TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$163,962
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$164,641

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,962 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Spurs52c100,000$52,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,999.9232653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Spurs51c27,056$13,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,257.222,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Mavericks49c23,469$11,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,50048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Mavericks48c18,294$8,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,798.674,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Mavericks48c15,182$7,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,287.3625049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mavericks48c15,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,2002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Mavericks48c10,417$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Mavericks48c8,970$4,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,305.7942648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe855…fba9backed Mavericks48c8,125$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9001163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ce…6f34backed Mavericks49c7,171$3,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,513.7913748.9%67 W · 70 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d8…bd4dbacked Mavericks49c6,328$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,100450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Spurs51c6,200$3,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,03858449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Mavericks48c5,435$2,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60970246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe256…1f43backed Mavericks48c5,417$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6001163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Mavericks49c5,297$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6009051.1%46 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks45c3,075$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.88,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs52c2,655$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.419,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Mavericks45c2,636$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.0318553%98 W · 87 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Spurs51c2,585$1,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.343,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Mavericks48c2,058$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.963,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Mavericks43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.9921446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Spurs57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.3932347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Mavericks48c1,668$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.5915450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Mavericks46c1,400$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6441,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Mavericks48c1,269$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.2752844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Mavericks48c1,250$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60032150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Spurs51c1,128$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.762,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Mavericks48c1,116$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.682,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Mavericks44c1,091$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48010048%48 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed Spurs53c759.64$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.085642.9%24 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Spurs53c679.25$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.257862.8%49 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Spurs50c645.5$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.7511839.8%47 W · 71 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked Mavericks50c521.25$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26020650%103 W · 103 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Mavericks49c493.58$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.3125951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Spurs63c459$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.8811650.9%59 W · 57 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Spurs58c272.88$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.7833258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Mavericks48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12095548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Spurs51c245.69$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.3950651.2%259 W · 247 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Spurs51c229.9$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.6553043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Mavericks48c224.75$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.153,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Mavericks48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Spurs51c199.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9591148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Mavericks48c187$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.761,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Spurs53c186.79$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.791,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Spurs51c140$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.647045.1%212 W · 258 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Spurs54c130.69$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6910049%49 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Mavericks47c127.63$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.992,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Spurs55c127.27$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2761957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Spurs52c105.04$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9825143%108 W · 143 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Mavericks48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4895047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc525…daf0backed Spurs51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc85a…8cd8backed Spurs51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Mavericks48c99.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7621937%81 W · 138 L-15.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Spurs58c94.83$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8349358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Mavericks55c72.25$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x42a7…96f9backed Spurs70c71.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.511060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Mavericks30c71.71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.513,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Spurs57c70$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.133360.4%201 W · 132 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Spurs56c69.6$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8440849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Mavericks48c69$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1238252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Spurs52c60.8$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1876250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Spurs66c57$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3843269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e45…402bbacked Mavericks49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72cf…09bbbacked Spurs52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-39.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Spurs53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1714751.7%76 W · 71 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Spurs52c43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6441048.3%198 W · 212 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aab…8d40backed Spurs51c40.55$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8716443.9%72 W · 92 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x137e…20d7backed Spurs51c40.55$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8715040%60 W · 90 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Mavericks50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015347.1%72 W · 81 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mavericks50c39.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.61,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Spurs53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7440960.6%248 W · 161 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Mavericks42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1595452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…1adfbacked Spurs57c35.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.086943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Mavericks48c34.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.81,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Spurs52c34.61$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6135049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf1…0b3dbacked Spurs53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.13754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Spurs57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.929645.6%135 W · 161 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Spurs52c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5553945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0a4…ca01backed Spurs54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.40per pick48cpaid+98.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3754…2d4ebacked Spurs54c29.28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.349150.5%46 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Spurs53c27.27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9492750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1c7…d11ebacked Spurs55c25.49$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.474257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Spurs80c24.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518957.1%108 W · 81 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Mavericks47c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2324330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Mavericks51c21.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.162,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Spurs52c20.98$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0762844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf4…348dbacked Spurs57c20.6$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.862236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-39.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Spurs53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.487950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Spurs56c19.02$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3157657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.