Serie A · resolved market
AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x592c99b664c4113ee0e4f265567f002655a3f29e5a315a761aea6b61c969ed8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 31c | 20,000$6,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,874.99 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 16,746$11,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,441.7 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked No | 56c | 7,449$4,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,187.82 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 43c | 3,461$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.75 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 42c | 2,280$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.45 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes | 40c | 1,591$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.65 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 57c | 1,317$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.01 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 57c | 999.97$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.98 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 56c | 548.06$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.91 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 56c | 505$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.8 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 43c | 460.47$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.47 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 45c | 434.03$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.38 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 42c | 425.4$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.74 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked No | 75c | 340.3$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.2 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Yes | 43c | 288.2$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed No | 15c | 251.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 58c | 180.91$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.93 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 79c | 176.36$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +6.1wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Yes | 42c | 152$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.16 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Yes | 42c | 130$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1,085.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…8b97backed Yes | 11c | 99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +163.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 11c | 99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.11 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 66c | 91.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa041…04d2backed Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf270…6015backed No | 58c | 77.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 38c | 77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.41 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 57c | 75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Yes | 42c | 73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…378bbacked Yes | 27c | 70.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 37c | 68.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Yes | 41c | 62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed No | 58c | 58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed No | 58c | 57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 44c | 52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed No | 59c | 49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 59c | 47.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked No | 59c | 46.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked No | 58c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea5…cc71backed No | 59c | 42.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed No | 58c | 39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed No | 58c | 38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed No | 58c | 38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed No | 58c | 38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked No | 58c | 38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 41c | 37.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed Yes | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Yes | 44c | 33.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…0ea4backed No | 54c | 31.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.2wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Yes | 42c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed No | 58c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Yes | 42c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed No | 58c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1b…380ebacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 54c | 24.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed No | 58c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed No | 58c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…6fd9backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)AS Roma won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.