South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-01-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x784bb653aca857e44850facb719c71824e5b83d8e3b823d2d9989580ad9e0b62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 60c | 19,372$11,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,730.04 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed No | 40c | 12,581$5,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,041.35 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 36c | 7,866$2,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,803.16 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 74c | 6,902$5,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.63 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 35c | 4,344$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.23 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 40c | 3,471$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.57 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 66c | 1,889$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.39 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9f…ba36backed Yes | 66c | 1,354$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 19c | 990.68$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.18 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…cfbebacked Yes | 61c | 986.3$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 31c | 927$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.79 | 92 | 29.3%27 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…c165backed Yes | 59c | 845$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 44c | 499.99$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.55 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 9c | 495.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 33c | 397.31$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.11 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 66c | 304.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.64 | 771 | 51.4%396 W · 375 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 61c | 295.29$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.18 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…899bbacked Yes | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 43c | 188.37$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Yes | 53c | 187.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.24 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 62c | 185.35$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 76c | 170.41$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 64c | 152.22$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 60c | 151.67$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 42c | 147.72$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 40c | 147.7$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 64c | 144.8$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.13 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 37c | 124$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec71…70ebbacked Yes | 62c | 120.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 57c | 116.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 38c | 110.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed No | 39c | 107$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 38c | 106.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 34c | 103.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd573…f99ebacked Yes | 62c | 99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Yes | 59c | 91.58$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x513e…a330backed Yes | 61c | 76.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 20c | 66.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…c3c9backed Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 39c | 62.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x414a…597ebacked No | 39c | 58.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 41c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b9…215cbacked No | 38c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 37c | 44.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 58c | 43.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8f…cc0dbacked Yes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 42c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb751…8d99backed No | 38c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed No | 44c | 34.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…0affbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 37c | 32.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad5e…a693backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f6…db6bbacked Yes | 62c | 30.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf4…348dbacked Yes | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1b…82fdbacked Yes | 63c | 25.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2811…13cdbacked Yes | 62c | 24.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…5da0backed Yes | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6078…a5ccbacked Yes | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…e9b1backed Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…caa4backed Yes | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…5e33backed Yes | 61c | 16.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-01-16?this page
- Will Mazatlán FC vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?No won
- Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-01-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.