NFL · resolved market
49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x841abd3a087268c6605f48425d8807068e4180d64f10892f017dfa634b0e35e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $246,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $246,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Under | 55c | 50,000$27,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,499.97 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Under | 55c | 44,770$24,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,432.68 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Over | 46c | 42,533$19,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,058.08 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef38…ae8cbacked Over | 45c | 37,000$16,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,350 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 52c | 16,901$8,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,758.94 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 46c | 15,773$7,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,532.47 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 55c | 13,138$7,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,191.91 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Over | 45c | 12,750$5,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,012.5 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Over | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 49c | 10,000$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,149.99 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 45c | 9,395$4,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,167.25 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x801e…ad90backed Over | 45c | 8,099$3,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,454.45 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 54c | 7,326$3,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,956.12 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45f2…ac3cbacked Under | 53c | 5,923$3,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,138.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 53c | 5,449$2,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,887.8 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Under | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Under | 54c | 4,500$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…371bbacked Over | 46c | 4,346$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.31 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 46c | 4,240$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,289.6 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Under | 50c | 4,043$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.32 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 53c | 3,995$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.35 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 47c | 3,079$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.61 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…8b3abacked Under | 55c | 2,715$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 2,407$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.86 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 35c | 2,387$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.12 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 47c | 2,386$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.43 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 44c | 2,346$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.76 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3915…b03ebacked Under | 38c | 1,934$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 1,795$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.4 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 44c | 1,700$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.52 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 1,677$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.72 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 46c | 1,247$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.3 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 50c | 1,244$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.5 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4977…8fd6backed Under | 52c | 1,210$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.3 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1abf…6024backed Under | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc46d…9c6bbacked Under | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Over | 63c | 952.9$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.9 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 47c | 947.77$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.32 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 44c | 936.29$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.32 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3359…404cbacked Under | 39c | 905$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 54c | 860.32$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.58 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 64c | 837.97$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.2 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Over | 50c | 822.46$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.97 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 56c | 803.57$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 56c | 716.07$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 44c | 699.76$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.87 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…2411backed Under | 38c | 677.74$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.35 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Over | 47c | 639$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.67 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 50c | 621.5$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Over | 47c | 618.51$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.81 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad9…8c96backed Under | 56c | 617.86$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 19c | 599.64$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.66 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Under | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…b17abacked Under | 53c | 524$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.72 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed Over | 45c | 504.89$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.69 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 45c | 488.64$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.64 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bab…cf38backed Over | 45c | 471.11$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda50…2a41backed Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa511…18a3backed Over | 62c | 417.15$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.86 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb44…3eafbacked Under | 41c | 409.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 66c | 403.47$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Under | 53c | 378.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Under | 56c | 363.11$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.34 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 73c | 358.14$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Under | 39c | 351.39$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.13 | 211 | 51.2%108 W · 103 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 41c | 346.1$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.3 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed Over | 45c | 337$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 44c | 332.23$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.33 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 57c | 319.36$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.35 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 10c | 310.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 46c | 305.1$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.75 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Under | 54c | 299.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.99 | 174 | 59.2%103 W · 71 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…aa58backed Over | 76c | 299.32$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…14b3backed Over | 48c | 294.79$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b75…d083backed Under | 31c | 292.15$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Under | 24c | 289.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d7…8b52backed Under | 35c | 289.43$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 45c | 250.82$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.15 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -8.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…80b9backed Under | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.29per pick | 56cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9676…8349backed Under | 40c | 248.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf49…e7f4backed Over | 45c | 235.56$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Under | 56c | 226.79$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 46c | 223.68$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.09 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f62…7db4backed Under | 55c | 203.64$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Under | 9c | 200.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…3c66backed Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7057…e59cbacked Under | 52c | 190.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5this page
- 1H Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)Seahawks won
- 49ers vs. SeahawksSeahawks won
- 49ers vs. Seahawks: 1H MoneylineSeahawks won
- 49ers vs. Seahawks: 1H O/U 22.5Over won
- 49ers vs. Seahawks: 1H O/U 23.5Over won
- 49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 43.5Over won
- AJ Barner: Receiving Yards O/U 30.5Under won
- Christian McCaffrey: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Christian McCaffrey: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 110.5Under won
- Jake Tonges: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Jauan Jennings: Receiving Yards O/U 42.5Under won
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Receiving Yards O/U 93.5Under won
- Kenneth Walker III: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Rashid Shaheed: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Rashid Shaheed: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Rashid Shaheed: Receiving Yards O/U 23.5Under won
- Sam Darnold: Rushing Yards O/U 247.5Under won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 22.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 28.5Over won
- Spread: 49ers (-1.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)Seahawks won
- Zach Charbonnet: Anytime TouchdownNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.