Serie A · resolved market
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb682799975b2292b9b5f3847d866f03b0c046017e5258f62bb9dee5b5513a542
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AS Romaof AS Roma, Genoa CFC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Genoa CFC | 66c | 3,926$2,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,593.71 | 2,575 | 45.6%1,174 W · 1,401 L | +12.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3273…5a11backed AS Roma | 33c | 1,818$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.18 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed AS Roma | 38c | 1,379$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.16 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed AS Roma | 34c | 1,029$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.41 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Genoa CFC | 66c | 1,022$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.54 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce0…32c9backed Genoa CFC | 3c | 700$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Genoa CFC | 65c | 606.39$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.81 | 2,013 | 39.4%794 W · 1,219 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed AS Roma | 32c | 599.72$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.81 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked AS Roma | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.55 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked AS Roma | 34c | 411.76$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.76 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…7b64backed AS Roma | 34c | 334.38$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Genoa CFC | 4c | 310$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed AS Roma | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Genoa CFC | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Genoa CFC | 67c | 259.55$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.49 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked AS Roma | 33c | 257.58$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.58 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed AS Roma | 55c | 237.44$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.85 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed AS Roma | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed AS Roma | 55c | 182.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.36 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked AS Roma | 34c | 161.76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.76 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed AS Roma | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +126.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Genoa CFC | 68c | 154$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.72 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Genoa CFC | 67c | 147.75$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +117.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed AS Roma | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 195 | 54.4%106 W · 89 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Genoa CFC | 68c | 132.87$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.35 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65bb…dad7backed AS Roma | 33c | 128.85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +125.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…be02backed AS Roma | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +131.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed AS Roma | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa70d…f721backed Genoa CFC | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed AS Roma | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Genoa CFC | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed AS Roma | 33c | 83.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…d0e7backed AS Roma | 32c | 78.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…324dbacked AS Roma | 33c | 72.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.73 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Genoa CFC | 68c | 64$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d7…bdebbacked AS Roma | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Genoa CFC | 65c | 60.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Genoa CFC | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked AS Roma | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Genoa CFC | 62c | 55.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed AS Roma | 32c | 47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed AS Roma | 55c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed AS Roma | 32c | 46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed AS Roma | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Genoa CFC | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Genoa CFC | 68c | 16.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Genoa CFC | 67c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)this page
- AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.