TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

49ers vs. Seahawks: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Seahawksof 49ers, Seahawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,511
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,446

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,511 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Seahawks68c1,159$788 inWon+$370.8814366.4%95 W · 48 L+13.0wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed 49ers32c1,114$356 inLost-$356.3812842.2%54 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Seahawks68c188$128 inWon+$60.162157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Seahawks69c117$81 inWon+$36.272356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+32.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed 49ers22c111.3$24 inLost-$24.2212447.6%59 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Seahawks80c97.94$78 inWon+$2075852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed Seahawks69c87$60 inWon+$26.971442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Seahawks69c83.16$57 inWon+$25.7813756.2%77 W · 60 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Seahawks68c70$48 inWon+$22.42133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-36.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed 49ers31c64.55$20 inLost-$20.013762.2%23 W · 14 L+6.1wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+32.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Seahawks68c64$44 inWon+$20.481931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-43.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Seahawks68c64$44 inWon+$20.481747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x503f…ec57backed 49ers32c62.5$20 inLost-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Seahawks68c62$42 inWon+$19.842766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x37ea…6cb9backed Seahawks69c45.83$32 inWon+$14.211040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaac…1045backed 49ers31c45$14 inLost-$14.041464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8bd…8deabacked 49ers32c43$14 inLost-$13.76850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Seahawks68c42$29 inWon+$13.441747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Seahawks68c41$28 inWon+$13.122250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed 49ers31c34.96$11 inLost-$10.6627633.3%92 W · 184 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.