder | 44c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Bucks won
- AJ Green: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Bobby Portis: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Bucks vs. ThunderBucks won
- Bucks vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Bucks vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Under won
- Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Cason Wallace: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Jaylin Williams: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jericho Sims: Points O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.