NFL · resolved market
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dfedb04c5ec909bfb3a606ffd201ae94036181941a6abaff50ae17c33aa4807
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seahawksof Seahawks, 49ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,153,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,174,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,153,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 546 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed 49ers | 52c | 900,979$472,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472,517.34 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…0f7bbacked Seahawks | 48c | 593,921$283,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310,399.81 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Seahawks | 48c | 460,321$220,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239,366.93 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked 49ers | 52c | 361,889$188,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188,182.33 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Seahawks | 47c | 351,201$166,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184,677.41 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed 49ers | 56c | 209,143$117,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117,120.15 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked 49ers | 54c | 168,498$90,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,947.75 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed 49ers | 53c | 148,000$78,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,440 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Seahawks | 44c | 124,508$55,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,186.26 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Seahawks | 46c | 124,361$56,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,594.29 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Seahawks | 48c | 111,609$53,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,370.02 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked 49ers | 52c | 80,814$42,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,135.5 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed 49ers | 53c | 63,284$33,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,780.36 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Seahawks | 48c | 62,149$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,148.81 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed 49ers | 54c | 50,000$27,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,105.08 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed 49ers | 56c | 45,356$25,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,399.14 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…ead2backed 49ers | 55c | 42,821$23,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,457.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Seahawks | 48c | 41,189$19,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,493.52 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Seahawks | 46c | 40,000$18,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,600 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x801e…ad90backed Seahawks | 45c | 32,812$14,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,083.09 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked 49ers | 52c | 30,105$15,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,640.95 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked 49ers | 54c | 29,725$15,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,927.94 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Seahawks | 47c | 28,303$13,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000.43 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed 49ers | 53c | 27,445$14,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,615.78 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed 49ers | 51c | 27,064$13,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,802.43 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Seahawks | 47c | 25,000$11,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,250 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked 49ers | 53c | 25,000$13,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,250 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked 49ers | 53c | 24,757$13,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,219.41 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Seahawks | 46c | 24,319$11,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,132.14 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Seahawks | 44c | 23,988$10,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,433.55 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x58a0…2b5bbacked 49ers | 55c | 21,639$11,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,821.35 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed 49ers | 54c | 21,000$11,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,339.98 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…2b2ebacked 49ers | 53c | 18,000$9,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,589.98 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Seahawks | 45c | 17,623$7,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,711.9 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Seahawks | 46c | 16,499$7,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,974.69 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked 49ers | 52c | 13,934$7,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,245.75 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Seahawks | 46c | 12,000$5,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,479.98 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed 49ers | 53c | 11,756$6,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,230.76 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Seahawks | 46c | 11,600$5,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,263.99 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Seahawks | 45c | 11,111$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,111.11 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Seahawks | 46c | 10,638$4,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,751.14 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c7…ec41backed 49ers | 0c | 10,074$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed 49ers | 53c | 10,000$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4736…79e8backed Seahawks | 45c | 10,000$4,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,550 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Seahawks | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed 49ers | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked 49ers | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Seahawks | 46c | 9,946$4,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,370.76 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Seahawks | 47c | 9,245$4,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.85 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed 49ers | 55c | 8,725$4,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.30per pick | 38cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26ca…efc3backed 49ers | 54c | 7,627$4,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,118.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Seahawks | 45c | 6,505$2,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,556.45 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0eb…b103backed 49ers | 27c | 6,484$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Seahawks | 51c | 6,147$3,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,018.41 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked 49ers | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9c…fe9dbacked 49ers | 55c | 5,455$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked 49ers | 55c | 5,455$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed 49ers | 53c | 5,400$2,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,862 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked 49ers | 56c | 5,156$2,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,887.24 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…b6ffbacked 49ers | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed 49ers | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…adbfbacked 49ers | 54c | 4,847$2,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,617.59 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed 49ers | 52c | 4,819$2,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505.81 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…8a1dbacked Seahawks | 44c | 4,525$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,534.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cef…fe2dbacked Seahawks | 46c | 4,500$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed 49ers | 9c | 4,334$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.83 | 278 | 35.3%98 W · 180 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Seahawks | 45c | 4,291$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.21 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Seahawks | 74c | 3,970$2,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.6 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1895…efd2backed 49ers | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed 49ers | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Seahawks | 48c | 3,628$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.34 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked 49ers | 55c | 3,500$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked 49ers | 26c | 3,327$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4799…d2a3backed Seahawks | 46c | 3,276$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Seahawks | 46c | 3,000$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef38…ae8cbacked Seahawks | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked 49ers | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed 49ers | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed 49ers | 51c | 2,996$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.53 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…ee83backed 49ers | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9333…3fa5backed 49ers | 38c | 2,659$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked 49ers | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Seahawks | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seahawks | 75c | 2,474$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.41 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed 49ers | 42c | 2,435$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.52 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed 49ers | 54c | 2,200$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…0b5fbacked 49ers | 53c | 2,072$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked 49ers | 32c | 2,030$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.7 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed 49ers | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Seahawks | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked 49ers | 55c | 1,982$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb44…3eafbacked 49ers | 43c | 1,964$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.43 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed 49ers | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.11 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed 49ers | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1dd…32e2backed 49ers | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked 49ers | 38c | 1,814$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.75 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed Seahawks | 46c | 1,739$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.13 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd20…6f35backed Seahawks | 60c | 1,703$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked 49ers | 54c | 1,686$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.4 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Seahawks | 46c | 1,640$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.15 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)Seahawks won
- 49ers vs. SeahawksSeahawks won
- 49ers vs. Seahawks: 1H MoneylineSeahawks won
- 49ers vs. Seahawks: 1H O/U 22.5Over won
- 49ers vs. Seahawks: 1H O/U 23.5Over won
- 49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 43.5Over won
- 49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5Over won
- AJ Barner: Receiving Yards O/U 30.5Under won
- Christian McCaffrey: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Christian McCaffrey: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 110.5Under won
- Jake Tonges: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Jauan Jennings: Receiving Yards O/U 42.5Under won
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Receiving Yards O/U 93.5Under won
- Kenneth Walker III: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Rashid Shaheed: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Rashid Shaheed: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Rashid Shaheed: Receiving Yards O/U 23.5Under won
- Sam Darnold: Rushing Yards O/U 247.5Under won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 22.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 28.5Over won
- Spread: 49ers (-1.5)Seahawks won
- Zach Charbonnet: Anytime TouchdownNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.