Serie A · resolved market
AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a5e7bef2944b675050e3f5da1d60b767b4f54f5f2cc7102f57e2eb11f6d2dac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $182,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 68c | 101,280$68,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,767.87 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 33c | 48,155$15,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,162.46 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 28c | 16,113$4,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,550.68 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 14,965$5,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,791.48 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 53c | 9,694$5,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,519.86 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a33…28e8backed Under | 34c | 3,286$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 33cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 28c | 2,427$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.24 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 46c | 2,088$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.37 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 55c | 1,821$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 19c | 1,274$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.13 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 1c | 1,250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 21c | 1,199$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.47 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…07f2backed Over | 77c | 1,039$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Over | 44c | 908.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.83 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcab…b842backed Under | 59c | 874.54$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Over | 56c | 781.53$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.07 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 74c | 758.18$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under | 80c | 692.47$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.98 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…e2c1backed Over | 19c | 525.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 73c | 436.58$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.21 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 57c | 403.51$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.51 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 78c | 369.04$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.19 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 21c | 327$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.33 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 21c | 300$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 80c | 300$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Over | 22c | 200.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Over | 21c | 194.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +117.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked Over | 22c | 179.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.22 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Under | 80c | 171$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Under | 9c | 163.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Over | 20c | 140.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.64 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…e8a8backed Under | 80c | 137.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Over | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 78c | 133.55$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 38c | 133.21$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.01 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +16.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 80c | 130$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 41c | 129.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…5a1dbacked Under | 79c | 126.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…0ba7backed Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Under | 80c | 123$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aaa…5cfebacked Over | 80c | 120.38$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 51c | 117.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 80c | 111$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Under | 79c | 106$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.74 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Under | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Over | 21c | 104$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.16 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842d…31e9backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…48e4backed Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 38c | 94.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.26 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ea…bb88backed Under | 80c | 87$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 21c | 87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.73 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 34c | 72.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Over | 20c | 67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…afe5backed Over | 28c | 64.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +263.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda85…0ab3backed Over | 80c | 64.46$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x804d…078cbacked Over | 80c | 61.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6422…a346backed Under | 59c | 51.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276f…bfb5backed Over | 61c | 48.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Under | 80c | 48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Under | 80c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 59cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe34a…273ebacked Under | 79c | 39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 37.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…2b0abacked Under | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe4…8f49backed Under | 79c | 30.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6c…f0b6backed Over | 54c | 30.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Under | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Over | 80c | 28.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked Under | 80c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5768…a918backed Over | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c7…49babacked Over | 70c | 15.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5this page
- AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)AS Roma won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.