NFL · resolved market

49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 43.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbd69b93781fbf5db3310c6046f488b77f06d98c5796a13684cf88c8e2e89fea

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 18, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $117,289
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $118,110

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,289 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over	52c	43,841$22,797 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,043.68	191	52.9%101 W · 90 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under	48c	36,098$17,327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,326.81	249	57%142 W · 107 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Under	48c	22,417$10,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,760.05	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Under	48c	20,000$9,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,599.99	168	36.9%62 W · 106 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Over	54c	9,570$5,169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,401.05	168	60.7%102 W · 66 L	+18.7wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Over	54c	9,222$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,222.43	186	50%93 W · 93 L	+9.3wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Over	52c	6,700$3,484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,216	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over	52c	5,554$2,888 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,666.03	43	62.8%27 W · 16 L	+4.3wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+24%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b22…c59cbacked Over	52c	5,500$2,860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,640.19	49	49%24 W · 25 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under	46c	4,599$2,108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,108.05	373	50.9%190 W · 183 L	+12.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Under	46c	4,445$2,067 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,066.91	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	52c	3,947$2,065 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,881.85	1,196	49.9%597 W · 599 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$959.99	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	+4.4wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf08…9f3fbacked Over	57c	1,546$884 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$662.15	80	56.3%45 W · 35 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed Under	45c	1,468$661 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660.8	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under	45c	1,336$603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$603.49	1,065	51.3%546 W · 519 L	+25.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Under	48c	1,054$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.35	62	33.9%21 W · 41 L	-6.4wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed Under	48c	1,016$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.56	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Over	56c	999.99$555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$445	392	42.6%167 W · 225 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Over	56c	821.43$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$361.43	166	48.2%80 W · 86 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Over	51c	799.99$408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392	285	56.5%161 W · 124 L	+9.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	47c	794.14$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.88	650	48.3%314 W · 336 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	53c	693.45$368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325.92	513	52.2%268 W · 245 L	+16.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Over	53c	600$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Over	55c	600$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270	62	46.8%29 W · 33 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over	54c	581.56$314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$267.52	206	61.2%126 W · 80 L	+12.3wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa511…18a3backed Over	59c	560$332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under	46c	543.48$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	47	34%16 W · 31 L	-3.8wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Under	27c	495.57$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.25	61	24.6%15 W · 46 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Over	52c	480.77$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.77	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+4.0wins	+0.15per pick	41cpaid	+39.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa84d…3a6cbacked Under	42c	474.77$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.4	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde46…a7afbacked Over	55c	454.55$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.55	117	48.7%57 W · 60 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc626…2beabacked Under	45c	444.44$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	65	46.2%30 W · 35 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+55.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over	58c	431.69$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.69	137	52.6%72 W · 65 L	+10.9wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda50…2a41backed Over	53c	377.36$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.36	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Over	54c	370.37$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.37	136	41.2%56 W · 80 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Over	56c	357.14$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.14	105	48.6%51 W · 54 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3eb…443cbacked Over	55c	316.82$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.57	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf057…d05ebacked Under	48c	262.5$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	44c	260$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.4	238	50.8%121 W · 117 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over	52c	250$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	280	47.5%133 W · 147 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3b9…9ce4backed Over	56c	214.29$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.29	86	39.5%34 W · 52 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Over	52c	193.79$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.02	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe665…79bbbacked Over	54c	185.19$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.19	50	44%22 W · 28 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ecb…87ddbacked Over	54c	185.19$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.19	114	59.6%68 W · 46 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed Over	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	136	41.9%57 W · 79 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb740…2422backed Over	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	162	43.8%71 W · 91 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	153	52.3%80 W · 73 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49f5…54d1backed Over	52c	177.52$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.21	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.6wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+112.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over	54c	160$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.4	127	56.7%72 W · 55 L	+8.4wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under	44c	158.29$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.65	118	56.8%67 W · 51 L	+9.1wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Under	46c	150$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.5	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over	54c	147.03$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.83	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71ec…b544backed Under	48c	129.17$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	23cpaid	-78.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Over	52c	127$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.96	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-3.5wins	-0.18per pick	50cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x019e…af1dbacked Under	47c	118$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.46	53	43.4%23 W · 30 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Under	45c	111$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.95	199	54.8%109 W · 90 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Over	52c	106$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.88	25	64%16 W · 9 L	+4.0wins	+0.16per pick	48cpaid	+36.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6c1a…bf0abacked Under	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad15…451bbacked Under	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	600	49.3%296 W · 304 L	+21.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f06…2614backed Over	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	48	60.4%29 W · 19 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9386…cfe5backed Under	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6dd…0accbacked Under	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	59	57.6%34 W · 25 L	+7.8wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under	46c	97.83$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	532	53%282 W · 250 L	+19.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Over	52c	94$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.12	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under	47c	87.99$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.63	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-5.5wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7567…0923backed Over	54c	84$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.64	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.5wins	-0.19per pick	50cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under	44c	82$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.08	88	35.2%31 W · 57 L	-6.1wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under	46c	81.57$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.93	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	+6.1wins	+0.17per pick	46cpaid	+32.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc0eb…5cc6backed Over	55c	72$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.4	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.7wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4627…b4b0backed Over	58c	69.36$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.36	58	69%40 W · 18 L	+7.7wins	+0.13per pick	56cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7203…c123backed Over	55c	68.33$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.75	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	49c	63.39$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.06	65	70.8%46 W · 19 L	+11.6wins	+0.18per pick	53cpaid	+35.2%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under	25c	60$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-3.0wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-40%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over	55c	60$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.3	153	53.6%82 W · 71 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1304…138cbacked Under	44c	56.82$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-2.7wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Over	53c	56.6$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.6	70	65.7%46 W · 24 L	+9.8wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under	46c	52.87$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.23	320	43.8%140 W · 180 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fec…8dc3backed Under	46c	52$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.92	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.29per pick	54cpaid	-51%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under	46c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	138	44.9%62 W · 76 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca6d…492bbacked Under	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+31%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32f4…c885backed Under	45c	44.42$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	310	32.6%101 W · 209 L	-8.9wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a59…e94cbacked Under	46c	43.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	65	50.8%33 W · 32 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Under	47c	42.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	54c	41.41$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.06	758	52.5%398 W · 360 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12c8…0865backed Under	49c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked Under	44c	40$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	234	47.9%112 W · 122 L	-10.9wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Under	48c	39.9$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.15	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x581b…f083backed Under	46c	38.91$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.9	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.7wins	-0.39per pick	53cpaid	-73%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa97e…2470backed Over	52c	37.73$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.11	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under	44c	35.71$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.71	135	60%81 W · 54 L	+14.7wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xafbc…7976backed Over	56c	35.71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.71	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked Under	46c	35.71$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.43	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+2.1wins	+0.35per pick	48cpaid	+73%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6061…1ff7backed Under	48c	35$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.9wins	-0.41per pick	55cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Under	44c	34$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.96	67	55.2%37 W · 30 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc95f…357fbacked Under	44c	32$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.08	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e29…c992backed Under	46c	32$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.72	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbd9…aea9backed Under	49c	30.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 43.5this page
1H Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)Seahawks won
49ers vs. SeahawksSeahawks won
49ers vs. Seahawks: 1H MoneylineSeahawks won
49ers vs. Seahawks: 1H O/U 22.5Over won
49ers vs. Seahawks: 1H O/U 23.5Over won
49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5Over won
AJ Barner: Receiving Yards O/U 30.5Under won
Christian McCaffrey: Anytime TouchdownNo won
Christian McCaffrey: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 110.5Under won
Jake Tonges: Anytime TouchdownNo won
Jauan Jennings: Receiving Yards O/U 42.5Under won
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Receiving Yards O/U 93.5Under won
Kenneth Walker III: Anytime TouchdownYes won
Rashid Shaheed: Anytime TouchdownYes won
Rashid Shaheed: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
Rashid Shaheed: Receiving Yards O/U 23.5Under won
Sam Darnold: Rushing Yards O/U 247.5Under won
Seahawks Team Total: O/U 22.5Over won
Seahawks Team Total: O/U 28.5Over won
Spread: 49ers (-1.5)Seahawks won
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)Seahawks won
Zach Charbonnet: Anytime TouchdownNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 43.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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