TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,477
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,604

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,477 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over43c6,344$2,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,616.83948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under57c3,969$2,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,262.529150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under58c1,499$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.4236630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Over42c1,190$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.4817744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over54c1,072$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.661,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Over43c1,058$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.142161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under58c999.97$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.985933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under57c800$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45610152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over58c730.45$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.862,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under61c668.61$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.8513754%74 W · 63 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under25c585.23$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.2759240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under57c499.97$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.9822947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Over42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.192450%12 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a33…28e8backed Under17c464.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick33cpaid+62.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22828556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17125556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf463…8e9dbacked Over41c257.22$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under59c243.56$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.72653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over42c240.48$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.485754.4%31 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under57c240$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.812048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under57c240$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.816851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.121650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c72…9567backed Over43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.56966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+53.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under57c180$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.628458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over43c176.74$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7413142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ace…07c7backed Over42c169.05$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.052268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed Under59c167$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.532142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over42c161.9$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.915238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Under59c157$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.632245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over40c155.14$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.0696942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under59c153.43$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5220841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Under59c142$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.782045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06f4…758dbacked Under59c138$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.42837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.412453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.411454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.412253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.411448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under57c119.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.997445.9%34 W · 40 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Over41c105$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.952642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc40f…1950backed Under59c101.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605251.9%27 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd854…924fbacked Under59c101$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.59742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed Under18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186540%26 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575552.7%29 W · 26 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Over41c84$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.562944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under57c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.67353.4%39 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over43c75.04$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9711546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under29c75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6315045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.888863.6%56 W · 32 L+16.1wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+41.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over41c73.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.178651.2%44 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.29445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.211551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.28456%47 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.26443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.27653.9%41 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Under57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.28151.9%42 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.211652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.212754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.215459.1%91 W · 63 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.28550.6%43 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Under57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.211153.2%59 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Under57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.211060%66 W · 44 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0c0…07d8backed Under59c59$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.811747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Over41c58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.223458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e75…e81dbacked Under59c52$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.681637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7bd…d82dbacked Over41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5ba…960fbacked Under60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304463.6%28 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca4…923dbacked Under60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf9…142bbacked Over41c48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.32825%2 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-47.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over44c47.73$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.738143.2%35 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under56c47.73$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7391043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9af9…89bcbacked Under59c47$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.73650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid+12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9209…dc9bbacked Over43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.511957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Over43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.514351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5111348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.517950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2949…76bcbacked Over41c46$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.141163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+40.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14cd…1716backed Over41c45$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.55683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.36per pick48cpaid+73.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over41c41.46$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.463259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x870f…08ebbacked Over41c41$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.19683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+50.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x143d…5bc4backed Over41c41$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.191442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.83951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under59c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.617955.3%99 W · 80 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.88552.9%45 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9acf…bd74backed Over41c38$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.42580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+42.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5df7…a8edbacked Over41c38$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.42450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1313…866abacked Under59c37$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.83966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3b3…27babacked Over41c37$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.83757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bf4…348dbacked Under58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd033…033dbacked Under60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5425…8b3abacked Under61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10bc…0b14backed Under58c32.47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.83250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…8528backed Under65c32.31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215354.7%29 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3be0…e4e5backed Over41c32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.881050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4292…938dbacked Over41c31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.29850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbba…e95bbacked Under59c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe8b…8390backed Over42c29.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d7…f2d1backed Under59c27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.93955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e48…c958backed Over41c27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.931060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b80…8e56backed Under59c27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.93650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4390…e842backed Over41c26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.34560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.