NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x962ce06d947f444093b4aadc2fcd30ffc520f49f1fe119fbb318dc087ddb8c05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Spurs | 52c | 100,000$52,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,999.92 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Spurs | 51c | 27,056$13,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,257.22 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Mavericks | 49c | 23,469$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,500 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Mavericks | 48c | 18,294$8,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,798.67 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Mavericks | 48c | 15,182$7,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,287.36 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mavericks | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Mavericks | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Mavericks | 48c | 8,970$4,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,305.79 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe855…fba9backed Mavericks | 48c | 8,125$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Mavericks | 49c | 7,171$3,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,513.79 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d8…bd4dbacked Mavericks | 49c | 6,328$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Spurs | 51c | 6,200$3,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,038 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Mavericks | 48c | 5,435$2,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,609 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…1f43backed Mavericks | 48c | 5,417$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Mavericks | 49c | 5,297$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 45c | 3,075$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.8 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 52c | 2,655$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.41 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Mavericks | 45c | 2,636$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.03 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Spurs | 51c | 2,585$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.34 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Mavericks | 48c | 2,058$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.96 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Mavericks | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.99 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Spurs | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Mavericks | 48c | 1,668$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.59 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Mavericks | 46c | 1,400$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Mavericks | 48c | 1,269$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.27 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Mavericks | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Spurs | 51c | 1,128$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.76 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Mavericks | 48c | 1,116$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.68 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Mavericks | 44c | 1,091$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed Spurs | 53c | 759.64$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.08 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Spurs | 53c | 679.25$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.25 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Spurs | 50c | 645.5$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.75 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Mavericks | 50c | 521.25$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Mavericks | 49c | 493.58$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.31 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Spurs | 63c | 459$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.88 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Spurs | 58c | 272.88$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.78 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Mavericks | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Spurs | 51c | 245.69$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.39 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Spurs | 51c | 229.9$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.65 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Mavericks | 48c | 224.75$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.15 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Mavericks | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Spurs | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.95 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Mavericks | 48c | 187$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Spurs | 53c | 186.79$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.79 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Spurs | 51c | 140$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Spurs | 54c | 130.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.69 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Mavericks | 47c | 127.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Spurs | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Spurs | 52c | 105.04$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 251 | 43%108 W · 143 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Mavericks | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…daf0backed Spurs | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc85a…8cd8backed Spurs | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Mavericks | 48c | 99.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | -15.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Spurs | 58c | 94.83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Mavericks | 55c | 72.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42a7…96f9backed Spurs | 70c | 71.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Mavericks | 30c | 71.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Spurs | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Spurs | 56c | 69.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Mavericks | 48c | 69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Spurs | 52c | 60.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Spurs | 66c | 57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e45…402bbacked Mavericks | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…09bbbacked Spurs | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Spurs | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Spurs | 52c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Spurs | 51c | 40.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…20d7backed Spurs | 51c | 40.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Mavericks | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mavericks | 50c | 39.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Spurs | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Mavericks | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…1adfbacked Spurs | 57c | 35.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Mavericks | 48c | 34.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Spurs | 52c | 34.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf1…0b3dbacked Spurs | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Spurs | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Spurs | 52c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a4…ca01backed Spurs | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 48cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…2d4ebacked Spurs | 54c | 29.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Spurs | 53c | 27.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…d11ebacked Spurs | 55c | 25.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Spurs | 80c | 24.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Mavericks | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Mavericks | 51c | 21.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Spurs | 52c | 20.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf4…348dbacked Spurs | 57c | 20.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Spurs | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Spurs | 56c | 19.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Mavericks vs. SpursSpurs won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5Over won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.