NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04036502707148966f7018ac3823e310d68524bead74fa4aaf556a8f04c293a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $393,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $403,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $393,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 54c | 312,913$167,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145,326.07 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 46c | 138,754$63,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,826.63 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 47c | 90,000$42,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,300 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 24,241$11,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,117.78 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Under | 46c | 11,710$5,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,377.54 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 46c | 10,907$5,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,046.13 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 9,338$4,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,348.85 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 47c | 8,400$3,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,948 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 13c | 6,358$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.73 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ff…75adbacked Over | 52c | 5,856$3,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 5,403$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,464.17 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.98 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 56c | 4,285$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.27 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…461fbacked Under | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over | 53c | 3,785$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.42 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 46c | 3,393$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 3,386$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.05 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 46c | 3,262$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 47c | 2,937$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.5 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 43c | 2,277$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe573…33f2backed Under | 48c | 2,200$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 46c | 2,045$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.67 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…c355backed Under | 48c | 1,856$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb76…1709backed Under | 48c | 1,800$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Over | 56c | 1,790$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.6 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Over | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 40c | 1,440$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.85 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad40…a697backed Over | 56c | 1,211$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.71 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 54c | 1,134$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.1 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 56c | 1,083$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.75 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Over | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Under | 44c | 973.16$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…d0e2backed Over | 60c | 833.5$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.5 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +9.4wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Under | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e07…b908backed Under | 8c | 803.28$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 46c | 625.83$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.24 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Over | 56c | 513.32$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.86 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 60c | 476$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.4 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…ee81backed Over | 55c | 465.78$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.19 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 54c | 396.25$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.27 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Over | 54c | 391.83$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.24 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 47c | 350$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 18c | 321.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 56c | 300$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed Over | 76c | 270.62$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.36 | 176 | 60.8%107 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 46c | 267.46$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.95 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 60c | 253.83$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.46 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c6…fde6backed Under | 42c | 239.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 54c | 205.56$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.56 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 21c | 188.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 28c | 187.8$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.14 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 145.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 54c | 139.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Over | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 56c | 110.3$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 77c | 100.79$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…d04fbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 68c | 95.8$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 47c | 93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 71c | 72.63$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…7f42backed Over | 55c | 72.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb986…d032backed Under | 47c | 69.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 43c | 69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 53c | 68.91$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 48c | 66.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…5107backed Over | 69c | 57.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa30…c7abbacked Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…1208backed Under | 37c | 53.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…805bbacked Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25d6…04cbbacked Over | 54c | 51.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1124…bbcabacked Under | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 58c | 47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c4…c5dbbacked Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6721…d75bbacked Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc9…7fe4backed Over | 58c | 39.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3be…4cd6backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…d11ebacked Under | 44c | 35.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 226 | 46.9%106 W · 120 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…01fdbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c25…7ba9backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…70a9backed Over | 54c | 35.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 47c | 30.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd27…4721backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…2988backed Over | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Mavericks vs. SpursSpurs won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5Over won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.